Jump to content

40/70 Benchmark

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    78,883

  • Joined

  • Last visited

6 Followers

About 40/70 Benchmark

  • Birthday 11/16/1980

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KLWM
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Methuen, MA, 154' ASL 30 mi N of Boston
  • Interests
    Snow, Canes , Baseball, Football and Keeping Fit.

Recent Profile Visitors

114,068 profile views
  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, right under the trough...but that was essentially the only area on the globe where that happened, which is why it's so exceedingly rare at any given locale during modern times. That said, our area is due for a run of colder seasons relative to the west.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I agree with that. I have been touting a lot more variability throughout the second half....but -NAO in the seasonal mean is a very tall task.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, it's a touch warmer up here, but NBD. Generally speaking, you are correct. Interesting trend.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    In the seasonal mean? Plenty of evidence......Like 4 neg NAO seasons past 30 years, descending solar and +QBO. I'm not speaking in absolutes here, but it's pretty easy to make a case for that.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, because the ridge was out west....his point is that the ridges are always more intense than expected.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I could totally see double digit + departures in December.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Good summer?
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I only knew bc Kev mentioned it in our group text, so sprang into action an got the gage out.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not sure I agree with that for the latter half of the season.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I had a brief shower around 11pm...just .02".
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Looks like -WPO is favored next winter? Would fit with the theme of the recent shift.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    The map looks like something @MJO812drew up on the shitter, but I largely endorse the narrative.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Pretty clear to me that it plays a role, as it does in just about everything. Is it the only factor? Of course not...but the sole purpose of ENSO is to redistribute the solar heat that builds in the west Pacific as a product of the Walker Cycle, so it definitely has an impact.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    All joking and ball-busting aside, I certainly see a pathway to a poor winter given the situation with ENSO....and to steal a page from CPC, it's definitely more likely that snowfall will below average than above, however, I think it's far from a foregone conclusion that it will be poor...and yes, I'll spend the better part of the next 3 months of my life explaining why. As far as temps go, it will almost certainly be above average...I think the floor is near normal, like 1957. Crazy how that same area from MBY into se NH has been a screw-zone for QPF this decade...that has been so consistent.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    How would CPC answer this? More likely than not?
×
×
  • Create New...