Ji

We’ll probably get 20-30 inches between mid December and late January. Buckle up!

We could be back in a favorable mjo phase by then

thats how i am approaching this winter. ensembles out to 360 hours. We are currently in the hide the kids and shut the blinds mode. We got 40 days to fix this

Nobody cares. After last year…this is a 2-3 weeks out business

There is a chance mjo goes into favorable phase by Dec 20. The pattern can’t stay like this forever. Cfs has flipped between liking January and February almost daily lol but most runs like one month

Cfs monthly…weather models.com

This will be the last climate maps i look at for the season.

Dec 2000 was epic and it was a pretty active season for the Northeast. The March 2001 bust --yikes

thats land

The Euro weeklies look horrendous. The EPO that seemed to be shaping up for late November has been reversed. It dosent matter....a great pattern in November is still rain for me and Cape.....so hopefully the Shiiit pattern can reverse by Dec 20th. im out

I am pretty shocked. But they had like 200,000 cancellations over the weekend or something absurd

He seems bullish on winter

I need some help. Have a friend going to Cozumel area next week for vacation. Models looks pretty dicey in terms of rain next week especially after Wednesday. She wants to know if she should cancel but I don’t have enough expertise in that area to give her a solid answer but looking at models it dosent look great lol

Lesson for winter. Invest 70% of your accumulation forecast into the driest models

HRRR has basically no rain for the rest of the storm lol