Jump to content

40/70 Benchmark

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    78,815

  • Joined

  • Last visited

6 Followers

About 40/70 Benchmark

  • Birthday 11/16/1980

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KLWM
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Methuen, MA, 154' ASL 30 mi N of Boston
  • Interests
    Snow, Canes , Baseball, Football and Keeping Fit.

Recent Profile Visitors

113,205 profile views
  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes we can; it's gong to be positive. I'll bet you $500 right now- There is absolutely zero doubt in my mind. The PDO is another story, as that is much more nebulous.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I was referring to JB, not you.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    No wonder I'm in a severe drought...this spot is always a regional min.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Actually viewing the data that you're using is overrated.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think that tells you all you need to know in terms of seasonal temp anomaly, which really only has about a 1/10 chance of being cold in this modern era, anyway...so it really doesn't tell you much.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    @raindancewxMakes perfect sense to me....1997 obviously for ENSO given intensity, but the rest are great polar analogs...only one I don't have is 2018, but that will probably be there when I do the extra tropical Pacific next month.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    You missed my point. I agree it favors the mid atl for above average snowfall, that isn't my point. The "equal chances" stance is crap. Make a call. I'm not directing this specifically at you.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I thought that was just December...
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, basically 1982-1983. 2005 was a top 3 season in SNE....I don't expect that.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm sure below average, but LES belts are a wild card. 1972-1973, 1982-1983, 1997-1998, 2015-2016.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    I could see a situation like 2005, 2015 and 2016 where we flip with a big storm the last week of January, but it would be a mild month in the mean.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not talking about early on...forget that. December is going to be warm. Case closed. But some guidance like the JMA and EURO are trying to pull it back far enough west to salvage January....that is what I am skeptical of. I think that guidance is overdone.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Exciting stuff....there is a unicorn scenario in there which it pulls everything just far enough to act like a Modoki, but I would only bet on that for small periods right now.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I can't stand that cop-out style....just make a forecast. Is there luck involved, sure....but there is luck in everything...it's called chaos. If the Super Bowl is close and it comes down to one play, do they stop the game and just hand out "equal chance" ribbons to very player?
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't even do maps..I do a snowfall table and give ranges.
×
×
  • Create New...