40/70 Benchmark

I'm just glad it's wasting daylight heating time.

Mom: Hey honey, Merry Christma- Will : Sticks the ruler in the ground and runs back into the car and drives away-

Explains why I have dropped to 31.5...

Down to 31.5

You were due to get boned...especially relative to my area. We usually run neck-and-neck, but you have throttled me past couple of seasons, and to start this one.

Yea, you will...I'm 50/50 on complete cloud cover.

No...I like to shovel and write cinema-dopa connection.

Hanging out at 32.5* under some inverted dong-clouds, after a shade under 3" of cement....we good.

Strong Forecast for Tuesday Snows White Christmas Winners & Losers Accurately Conveyed Marginal Conditions Made For Relatively Complicated Forecast Some of the more difficult forecasts take place in the lighter events, as small deviations from the expected amounts are often more discernible when it means a slushy coating versus 3", as opposed to 12" versus 15". This is especially true when the stakes are a bit higher as they were yesterday, since not only were early cancellation decisions looming, but the timing of the storm carrying into the predawn hours of Christmas Eve meant that it had immense implications on the prospects for a White Christmas. There were also some complicating factors at play given that the storm had to overcome both a very dry antecedent airmass, as well as marginal temperatures given the path of the disturbance tracking to the north of the region. Be that as it may, the forecast ended up verifying quite well. Forecast Results Here is the Eastern Mass Weather Final Call versus the actual outcome. Note that the amount of snowfall reports exceeding 2" are relegated to outside of I 495, as specified in the forecast map from Saturday night (left). Given that temperatures today are expected to rise well into the 30's, a white Christmas will likely be relegated to this locales having received at least approximately 1.5" of snowfall. Thus only the northwest edge of the "White Xmas possible" area is likely to meet the official criteria of having at least 1" snow depth on Christmas morning. The weaknesses to the forecast are that 2" reports from the western part of the state are lacking, and there are some 4" amounts in the southeastern corner of New Hampshire, thus coating to 2" and 2-4" ranges would have been more advisable in these areas, respectively. Final Grade: A

Strong forecast for last night...maybe a hair too heavy in western Mass, and too light in southeastern NH. Give this one an "A", as the white Xmas lock (greater than 2" amounts) did indeed straddle I 495, as expected. https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2025/12/strong-forecast-for-tuesday-snows.html Saturday looks like a miss for most of the area, followed up by some rain on Sunday before turning colder. Merry Christmas!

@MJO812Congrats....I was wrong on December snow in NYC, and you were right. Reason being I missed the late month blocking. Let's see if you guys get above my 19-29" seasonal call.

Some folks need to practice staying out of "defense mode" when someone else insinuates that they may be wrong, and/or have bias....I know it's tough to do, but when you own shit like that, not only is it better for your own mental health and prospects for personal enrichment moving forward, but it disarms the other side entirely, and avoids the OT bickering that derails these threads. I have bias, and am often wrong...it's called being human. It's also fine if you don't actually agree that you are wrong....just tactfully explain it and the other side remains venomous, then they look like the ass.

Yea, I declared a mea culpa on that last night....I was wrong on latter December blocking, though did get the emergence of Pacific troughing right...end result is I will be too warm for December. and maybe January. The stat warming last month was more impactful than I had theorized.

Strong PV doesn't necessarily mean "torch", either...

Dude, we need less of this in the thread. Just disagree and move on...