SouthCoastMA

6z NAM still amped, but ICON shifted south.

yikes..not a great trend here at 0z.

nw corner of Cape. not very

RGEM brings the hammer before any mixing here.

messenger shuffle, but it's not always its works in mysterious ways

believe it or not, actually cut back nearly half from 12z. Was showing 40"+ in the prior run. Nice to see an active pattern being modeled.

The day 6 look on the GFS op seems prime to deliver late month

slowing coming into consensus. let's keep it there and hopefully the warmer models stay put or move towards GFS as a compromise

Agreed about the changeover issue being overplayed, but I'm just being greedy and looking to maximize this storm. Trying to avoid 20 miles north of me getting 19" while I'm stuck at 10-11"/slotted/snizzling. Damn, just realized I'm channeling Ray.

lol - knew what to expect when you said that. definitely stronger low, would be nice for many - a little bit warmer here, but tough to trust the ICON thermals.

Once in range, I'd imagine the mesos will start upticking the qpf associated to ocean enhancement and long fetch easterly flow. Wouldn't be shocked to see 1.5-2" on those models as we get closer. Can already kinda see it on the Euro maps

NAM would be pretty great here and for SNE in general. someone in Eastern Plymouth/Norfolk county going to score big

3 days out still. I need a break

stay safe out there

Euro is 12"+ here with 10:1. Likes the secondary for round 2