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mitchnick

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  1. mitchnick
    I wonder if the Cfs2 winter 23/24 temp forecast from 9/11/23 was discounted? I guarantee you it was...but it would have been by me! Lol https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/cfsv2_fcst_history/202309/htmls/usT2me3Mon.html They're not always climo come September. Cfs2 was actually on the right path come early September, 2023.
  2. mitchnick
    Worst at BWI was 22/23 with .2". Lol I wasn't living there, thank God, but it was no snowfest up here either. 72/73 was 2nd worse at 1.2", which remember well and which turned me into a full blown weenie as we had 2 WSW that yielded nothing and hit ROA to ORF. At least 1", if not all, of that 72/73 snowfall was an arctic front in 2/73. Lol if anybody up north wonders why I am the way I am when when it comes to snowfall, just find the annual snowfall numbers from BWI from 1972 thru 2019. The mental trauma is epic.
  3. mitchnick
    Yep. Bwi had 6 or 7" on a Sunday night in December 1983 that wasn't expected. It hit Phl similarly I believe. 97/98 was a dog at Bwi with a couple inches for the season. My current location totalled around a foot for the 97/98 season.
  4. mitchnick
    That and 6 hours of nearly nonstop thunder snow imby...along with the 4" that fell between Noon and 1pm. Lol
  5. mitchnick
    How does using Jan-Mar look? My guess is that Nov & Dec have the greatest +anomalies, but I could be wrong of course.
  6. mitchnick
    Yeehah!
  7. mitchnick
    So you've gone over to the dark side too, ehh? Lol
  8. mitchnick
    Cfs2 has been coming in along those lines too in recent forecasts fwiw.
  9. mitchnick
    Yes, I understand. But I found it interesting because Enso 4 anomalies and SST are both cooling, Enso 3 and 3.4 anomalies and SST are both warming, while 4 temps are cooling while anomalies are warming.
  10. mitchnick
    Interesting how despite the 1+2 positive anomalies, the actual temperature of 1+2 continues to drop.
  11. mitchnick
    Looks like the Cfs2 has maintained October with the last strong WWB based on this attached 800/850 chart and plumes (not attached.)
  12. mitchnick
    Papers by people who have an agenda or financed by those in a position to profit? Idk, just asking. I find it hard to believe anything I read when comes to any issue that's been politicized. And even when results are true, mundane results can be hyped or sensationalized to create a false impression of importance/urgency. Like making a big deal about the rising of a few tenths of a degree in a very small portion of the Pacific off S. America when the record was 29 years ago. I mean if GW was so urgent, it wouldn't have taken 29 years to beat the record by a few tenths of a degree. That doesn't strike me as a "rapidly shifting climate."
  13. mitchnick
    My take is that we're .1 or .2 warmer than 1997, some 29 years ago, and despite the warming/warnings, neither the world nor mankind has ended as a result of GW. Enjoy the weekend all.
  14. mitchnick
    Good thing you chose meteorology over politics! Lol
  15. mitchnick
    I'd consider a rain changing to a minor snow accumulation this December a victory. And that's coming from an eternal optimist.
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