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40/70 Benchmark

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About 40/70 Benchmark

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KLWM
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Methuen, MA, 154' ASL 30 mi N of Boston
  • Interests
    Snow, Canes , Baseball, Football and Keeping Fit.

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  1. The incompetence watch has been upgraded to a warning.
  2. Of course it's going to be masked by the strongest El Nino in history in the seasonal mean, the question is whether it portends a favorable stretch of two during the winter, which often makes the difference between a bottom-dwelling winter in terms of snowfall and a middling season.
  3. I'm not a huge SAI guy, but I heard both SCE and SAI are at record levels....noteworthy, anyway if true.
  4. Larry, I wouldn't say "lack of any seasonal model support".....EURO and UK have hitting blocking hard.
  5. Probably right, but you also have to leave open for the possibility that the longer range defaults towards climo.
  6. 2023-2024 had strong MC forcing though, which as you know is significant source of destructive interference for high latitude blocking. I don't deny that this is probably CC enhanced, and perhaps it won't end up meaning much...I'm open to that, but I don't think that we can summarily dismiss it as an artifact of CC.
  7. Getting Modoki value correct is part of what comprises an accurate ENSO forecast....you want to say EURO has been best, okay....but it's not been perfect is all I mean.
  8. I understand that, but it's still off...doesn't matter why.
  9. I told you why I doubted the magnitude...had nothing to do with a desire for cold.
  10. 65-72 was -AMO, I believe.....we were in a dry pattern in the NE bc we had MC forcing for the better part of a decade. ..I would not go dry this year.
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