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40/70 Benchmark

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About 40/70 Benchmark

  • Birthday 11/16/1980

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KLWM
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Methuen, MA, 154' ASL 30 mi N of Boston
  • Interests
    Snow, Canes , Baseball, Football and Keeping Fit.

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  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think we all are punting a cold and snowy December, but it's important to keep it real, too.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I personally couldn't care less if it's +10 or +6...TBH, if it isn't going to snow, give me the former....I just think there is reason to doubt that with all central and eastern Pacific forcing.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    There is also no antecedent airmass to work with this early in the season.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, all we can say is that this El Nino will be a bit warmer than it would have under identical conditions a decade ago....but not sure that is enough to account for the lack of MC contribution. We spent a decade observing how that amplifies warmth over the eastern CONUS, so we can't now pretend that it wasn't a factor.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think the elimination of the ample MC forcing from 2023-2024 helps. Strat warming is pretty varied in how it manifests so it's tough to say outside of the fact that it is probably too early at this point.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think it's too early to mean much for us, even if it does result in a colder period.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I think I have made it clear that I am skeptical of how impactful this strat warming will be and am more interested in what it may portend later in the season.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    It's almost as if the climate is warming or something...
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, this a great example of why I keep pointing out that secondary convective node around 130-150W......it fosters some variability. Does it preclude a mild season overall? No.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    That didn't take long
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    WINTER, WINTER, WINTER, WINTER, WINTER
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Get this all teed up for @bluewaveto compare it to future warmer runs as the ridge trends southward.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    This what I was getting at with a reflection event being the safer bet....these warmings are feast or famine, whether they result in reversals or not....yet they result in these mass cyber-orgies.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Is anyone subscribed to The World Climate Center paywall? I made an inquiry about a trial, but haven't heard back.....I'm looking to access a data set...
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    And refuse to acknowledge it....(not Adam).
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