weatherwiz

yup...just caught that.

Same here. Watch it be so anomalous that it has the complete opposite effect of what we'd think and it results in historic cold/snow across the country

Gotta say...definitely impressive how the guidance for such an anomalous event have not backed down. About to have another impressive WWB too http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/ventrice/real_time/timeLon/u.anom.30.5S-5N.gif EDIT: this is July not June

I don't think storm chances were ever particularly high for today. Always seemed more isolated

I still don't understand how ideas can be drawn on how a summer will be based on the concept of what *may* occur in terms of an ENSO event which is in the stages of development.

meh just a little warm

At WestConn we still had to use PowerPoint for our broadcasts because the school refused to pay for WSI and didn't care how important it was. I'm pretty sure they still use PowerPoint to this day.

It's going to be too much to ask to get something to time right in the Tuesday-Wednesday time frame, isn't it?

I can certainly imagine lol. Its interesting how the human brain works

Wish this concept was more easily grasp by the population

the headlines with severe weather are a joke. "Tens of thousands under the gun for severe weather". CNN and NY Post loves to do this. Then you have clowns like Ryan Hall and Max Velocity who have to use that headline and that have their stupid looking face making a stupid reaction in their thumbnails.

I really hope we can time an EML plume with the front next week but not looking particularly favorable right now...but we are a bit far out.

Made a comment on this a while back but isn't this sort of a product of the declining +AMO as we transition to a -NAO regime?

12z HRRR yesterday did a nice job with the idea today and then NAM followed suite. Been steady all day but has been heaviest over the past hour. Breeze picking up too

Concern for some localized flash flooding, sure. But some of what was going around made it seem like flooding was going to be a large or widespread issue. But this is becoming a big problem in forecasting when it comes to some of these products. Folks see ensembles going crazy and all of a sudden alarm bells are sounded without fully divulging into all the data and then you have these products like extreme forecast index which further adds to the alarm bells. Yes, sure when you have these products showing something extreme there definitely should be concern, but they can't just be taken at face value nor should they be. Same goes with severe weather and winter weather...even in the west, a ton of events will get all hyped up with talk of tornado outbreaks and strong tornadoes because supercell composite parameter/significant tornado parameter forecasts are "through the roof" then the event comes and there are barely any tornadoes, let alone strong ones. And of course winter...D12 snowmaps show widespread 20-30" storms and here goes the social media hype for a massive blizzard. While sure there were guidance throwing around widespread 4-8" rain amounts and isolated higher totals, it was pretty clear that was not going to be the case and any amounts that excessive would most likely be extremely isolated or confined closer to where the warm front would be and it was also clear these totals would be spread out over a longer duration. Overall flood risk appeared low. Like I said earlier, watch in a few weeks we will get a setup with produces flooding and there will be little talk of the potential. For whatever reason it seems anytime talk of flooding is possible it never pans out, then we get setups where there is little mention of flooding possibility and you have problems all over.