Go Kart Mozart

Icy setup? Pingy?

This will be a good weekend for shoveling the accumulated dogshit in the back yard. Three dogs and two weeks of snow cover. It will be a lot!

I am surprised there is not more excitement this morning for the 15th. Some models showing a hit, most improving with each run. Last night's ICON looked big-doggish (I know, a weakling model, but it has some fun solutions).

Only when they show me what I want to see!

The AI models and the Euro AI ensemble look wintery over the next 15 days. Y'all need to start weaening yourselves off the buggy whip models.

Pretty much all models show the MJO ready to take a nice trip towards the left side. GFS has highest amplitude.

I have never been impressed by the BAM weather crew. Lot's of bold talk about how it's "meteorology not modelology" then they flop around like a freshly caught mackerel with each new run.

I am curious (not doubting the validity of the findings), but how did they determine the jet stream speeds from 100 years ago?

Are the flurries the cause?

I like this AI ensemble look that has been showing up. Lot's of disturbances coming out of the SW, with a strong thermal gradient just to our south?

No need for commiseration down here in the banana belt. We are at 14" on January 4rth...that's a strong start for us!

.8" here. Total surprise...I should have listened to DIT, he tried to tell us! Some years it just wants to snow.

He is dead nuts right. Can I suggest sunscreen and a big floppy hat?

Going by the AIs and AI ensembles, it looks like a simple matter of cracking a few eggs to make a nice omelet

Where is WinterWolf and what have you done with him?