I might be off on the time period actually. I had thought there were some significant tropical waves in that region which led to multiple significant tropical systems (where parts of Australia was hit multiple times) but I think that was actually more late January or something.
Remember when everyone was worried about mud lol. Might be the most overrated worry come spring time. Its literally muddy for like 3 days and that's it. Unless you live in a field of dirt
Yeah the strength of the few WWBs we've seen this early is pretty noteworthy. If we maintain surges of WWB moving into the summer we are goin to see EL Nino become established rather quickly
I agree with that, however, I think what we'd have to watch for is cloud cover from upstream precipitation/convection...though perhaps shear vectors favor us avoiding this mess.
Not a heck of alot of lift around but maybe a chance for a few strong storms Tuesday north and west...been a pretty decent signal for a few days. maybe some sort of weak pre-frontal trough around?