mitchnick

It's been showing up more on modeling than reality since I moved up here unfortunately.

Talk about coming out of nowhere.

It does. But I was wondering where all the cold air went. Lol

3k Nam advertising a last minute fail for eastern NC snow.

Great beach weekend at KD Hills. https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lon=-75.664&lat=36.013

So AI jumps north from 12z with Wednesday threat and the plays the disappearing act with the 4-6" event it had for next weekend. So much for the notion of AI being consistent.

That seems to be an AI thing. I've been noticing that on a number of both AI runs.

Incredible how far south this has been crushed.

Yeah. It was on the Gfs and I posted on it in a response to Stormtracker.

I was looking at snowfall on Pivotal, not that it matters.

No. It's really weak too. Not more than 1" east of the mountains.

Ukie has nothing for us or anyone else for that matter.

On the Gfs? They've got to be excited.

If you use thr slide function for this 5H vort, not only is the weekend storm off the coast with its low height killing us, there's a s/w in Canada heading south making sure it gets crushed to our south. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs&region=us&pkg=z500_vort&runtime=2026013012&fh=6

Height lines are oriented nw/se at 99hrs. Pretty low probability it does.