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About 40/70 Benchmark

- Currently Viewing Topic: December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
- Birthday 11/16/1980
Profile Information
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Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
KLWM
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Gender
Male
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Location:
Methuen, MA, 154' ASL 30 mi N of Boston
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Interests
Snow, Canes , Baseball, Football and Keeping Fit.
Recent Profile Visitors
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Its also into the holiday break period now, too....so folks may not be up at 6am. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Was probably Tbliz lol -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Weekends I always am, but only post if it's very interesting. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
It takes a special set of circumstances for me to be up for the EURO on weeknights these days, at 45 with 4 little ones..... -
White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I'd hit it- -
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I haven't put much effort into whether or not we trend colder in the shorter term (don't really care), but expect this Pacific trough regime to last into mid January before the flip, which is consistent with his timeframe. It's important to keep in mind that the Pacific trough regime doesn't have to mean an all out torch, which some may be conditioned to believe. BAM is right about the PV being on our side of the hemisphere, so that would help to mitigate that. -
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Great video by BAM....only point I am at odds with him is the PNA for January, but that is probably a bigger deal for the mid Atlantic than my area. -
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Agree on the Jan 15-Feb 1 timeframe. -
White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
925 looks cold enough for a lot of the region, so if there's decent growth and some consistency with halfway decent rates, it should be okay. -
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I think the +TNH will run a bit into Feb before we get very mild and await the stratosphere. -
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Sure...reasonable. -
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
That guidance shows it essentially neutralizing by January 5th...pop a +TNH mid-month....done. -
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yes, there is. -
White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
This area has a tendency to get 7/11 split as it pertains to latitude. -
White Christmas Miracle? December 23-24th
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
My area will get it...no doubt.
