mitchnick
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Nobody is forcing anyone to consider any model. But if someone posts a model's SSTA forecast, what's so wrong or unusual about posting it's resulting weather forecast. It's done all the time. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The weather is what counts, and I'm not seeing anything different than previous extremes being forecasted by the same models forecasting your "global climate disruption." In fact, there's yet to be an agreement on the resulting weather. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I said weather in the east. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
So you can post verbatim model conditions if they suggest a furnace but not if the same model suggests conditions otherwise? -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Conditions on the earth a couple thousand+ miles from mby are meaningless to me except how they effect weather imby. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
There will certainly be rainstorms as any winter, but considering the light tan is only +.5C and the next level up is only +1C, there would certainly be plenty of snow threats in there imho with such small AN progs. Plus, the individual month maps for January and February look even better. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
You forgot to mention temps/precip on the NMME are pretty sweet for winter lovers in the east for Dec-Feb. Individual months look decent as well imho. Links start in December. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=nmme®ion=us&pkg=T2ma_nmme&runtime=2026060800&fh=6 https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=nmme®ion=us&pkg=apcpna_month_nmme&runtime=2026060800&fh=6 -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The thought that you would question the great JB's claim of a weather record setter is shocking, just shocking. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I think he was just pointing out that the entire 1+2 was cooler than 82/83. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Gimme' 82/83 please! Surprise 7" in December then the Megalopolis storm in February. My brother and I had to push my late uncle's van during the Noon hour when BWI recorded 4" in that hour. Thunder and lightning all day was just surreal. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Euro seasonal only goes out thru December, but looks pretty similar to Cfs2 vs Cansips weather-wise. Very wet along the east coast. I'll take it with my inland location at 600'asl. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Nice to hear from you Buckeye. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
How dare they ruin the reputation of LinkedIn with 1 random post. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yep. And if you scroll thru the slp maps for each month, you can easily imagine at least one good hit down your way. January, and especially February, even show cold air/ridging pressing south along the Appalachians starting in Virginia. Here's a link to December: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cfs-mon®ion=us&pkg=mslpa&runtime=2026060406&fh=6
