mitchnick

Fyi. In addition to more detailed forecast info on the Ukie, Pivotal also offers for free the Ukie Ensembles in case you didn't know. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=mogrepsgens

Agree on the return of trades after westerlies, but not so sure I'm sold on the certainty of that poster. If I recall, Patel was predicting a few months ago with a lot of confidence how the Niña was coming and it was delayed as we now know. Not a lot of late peaking Niñas and latest forecasts from the Euro and Cfs say it starts to fade in January, so whether Niña intensifies remains a question to me. Of course, Patel didn't say if the Niña would begin cooling again after trades return, so I'm not sure what value it is as to a forecast.

Someone who hated snow maybe?

Euro's last monthly forecast did a pretty good job with the drop. IF it maintains its forecast accuracy, it hascthe Niña peaking mid-January. Euro monthly updates in around 10 days or so, so maybe it changes. I do think the westerlies the Eps has sneaking in before restarting trades will at least stall further cooling and may, I said may (lol), interrupt the cooling process despite resumption of the trades. That would coincidence with the Euro's monthly forecast it seems. Obviously, this is 1 possible scenario. We'll see.

Merry Christmas and Happy Hanukkah!

It should. I just wish the waffling would end and the Gfs would stop ending on a pending bomb. Merry Christmas to all.

Can't help but think with that kind of contrast between air and sea, it will help with developing low pressure.

Larry, have you ever seen such a huge area of BN off the Atlantic seaboard on the weeklies? I can't recall it.

Today's weeklies looked to have gotten colder for week 2. Plus, the AN for the last week that was there yesterday is gone as a reload from sw Canada appears imminent. Recall I mentioned a few days ago how it looked like a possible pattern repeat due to cold air building from sw Canada. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/extended-anomaly-2t?base_time=202412240000&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202501060000

Fwiw, today's weeklies colder again and they lost the AN temps for the last week as a reload from sw Canada looks to be imminent. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/extended-anomaly-2t?base_time=202412240000&projection=opencharts_north_america&valid_time=202501060000

Don't remember the 1966 one living near BWI, though I do remember an event in 2/67 with the most mesmerizing, huge snowflakes as I staired incessantly outside from my classroom wall of windows. Odd, because I remember the 66' Blizzard, probably from digging so many tunnels with my brother through the 4-5' drifts on the side of our house. I definitely remember the Christmas 1969 snowstorm, also near BWI. My father kept telling me to "stop turning around" as I kept looking outside while in church. Lol It did start before church ended, so we got to walk home in the snow. Only about 5" imby before going over th zr, but still great.

How I hate this "hobby." Lol S/w up north sucked it north.

Gfs might be nice for 1/8. We'll see shortly.

Thanks Larry. I don't doubt there are readings below -1C in 3.4, but I would be shocked if we get a trimonthly of -1C or lower.

Randon flakes falling in Hanover, but the bulk of precip line apparently dried up. Oh well, Merry Christmas Eve to all!