mitchnick

Lt snow falling here. Crazy Canadian says 1/2"+ falls. Radar is lit up, but basically another reminder this is a weak sauce season.

We don't need 2 of me around here ya' know.

Latest Srefs fwiw

Sure about that? Because this is what it has headed for us 5-6 days later. Lol

But only in the southern burbs of Oz. Less to the north.

I don't care. They're not my maps. I would use different colors.

I still don't trust WB maps. Here's the temp forecast off the Euro site. Cold is way overdone on WB.

That is the coolest of the forecast weeks off the Euro site, but still apparently in the normal category for temps and precip.

No real argument from me on their accuracy, but that doesn’t change the fact that they keep trending warmer instead of colder as they did earlier in the fall and early winter.

Gefs still suck by the end of the run unfortunately.

Another generally warmer than yesterday run on the weeklies. Hopefully climo temps, which are favored, will do the trick.

Updated Cansips 5H fwiw. This is the link to January and you can go from there. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cansips&region=nhem&pkg=z500a&runtime=2026010100&fh=0 Temps: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cansips&region=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2026010100&fh=0 Precip (dry) https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cansips&region=us&pkg=apcpna_month&runtime=2026010100&fh=0 EDIT: Niño! https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cansips&region=global&pkg=ssta_noice&runtime=2026010100&fh=11

End of the 6z Gefs, if correct, looks workable as it may be a bit wetter with marginal temps.

Geps may not be so bad and is probably the coolest of the 3 0z ensembles past the 12th. Gfs/Gefs is a cluster no doubt. As Chuck's pointed out, Eps ain't bad. I short, anything but what the Gfs/Gefs show. But at this point, any of the 3 is possible, or a combination, is possible. Iow, none of them is likely correct. Lol

About 1/2" up here in Hanover. Still light, unaccumulating snow falling.