TauntonBlizzard2013

Setting the bar at 2” of rain here, we’ll see

I mean this is a hybrid type storm in a transition season. Im sure it’ll be breezy at least, but I don’t think it’s crazy to envision lots of dry periods followed by quick downpours rotating through. Some areas will do well, but I wouldn’t expect like 2+ totals to be widespread

Again, I’m not convinced this is some prolonged widespread event. this could easily be breezy days with periodic downpours. Which is why im not sold on big rain totals. Isolated areas, maybe

Rainfall probably will be highly variable from area to area. Not going to be a uniform amount across the region

Yeah, I feel bad that people have invested in this for a week and it’s most likely going to be pretty mundane for most. Even the rain aspect has trended mediocre outside of immediate coastal areas.

The gfs pretty much confined appreciable rain to the eastern ma coast. Rest of SNE doesn’t look bad at all, for the most part

This is why tracking a system 10 days out usually leads to disappointment. The envelop is so small for a region wide hit, it’s almost definitely not going to happen as depicted at that timeframe. I’d favor the cape for real impacts right now and tapering off NW of there

We knew

I’m not convinced this is much of anything here. Gusts to 40 and periods of rain. We need more than an inch or two of rain to make up for this drought

This will be close to reality IMO. Hope it’s wrong because we desperately need the rain, but sell

You know this is going to find a way to miss. I’ve seen posts about this for what seems like a week now. Im sure I’ll be apple picking with the kid on Saturday with mostly cloudy sky’s and a stiff breeze. Hoping to salvage some of the weekend

I definitely wouldn’t be sold on anything meaningful yet. Almost a week away and a tough setup. No different than in winter when people have been tracking a system for 12 days and when it fizzles everyone is surprised

We knew, when powderfreak showed the Thursday and Sunday “rain” here, I said we wouldn’t see much. I’m not even sure we got measurable. Fail

We tried to tell em.

The next two rain chances look really uninspiring. Some showers later today north of the pike and maybe some rain Sunday evening? Looks like that one favors the same areas that have gotten it all summer, west and southern CT. Definitely doesn’t look like anything you can count on