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40/70 Benchmark

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About 40/70 Benchmark

  • Birthday 11/16/1980

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KLWM
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Methuen, MA, 154' ASL 30 mi N of Boston
  • Interests
    Snow, Canes , Baseball, Football and Keeping Fit.

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  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is correct. My Modoki events since 1950 are: 1958-1959, 1968-1969, 1977-1978, 2002-2003, 2004-2005, 2009-2010 and 2014-2015.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not crazy about that ELI ....they state that it does a pretty poor job of identifying Modoki events and it absolutely does....it has 2023 similar to 2009 and 2004. It lost me right there. Two issues...first of all, the 165-170E Modoki range is too restrictive, which is likely why Modoki events are underrepresented in the data set. Secondly, it fails to distinguish the MC forcing of 2023 from Modoki forcing, which makes it no better than VP and OLR. I still like using the RONI for that distinction.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    How do you equate that?
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Wow, cool...so it's more precise then simply viewing a VP or OLR composite. Is the latest data behind a paywall? I'd love to incorporate that...
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    What is ELI?
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    That looks like the east-based/intense composite forcing, but more expansive both to the east (into S America) AND to the west (towards Dateline). Supports what raindance and I were mentioning RE volatility, albeit a mild national temp in the mean (warmth great coverage, more anomalous and greater residence than cold) this winter.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Tempest sounds like Ambient. I have a separate Stratus rain gage that I use....tipping gage always clogs no matter which station you use.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is baseline for the QBO.....it's an oddity when it remains in the same phase for consecutive years.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Not much value in a 35-60" range, which is why you shouldn't bother to issue a seasonal snowfall map in July.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I had a Davis VP 2 years ago, as well.....agree that the maintenance is cumbersome and the data interface is not very user-friendly. Ambient is a nice alternative....not a huge step down in terms of accuracy and much less of a PIA. I've had it for about 7-8 years.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Def. agree with raindance on volatility....probably going to be a potpourri of east-based, Modoki and MC forcing, with less emphasis on that latter relative to the past decade.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Probably a better shot than most of the past decade to be perfectly honest...it's been dry as hell.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    This season will definitely average +PNA and probably safely so. I think we get an RNA month, it may be December.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think we are going to see wall-wall -PNA.... I agree the polar domain will be crucial.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    -EPO/-WPO is usually tough to come by in super El Niño events.
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