40/70 Benchmark

They should be safe from Tip's ever-expanding Hadley Cell for another 100 years or so up there...lol

Not as much as it would otherwise if the ridge doesn't cooperate. Still nuisance amounts.

I don't agree. Keep the ridge tilted positively like that and the surface will underperform. This is why the dynamics and BZ are escaping east on those solutions.

@Ginx snewxGive me a ridge like the first and 3rd image, then H5 matters....second image is when it's more futile.

Not a bad analog, but that harkens back to what I was saying about the western ridge....notice it looks more like the 18z GFS suite than it does some of those other runs that are positively tilted sw to ne. This is what I hate...see the difference? Notice 18z GEFS look more like 2/15/15 than this last image.

Then the next one will be too far west...shoot me.

Is the mean better?

Better orientation of the ridge out west changes that IMHO.

Wow, that is the first run I've seen that has pretty much lost that annoying positive-tilt sw to be orientation of the PNA ridge...can work with that if it's real. Previously that wasn't rectified until the follow up wave.

Yea, me too.

I'm just needling there....18z actually looked respectable.

Inverted trough.....wow, awesome.

I won't melt from this lead wave...I've largely ignored it. If the follow up rains on me, then it's fair game.

Yes...I know.

Fair. Let me know how much you get Friday. Good luck.