mitchnick

Snowing here now. Storm started early!

Wow! Buy, buy, buy!

Really impressive snow virga to our immediate west and nw. I think it's cold just above the deck.

Gfs sort of did that on yesterday's 12z run. Had it in PA, then reformed in VA.

It should be snowing pretty good in a few minutes here. Won't last, of course.

AI is basically a miss with maybe 1/2" for us and little or nothing around metros.

Ukie not updating on Pivotal and only partial info on other sites.

Fyi, GfsAI has fairly similar snowfall to regular Gfs from what I can tell by piecing 6hr precip maps with 850 temps. Very rudimentary, of course, but close enough to get close to what it's showing for snowfall.

GfsAI has an overrunning event that starts as snow but goes to something else. So the idea similar to last night's runs is still there.

Last 4 runs of Gefs snowfall for period ending 186hrs on 12z run. Definite, slow improvement.

As long as the Gfs, the best snowfall model so far, with the patchy mess, expect to see the rest of modeling follow suit I would guess.

You do know the line between sane and insane is fine.

On a related note, I don’t know who these people are, but it just showed up on my YouTube feed. Haven't even listened to it, but the title alone gives me joy.

Of course it's sketchy at best, but it's better than showing something crappy.

I don't dislike how the Nam looks at the end of the run. Just sayin'.