Jump to content

weatherwiz

Meteorologist
  • Posts

    81,270
  • Joined

  • Last visited

2 Followers

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KBDL
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    northeast Springfield (near Wilbraham line)
  • Interests
    Weather, sports, ?

Recent Profile Visitors

40,911 profile views
  1. I think too alot of how this evolves is tied into how the convective scenario evolves today within the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley which remains quite complex
  2. Agreed on this. You can see that hinted at just looking at how the mlvls evolve. This is more like a cool season evolution than something we usually see in the warm season. Just looking at 700 RH you can see the idea of two jack zones and where
  3. I don't know if I see much flooding potential outside of any typical flood-prone areas that flood if it precipitates for more than 5 minutes. A lot of this is drawn out over multiple days and ends up being more convective in nature. There will be a good slug of rain early on in the setup with the warm front or even triple point but this looks to occlude rather quickly. Any flooding risk probably confined to (if) any areas that are hit with several rounds of convection.
  4. Gotta be extremely careful here just rip and reading total QPF maps. It might be difficult to get widespread amounts as modeled. The axis of highest totals is going to be confined to where the warm front is located and this will be a narrow axis. Also potential for this to close off to our west which would introduce dry slot concerns. Going to be a quite a bit of convection though so there are going to be some areas that probably get smoked, but we may see some drastic differences in precip. amounts across the region when all said and done. There should be some concern though for some significant flash flooding but how widespread?
  5. Doesn't really look like a washout to me this week. Looks to be more daytime heating driven scattered-to-numerous showers and thunderstorms. But Tuesday into Wednesday may have a solid line of very heavy rain and thunderstorms moving through at least part of the region.
  6. Tensions are building. I foresee an all out brawl in here come December. Hell in a Cell style. Will be carnage everywhere
  7. Did a few assignments in my Quantitative Analysis class using R recently. Fun stuff...interesting programming language.
  8. I could see more of an argument if we were seeing something more anomalous like a barrage of like cutoff lows or something along the lines of a tendency for omega-block patterns (just using these as random examples) but this recent stretch of rains has been the product of slow moving frontal systems and warm front progression...kind of par of the course for mid-summer.
×
×
  • Create New...