weathafella

So odds are highest in general for January being above average given it is the coldest month of the year climo wise.

Anthony isn’t posting. Nuff said.

Lol…their lifespan was 30 something.

Ok op huggers-today’s euro is snowy for many of us.

Paul, I think your approach narrows the possibilities. I mean isn’t AI inherently “better computing” considering the concept is deep learning? I think AI can be tweaked when we see where it needs to be quickly. As a crude example, my phone quickly learns how I use “muthufukka”. Phones five years ago took much longer and my next phone should even learn it faster.

Why do you have disdain for AI weather models?

I think there’s opportunity every 3/4 days. Obviously this first one is warm but based on guidance I’m seeing we’ll have lots of chances. We should be a lot more active and the hope is the boundary is favorable for us. It will be sometimes but we obviously are playing with fire a lot.

Inverted flake light snow now.

The ensembles in the 8-15 range are much more favorable vs the ops. It seems silly get tall wrapped up in op forecasts in a difficult pattern on clown range.

Moving the goalposts I see. Hard to do with the kind they use now…. 100% knew the details of this disappearing by later this week. Amount’s through 12/25 are still debatable but you must have a joyless life if you can’t appreciate the beauty of a little snow we have today.

Quite beautiful looking at the trees from my favorite chair. About an inch with light snow falling. https://imgur.com/a/PIoLL5v

Not really. If aloft is 925 maybe zr but if it’s 850 it’s likely sleet. Kind of reminds me of the gtg at Clarkes Boston a week before Christmas in 2017. Guidance universally had a huge torch starting in 5 days. Scooter and Will pulled up the 84 hour NAM which indicated the CAD signals. Got cut off at the pass with some ice and snow followed by deep cold for a few weeks.

Great presentation Ryan. If anything my advice would be to use a virtual background.

Gfs AI was 2 inches to the pike region.

Yes gfs coming in decent.