Turner Team

Even if the Euro is correct on track of low and upper level features wouldn't there be a more expansive precipitation field to the NW than is currently shown? Seems like that happens alot in overrunning situations.

Anyone have the sleet maps from the 12Z models?

Looks on radar like there is now a dominant center SSW of Vieques. There is some banding that's forming over Puerto Rico that is starting to wrap around the new COC. There is also alot of lightning just south of the center.

To me it looks like the center could be reforming SW of St Croix. I think the swirl on radar is just a mesolow but it looks like it could be rotating around another COC.

I think its so funny that all of a sudden everybody is giving up on winter when we are only halfway through winter..

Yeah you're definitely in a good spot too. I'm in Cave Spring right behind Cave Spring Middle. Seems like we always do better than other parts on the valley in this type of setup.

We are for now.... Looking good for later on tonight though. I think its going to be a situation where there is a very sharp cutoff somewhere just north of 81 though. There definitely should be a wide range of accumulations across the valley though. I wouldn't be surprised at all to see the Bent Mountain or Clearbrook areas get 5 or 6 inches out of this.