weatherwiz

I can’t believe the rainfall totals being spit out by guidance. A widespread 8-12”. Given how much convection will be involved I bet there will be some locations that pull of 20”.

Wow PDS Flood Watch for parts of KY/TN/AR/MS. I don't ever recall seeing a PDS Flood Watch...?

Saturday is going to struggle to warm sector. Don't think anyone in New England warm sectors. Sunday most should warm sector but it may take some a while.

A little off but not bad

Yeah this is looking ugly within western Kentucky. I would not be surprised if there were spots that saw 15-20" of rain.

As long as it was in an open field with nobody's homes/businesses in the path would be good with that!

ehhh not really...can enjoy weather from afar

I don't think the HRRR is too far off with probably a wintry mix moving across the region during the evening. That's a heck of a surge of WAA. Have to see how quickly the llvl cold scoots out.

Actually there might be a few small areas of enhanced tornado potential tomorrow. Wouldn't be surprised if one of two things happen 1) The geographical area of the 10% hatched TOR is reduced and confined to a smaller area. 2) the area remains the same but 15% hatched is added in these areas. This is much more fun to track versus 30's/40's, clouds and drizzle.

At least we shouldn't have issues warm sectoring for Thursday (well except up north)

It's been pretty ugly there. This week could end up ugly too...this could be a bigger story than the severe weather potential really. but I guess when you're pooling 60's dews and rich theta-e air into fronts which seem to stall there for multiple days that sets up a terrible recipe. Was it last there they had a stationary front there for like 3-4 days?

I wonder how many tornadoes there will be tomorrow. Seems like its predominately linear mode outside of initial development. I also feel like it may not pan out to be anything over the top wild.

One month to go!!!! Less than a month actually

Tomorrow looks like toaster bath weather. MAV/MET for BOS is 30's. NBM is a little more kind