N. OF PIKE

Clinch Your the man on this storm I have seen you nail another storm like this Well done man, well done

looks like PYM county enhancement on radar right up to a few sprinkles of green returns near jay in s bos

radar juicing up over West Central Long island and NYC and backing up West more noticeably to the south of Long island. Not that it means anything for here, just a observation to the SW the thing that is slightly interesting is the vortex (on radar) just east of NJ , maybe a radar trick http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?product=N0R&rid=okx&loop=yes doesn't show up as well on mt holly so I highly doubt it would be any sort of LP

oh mann, Bliz can't you stay up just one nite!

CF not that sharp but west we see low 20's / East upper 20's (from Boston to Salisbury) . Seems to run Newbury-Middleton-Melrose-Belmont but not that sharp wrt the N shore

Scott you still at work, are you looking at things closely What do you think about mid level low development and timing regarding models or what you see or No real difference

MVY under the freakin gun right now . Look at that beast of a band

That is accurate but I would argue that it was modeled pretty well as a meso feature like that could be on 0z and 12z hi res nam....and it just sort of slowly expands until and they pound till like midnite and then the deform develops on top of them from like 1am to 8am ....which is obviously up in the air.

pretty damn close 0z hi res nam http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/NAMSFC4_0z/rad23.html 12z hi res nam http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/NAMSFC4_12z/rad10.html in fact the 18z hi res nam absolutely Destorys NYC then NE NJ Lower H.V between like 8pm and midnite while we wait for the frontogenesis to start to work up form cape around 11pm-Midnite

deep down in your inner weenie mind you dream of the Euro's 1" QPF verifying....what would that be 18-20" with ratio's in that deform

Jay, do you SPC page for that. Also do you have an idea when the euro closed off 7H and 5H on it's 12z run....this is data I have been trying to find and can't. This is what I would like to watch

James are you close to route 6 or closer to the ocean. I.E what part of Harwich you at

I would LOVE if a Met or knowledgeable hobbyist could help me/ others with something http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/nwatl/flash-wv.html This is the water vapor loop......IT's apparently about the timing of the capture/closing off mid levels (which is different on models which results in their uncertainty) Now can anyone Use a current image of this loop and draw or point out what features we are looking at on WV to actually phase and where one should look on WV loop . It may be amateurish question but I would like to know and If I mis-stated what to look for please correct me. Would This be a good place to look, scroll to "Basic UA" then click on the 500MB analysis drop down and watch to see where/when that fully closes off. If I recall the euro started to close off 5H but waited longer on 12z run

Oh def. forecasting nightmare sometimes What town you posting from on the cape!?

they got that freak Thin Meso Band....that went out to N shore of L.I I think 5 miles south of NYC has a dusting lol