Nelson

Hoping the end of run look on the ensembles continues and we can get that big a** ridge to move east - set up for cutter season.

Good luck to everyone in the potential path - rooting for a historic event

This is wild As a result, the expectation is for the lake effect snow bands to be unusually intense with peak snow rates of 3 to locally 5 inches per hour, frequent lightning and thunder, and pockets of hail.

You need to find a new hobby...... Your posts are pretty annoying and don't contribute anything to this board.

Had 1/2” hail here with a cell that formed right overhead. .

Ended up with 4.4" here on the west side of Madison. Pretty close to expectation - thought we might push 5-6" with how much it lingered.

Barely paying attention until I see one of them chime in... This bullshit isn't helping.

Keep hope alive bro...

came here to say this...

Running about as expected here. Guessing 6-7" so far (hard to measure at this point). Might make double digits if this afternoon can produce.

9.9" for mby to get us over 20" for the week.....

Obviously, lot of debating of finer details but at a higher level view, I think the GEFS and EPS ensemble means have been pretty consistent.

**edit** just saw we pulled the trigger on a thread. I like it. Obviously would be tits if we got back to back 6+' storms (in my neck of the woods) but long ways to go yet on the weekend system. Lot of spread on the GFS ENS. Don't mind the EPS look at this point. Also, lots of talk about how the ECMWF has been shit as of late but does anyone have verification stats to back that up (I'm too lazy to look)? Seems like it was pretty consistent at range with the early week system vs the GFS.

Ride the ENS....