Jump to content

40/70 Benchmark

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    71,961

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by 40/70 Benchmark

  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I don't think the cold to begin December should be a suprise to anyone, as there have been hints for awhile now. What happens during the balance of the month is the question.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    In late Novemeber, nonetheless....yea, high percentage play.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not inclined to begin the season early for this, as my gut says it finds a way to fail.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I couldn't care less...not paying any mind to that.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is absolutely true.....patterns are getting more extreme and are stagnating, but at the end of the day, wet is still going to win out a higher percetnage of the time than dry relative to the past. Just as warmth is. I will bet against it remaining this dry for the next several months, but you do you....of course, that says nothing about snowfall.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Definitely going to have to be a Saturday if we do ORH......I know some of the Clarke's GTG's have been on a weeknight, but I'm not driving to ORH on a weeknight.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Sure.....however, average is a relative term that is climate-based...is -PDO drier than +PDO on average? Sure....but I would argue that its not as likely to remain this dry as it was 50 years ago, just as the cold from those archaic -PDO/NAO analogs are no longer working out.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Remember...the changing climate stuff works both ways....Just as we are not as likely to see sustained cold moving forward as we have been in past analog, nor are we as likely to see sustained dry conditions moving forward.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, it is concerning, but not a death-knell.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Instead of me arbitrarily selecting a few dates, why don't we begin with some suggestions from those who are likely to make a strong effort to attend and then I can use that feedback to inform a subsequent poll. As far as locale, perhaps we can poll that right off of the bat. I would prefer we meet in ORH just so that more of the WNE crew would feel compelled to attend and then some of us easties could always even do a side thing at Clarke's....
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    What an absolutely brutal list of winters.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    The NP/EP has a comparable domain space to that of the EPO, however, it has the opposite correlations....ie +NP-EP is more favorable for east coast cold/snow. What I do for purposes of verification is flip the NP-EP and use it as EPO.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have that....its the more modern verison of the EPO, however, the NP-EP is different from the original EPO.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Do you have a link for the monthly tabular data, Larry?
  16. 40/70 Benchmark
    Theme of the season to come IMHO.
  17. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think a few of us have been toying with the notion over the course of the past several seasons.
  18. 40/70 Benchmark
    I do, but like I said to him the other day, there could be some roll over...so I won't be shocked to see a nice stretch in early February.
  19. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, that state was very prevalent in my extra tropical Pacific analogs. Not anything extreme...I think I went .30 to .60 JM WPO.
  20. 40/70 Benchmark
    Same page, Don.
  21. 40/70 Benchmark
    Just WPO....went +EPO.
  22. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, it began as snow and I remember transitioned to a driving, freezing rain in the teens by like 5am, when I had awakened for school...which didn't happen. Then by afternoon there was ponding everywhere and in the 50s.
  23. 40/70 Benchmark
    The amplitude and physics of that whole set up probably just overwhelmed all of the minute, in-situ dynamics.
  24. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I had like 4-5" of slop in early November and didn't look back until mid Jan.
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    F5 has products like that.
×
×
  • Create New...