This is the part that got me salivating:
Some model solutions however are showing some re-
development along residual boundaries/outflow from the MCS from
earlier in the day; not sure how realistic that may end up being and
though I think dry weather wins out, any storm that can break the
cap would have an environment more typical of central Plains
instability rarely seen in New England: as much as 4500 J/kg of
CAPE, steep lapse rates of 8 C/km albeit with weak shear.
Granted it’s only the point and click but I don’t think I’ve ever seen “100” in a local forecast especially three days out. With regards to the tstorm potential this weekend I like that there could be an EML in place:
but will
also lead to the eastward advection of extremely steep lapse rates
in the 700 to 500 mb layer from the northern Plains and Rockies,
which meteorologists refer to as an "elevated mixed layer".
ABBA MCS
So when you're near me, Darlin can't you hear me? MCSThe love you gave me, Nothing else could save me, MCSWhen your gone, How can I even try to go on, When your gone, though I try, How can I carry on?
Btw I meant to ask but what is going on the last few days with the outlook area between SE PA and DE and NJ? They’ve been in a tiny marginal area the last few days. (And seems to have been producing too!) Some kind of orographic or local phenomena going on?