mitchnick

Odd, wasn't it? We always get pure snow every winter. Must be another Gfs error.

Looked like a 3rd one was lining up at the end too.

Surprised no one mentioned (assuming I didn't miss it) the end of all 3 ensembles from 12z. Incredible agreement and great, great pattern. Here's the Eps with links to the other 2. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs-ens&region=nhem&pkg=z500a&runtime=2026011212&fh=384 https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem-ens&region=nhem&pkg=z500a&runtime=2026011212&fh=384

I'll take the Canadian please. 2 shots

Yep. Known biases. Now, the biases change with the system.

Go back to sleep. You have 180 hours to rest. Lol By the way, Gefs and Geps are similar.

EPS really high on 2nd half of the forecast period. Top map is snowfall at 180hrs and bottom map 360hrs.

GfsAI has a 6-10" snow around the 23rd-24th fwiw. It's something. Lol

The Ukie had a very similar 5H vort on its 168hrs map. Let's see what the 0z run looks like.

No, Miller B I'd gladly take.

You left your glove!

I know. I was just commenting on the trough. Otoh, look at the Canadian 168hrs map.

They base those stats on 500mb. Even if the 500mb progs are better, the surface predictions are no better to worse imby. Right or wrong, nobody will convince me otherwise.

The aeard for the most impressive east coast trough goes to the GGEM. No snow for us, but an incredibly shaped trough nonetheless.

These trough that come in with a NE/SW shape and hook southeast aren't going to work for us. We need a west to east progression.