mitchnick
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Hanover, PA
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I agree, and I'm not worried about temps. We just need an effin' real slp to track west to east below us or up the coast dropping at least 1/2" of qpf. That's what I'm not seeing. If the pattern advertised by the ensembles is so great, the operationals should be full of those threats, but they're not. And I think you'd agree with me on that.
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That just proves his maps are juiced. But it's not worth arguing about since it'll be changing in 7 hours. By the way, I do acknowledge that the flow out of Canada is usually a cold one for us, but interesting nonetheless that it is only slightly BN.
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Don't fret. It's gone on the 6z run.
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Another "end of the run" tease on the Gfs without an ending.
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It breaks the DT rule with a closed 5H low west of the Mississippi.
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End of Ggem run monster probably would be rain, but we'll never know.
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Gfs has never worked.
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Until ensemble patterns look good, ensemble snowfall is decent, and we have accompanying operational models showing a storm(s), THEN we have something. We actually had this at 12z with the Euro suite, but none of the others. There was a day when that was good enough, but we all know how horrid the latest version of the Euro can be as we may remember from last winter and it's days 8-12 teases. We need the Euro suite to hold in one fashion or another and the GFS & GEM suites to join with it. Then I'm legit psyched.
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The kind of pattern that supports the operational storm.
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Euro weeklies are still below or around normal, but have lost the AN precip during the 2nd period to a little BN unfortunately.
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Eps really lit up.
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4.0-8.0
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Eps, as usual, are a miss tonthe north for the 8th/9th.
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