40/70 Benchmark

You have to remember that every met, aside from cyborg-Will, is human and also utilize defense mechanisms themselves

He loves to twist the passive aggressive dagger during moments of vulnerability . lol

Didn't they get the fast-flow memo?

There is a fighting chance given changes out west.

Yea, I mean....I feel better than I did a couple of days ago, but it's still a coin-flip at best.

Pacific Trough patterns can be great when you have a mechanism to deflect the track southward in the nation's midsection....some of our most active and prolific stretches have happened like this....March 2001, January 2011, March 2018, etc.....Pac just keeps spitting out energy and the mid latitudes funnel it into a favorable slot.

Right, which is why I chose the language I did..."first one", "latter two".

I feel better about it with the trend out west.

You have some wiggle room here with models bulls eying NJ right now.

Definite LBSW trend today...I would rather have that problem at day 5-6 with a Miller B then having it blow up in the GOM.

The one tomorrow? Doesn't look great...

Looks like I'm out on the first one..hopefully latter events work out.

ICON LBSW

Interested to see what 12z looks like. I am with John....my initial instinct was no, but it's not impossible and could still go either way. The ridge has moved slightly WEST and amplified since I indicated I was against it, so it looks better now. I originally thought maybe 25% shot, now I would agree it's like 50/50.

Yea, Scott...Fri night is a SWFE...exactly what that is.