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mitchnick

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    Hanover, PA

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  1. mitchnick
    With the projected strength of this Niño, anything on our side is encouraging at this point!
  2. mitchnick
    I'm inland at 600', but the hills to my N & NE would be the better spot. Of course, if that was to happen, I'd say it would then be a shutout for most until January.
  3. mitchnick
    Warm early with better chances after the New Year is pretty much what current seasonal modeling (that goes through at least March) is showing. That said, as was posted earlier, with October Niños usually BN, I wouldn't be surprised if someone in the east, preferably higher elevations, get a fluke October or early November snowfall. Just a hunch.
  4. mitchnick
    The exact opposite. I posted earlier that I liked the fact the Cansips faded the Niño west over the winter. He didn't quote me because that the way he operates.
  5. mitchnick
    Sad
  6. mitchnick
    That's not east based. I like the way warmest anomalies fade west.
  7. mitchnick
    Good news
  8. mitchnick
    Sun has become pretty active again contrary to your typical transition to a minimum. Let's see if that continues. https://solen.info/solar/index.html
  9. mitchnick
    Late to the party on this one, but this is the Cfs2 ssta map prog for December. Sure looks basinwide to these old eyes. Definitely not Modoki.
  10. mitchnick
    Nope. You're apparently centered on I95 locations.
  11. mitchnick
    Sux to be those other places. But most are centered around the I95 concrete jungle heat island. No surprise there and to be expected as the development has not ended.
  12. mitchnick
    Harrisburg Capital City Airport is -.8 thru June 26th. It's been closer to Niño around here. The heat waves this year have been transient or you wouldn't have a BN number thru the first 26 days of the month. Since this one won't start until Tuesday, the month will still likely end BN. My hunch is this heat will be transient again, but we'll have to see.
  13. mitchnick
    PDO still drifting higher regardless and contrary to last year's drop at this point.
  14. mitchnick
    Unfortunately, in this hobby, no bias = no hope! Lol
  15. mitchnick
    Won't be a record year, save the highest elevations. No one has said otherwise. But it's incredible how just posting model progs can cause such a stir. But as I said in my post to Michigan, no seasonal forecasts I've seen are flat out furnaces in the east. That and the surprisingly cold forecasts by at least the Cansips and Jamstec make me at least optimistic for a few snow chances considering the AN precip along the coast by most models.
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