mitchnick
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Hanover, PA
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We're in a colder base state. This would work for Baltimore City IF you can get precip to hold together over the mts and/or preferably redevelopment once east of them.
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If you go back and look, the Nam shifted the heavy accumulations north at 12z yesterday if I recall, and has been furthest North with the accumulating snow area. As bad as the Nam can be, it always sniffs out the mid level warmth.
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Yeah, I thought it looked like 12/14 too. I’ll keep my fingers crossed that those of us situated between the mts and ocean don't get skipped.
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Euro does
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Congrats man. You and your peeps deserve this one.
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We've been cheated on this one.
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Nice westerly wind burst along the equatorial Pacific forecasted on the weeklies that's on our doorstep.
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Got some heavy sleet under a bright yellow radar band.
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Although I'm usually optimistic, I don't like what I'm seeing at all. Yeah, something could pop up, but the advertised pattern looks to me like a different take on cold and dry and there are no single legit threats showing up on the ensembles causing mean snowfall progs to respond. Until some one identifiable threat appears, I think it's safe to bet on nothing. How I hope that changes.
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
mitchnick replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
This system has reverted back to the old days of Niñas when the snow/freezing line slowly crept north as we got closer to the event. Unlike the snows in VA earlier in the month that never really bugged much at all from several days out. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
mitchnick replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
All ensemble snowfall imby are horrendous with 1-2". I know they aren't accurate, but usually because they are too high! That's the problem! Lol -
Jma scores coups sometimes. I wouldn't call it a joke, but it's not a consistent top performer.
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Since the scale explanation mentions "significance ", I've just figured there was nothing compelling warm or cold, so I figure near normal.
