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About 40/70 Benchmark

- Birthday 11/16/1980
Profile Information
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Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
KLWM
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Gender
Male
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Location:
Methuen, MA, 154' ASL 30 mi N of Boston
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Interests
Snow, Canes , Baseball, Football and Keeping Fit.
Recent Profile Visitors
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Solar-nape season ends in 4 weeks.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
This is what I was trying to get across to Adam. Like I have been saying, this isn't something I want, so it's not out of bias. @bluewave can tell you how I resistant I was to the idea in the lead up to 2023...I mocked him and made light of it, and the dude nailed it. No harm in getting it wrong....w all do, just learn from it and be willing to adapt. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Clearly this will be one of, if not the most powerful El Niño events on record. I was never debating that, but all I meant earlier is that it's fair to wonder if some of these marine heat waves that are a consequence of a rapidly warming planet are providing stronger competition around the hemisphere with even the strongest of ENSO events. It seems clear to me that they are. It's not a matter of "El Niño isn't well enough coupled or strong enough"; there is simply a lot more heat distributed throughout the Pacific basin, regardless of what ENSO does. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
https://www.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/products/clisys/figures/db_hist_mon_tcc.html You can get VP here... -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
1982? -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
2015-2016 has been referenced quite frequently for it's pretty abrupt transition to some wintry interludes throughout the NE during the second half...I wouldn't say they aren't remembered. It's just that they weren't as anomalous or long-lasting as the warmth in December, so the season was mild in the aggregate. I wouldn't be at all be surprised to see something similar this year. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Exactly. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Very feasible....I don't debate that. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I think it would be warmer if El Niño DIDN'T take over entirely. Anyway, all I said was El Niño still has work to do....I never even implied that there is no chance that it will not take over the hemisphere entirely this fall. -
super el nino banter thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to forkyfork's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Adam ( @snowman19)....as a clinician, this is an honest suggestion....look into this. This is my only contribution to this thread. I have used it as a clinician and a patient, so it's not meant as an insult. I think the latter two skills would be particularly beneficial for you. Dialectical Behavior Therapy The 4 Core Skills Modules DBT skills are divided into two acceptance-oriented modules and two change-oriented modules: [1] Mindfulness: The foundation of DBT. It teaches you to stay present, observe your emotions without judgment, and focus on the current moment. [1, 2, 3] Distress Tolerance: Helps you get through crisis situations without making them worse (e.g., using physical sensations like holding ice cubes to tolerate intense urges). [1, 2] Emotion Regulation: Teaches you to identify, name, and change specific emotions, reducing your overall vulnerability to negative emotional spirals. [1, 2, 3, 4] Interpersonal Effectiveness: Equips you with tools to ask for what you need, say "no" to demands, and maintain your self-respect and relationships. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I injected some sarcasm by mocking him a bit....guilty; but there was no need for the absurd racism accusation. Anyone with any familiarity with this thread knew what I was doing there. He has a tendency to respond to resistance in this truly vile manner that usually includes very derogatory insults, and in this case, a pathetic attempt to inject race as a means to vilify me rather than simply address the point. Primitive deflection tactic. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
As do I......I also have hope that one day you will succeed in wrapping your mind around the fact that a well coupled El Niño is not mutually exclusive with some residual MC influence throughout the hemisphere. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Shocking that only one of us in this thread has a history of being 5 PPD...can't possible think of why. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Larry, I don't see the issue with reenforcing the fact that this July has been more representative of the -PDO data set and it has the developing super El Niño. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
What? Why don't you formulate a cohesive counter to the point rather than deflecting with silly attempts to inject race into the issue and copy and paste a slew of tweets. I'm a licensed social worker with 4 African children and an African wife, who was mocking your proclivity to scan every crevice of the internet for tweets to quote that fit your bizarre ENSO agenda.
