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40/70 Benchmark

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About 40/70 Benchmark

  • Birthday 11/16/1980

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KLWM
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Methuen, MA, 154' ASL 30 mi N of Boston
  • Interests
    Snow, Canes , Baseball, Football and Keeping Fit.

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  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I was just thinking that yesterday on a totally anecdotal level...the big heat this month hasn't seemed Nino like. Glad the empirical data jives with my hunch.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm sure someone is going to explain why it wouldn't be enjoyable and would entail certain economic collapse and death, but we are hammered with that over GW, anyway....so excuse me if I salvage bit of solace form the prospect of my final days being snow-filled.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    "It plays a crucial role in the climate system, helping regulate global weather patterns. Its collapse would have enormous implications, including much more extreme winters" On no, not that...
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    93 again...heatwave
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Interesting...and for some, unsettling-
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    93 today.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I will say, we are due for a break, so I would not at all be shocked if this one turned out okay...like 1982. Cold, no (at least not sustained)...but some good storms, yes.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    The only super El Nino that was decent here is 1982.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Lagging RONI was likely a reflection of the more meager Aleutian low, as we have discussed...but the huge ridge over the northeast was all ONI.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    92 here in the armpit of the MRV.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Was he really warm last winter? Any seasonal forecaster will bust badly from time to time if they are being honest. I've honed my El Niño intensity composites today and will give the EMI ones a quick check before my next update later this month.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Raindance has intimated that it's shifting, as well...must be at least getting close. I do agree that the PDO will take a few, perhaps several, years longer.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Well, there was a modicum of truth to it in that we had a historic blizzard, and then a few weeks later a record cold snap...issue is he sensationalized the shift and implied that it would be sustained. There was definitely a shift, though. The problem was the first half of the season we had the marine forcing competing with the +ENSO regime, so the result was a horrid pattern with ridging displaced eastward into the NE, which was different from December 1982 and 1997. December 2006 was kind of like December 2015 and I fear the coming December may be similar. I think it was Chuck that said it fits the billing for +QBO, but getting ahead of myself there...I'm won't touch the polar domain until like August.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    See, I would term that "what other hemispheric influences are competing to alter it and how".....ie, while some are accentuated, other features are blunted. That is the essence of a lagging RONI value...whereas MEI/ONI are more likely to just be universally weaker and thus more prone to polar influences.
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