Go Kart Mozart

Both AIs show a possible nor'easter later next week, but look really good for an SWFE pattern after that. A repeat of 1/25...even at 2/3scale that would be nice. Perhaps the transition away from PNAP is the moment for a good coastal?

Id' be curious to see how these got there...did they arc in from SE to NW?

Not great. I was hoping for at least a cluster further west. The Cape is in the game, the rest of us are struggling.

Does anyone have 06z ensemble clusters?

ICON keeps the 500 closed low north of the Tidewater, rather than over Savannah. A rather radical change, I would think. Edit: Not a huge change over itself, but far from the look of every other model.

I looked at it and your Albany musing came to mind.

There are clear differences at 48h....so there's that anyway. But yes, I give it about 2% weighting right now.

Let's analyze the living crap out of the 0z NAM! It will kill the time until the globals come out.

Purple haze?

Really, that is your concern?

Goofus razor close.

Either OTS or up the Delaware, lol. Actually, that's pretty effing encouraging. May I have the 79 just east of Cape May?

Ha, snowing again. Some years it just wants to snow!

Plenty of time for little tics like this:

Dig more west, or not so deep? I think we want closure closer to Norfolk rather than Myrtle Beach. Maybe digging west accomplishes the same thing?