weatherwiz

Sucks the strongest shear lags behind the front Friday. but with large CAPE/a bit of an EML we could still pull off some big storms, its just they would be more pulse type and may not be organized

Was waiting for your comment on this! Its intriguing for sure.

ahhh yes you're right. Comes out of convection which evolves in the upper-Midwest. Certainly can work but...that is definitely more of a long shot,

That’s a good thought. I didn’t think of that. It seems though the question is the trajectory of that shortwave diving southeast out of Canada and where the front becomes positioned. I am really intrigued by this but I hate how it’s just really the NAM that is showing a robust EML. The euro may be as well but I only have weather models so limited on euro products.

Violence Thursday on the 18z NAM.

Well I guess its cooler if you're going to compare 86 versus 93 lol.

I didn't look at the AI's. I have not been particularly impressed with them lately. That seems extremely overstated to me

Doesn't really seem like a cool(er) look to me, outside of perhaps any post fropa but we probably go right back to above average

NAM is really aggressive with an expansive EML advecting into the region. GFS not so much. A little nervous on this because the NAM tends to overdo these, however, you throw an EML in Thursday with a shortwave trough moving through and there will be some severe storms. Lots of details to iron out these next few days!

Could be here. Probably be evening though but can’t rule out afternoon stuff, especially west

Thursday could be a big day

why can't we get this

The amount of wind we have had this spring has been absolutely annoying. It seems like every day is gusting 15-20+ mph.

The winds along the leading edge from yesterday in New Britain

In East Longmeadow. Nice light show