Jump to content

mitchnick

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    28,743

  • Joined

About mitchnick

Profile Information

  • Gender
    Not Telling
  • Location:
    Hanover, PA

Recent Profile Visitors

The recent visitors block is disabled and is not being shown to other users.

  1. mitchnick
    As did 850 temps in MA and SE.
  2. mitchnick
    Gotta' love the Aleutian Low at 5H.
  3. mitchnick
    That range is .5-1C.
  4. mitchnick
    Some WB maps at this post.
  5. mitchnick
    Here's the August DJF temp forecast.
  6. mitchnick
    5H is better this run too. DJF is looking a lot like Cfs2.
  7. mitchnick
    Euro seasonal a little cooler in the MA and SE. This is for the NDJ period. Can't compare DJF because July's forecast ends at NDJ.
  8. mitchnick
    Based solely on the url, it looks like v5 (version 5?) is the lower number and v6 (version 6?) is the higher number.
  9. mitchnick
    Yet, and this may have already been mentioned, most modeling shows the upcoming MJO having an affinity for the Maritime Continent. https://www.stormsurf.com/page2/links/mjo_phase.html
  10. mitchnick
    Cfs2 has been hitting hard in October for a while. Considering how far away we are from October, it might be the biggest yet if correct. But is that signaling the big finale? Idk. Just wondering based on an apparent November forecast peak.
  11. mitchnick
    Oh, the "not me, it's you" defense. Lol If you call trying to get to the bottom line of a post/position an attack, I can't help you. But the bottom line is, you haven't denied my synopsis of your post/position because it's accurate. Which is fine. You can take whatever position you want. But clarity matters, that's all.
  12. mitchnick
    Oh, the need for a cheap shot can't escape you can it? You've shown your true colors. That was easy.
  13. mitchnick
    So you think everything in law is black and white? You're kidding me right? The point you miss is one doesn’t need to say a lot to make a point. The past 2 or 3 months, you've been triggered every month with the updated seasonal forecasts because they haven't shown a furnace in the east. In essence, your warning is models have under forecasted the strength of ridges in the past which "could" be taken as guaranteed future results i.e. stronger ridges resulting in more heat. But no real forecast because we just don't know yet...but it still "could." That really is the sum and substance of all those posts the way I see it. Where am I wrong?
  14. mitchnick
    Can't you ever answer a simple question with a simple answer? When I was in law school, they beat into our heads: be brief and to the point. I didn't ask if any models should be taken at face value. I asked if" the ridges will be or won't be stronger and thereby causing current seasonal modeling for the southeast, mid atlantic, and/or northeast to be wrong?" So, do you or don't you? Because right now, your statements are nothing more than "could be." Which leaves them open to you claiming victory if they are stronger and defending the statements if they aren't by saying "I said could be."
  15. mitchnick
    You've posted this several times this year and even before the 24/25 winter. So are you saying the ridges will be or won't be stronger and thereby causing current seasonal modeling for the southeast, mid atlantic, and/or northeast to be wrong? I mean you could be right, or you could be wrong obviously, but your post appear to be simply saying "current seasonal modeling could be wrong." Forget about the rest of the globe because I'm sure we'll find seasonal modeling too strong or weak with ridges/troughs as that's a given.
×
×
  • Create New...