weatherwiz

hey they get plenty of days in the Plains with double the MLCAPE and nada because they capped out the fanny

S NH/MA/N CT

Going to be a loud night tomorrow somewhere in this area

There may be a cluster of elevated storms tomorrow night tracking northeast across the region. Would be quite the light show. Then we'll have to see if we can bust out into sun on Saturday but could see widespread storms and maybe even several pockets of wind damage

I am hoping we can pump 80's and dewpoints into the 70's into November. Can sit outside and watch football and hockey...that would be epic.

This isn't bad for D3. I'm not huge into these products but assessing everything you can see the potential is there and when you supplement with this product its certainly a real signal.

Saturday could be a pretty good widespread day of storms with some strong-to-severe storms

Won't have any time to dig into winter analysis but I really am curious how this winter will go. I do find it extremely hard to believe though this will not be a well above average for much of the U.S. With how expansive the 28-30C waters are (and still growing) expansive ridging is going to be too dominant. Hard to see anything really combating that. Probably be dealing with a raging jet too...but with that, maybe we get something and we benefit in a big way from a powerful jet

Instability pretty large tomorrow. Shear certainly doesn't look great so probably looking at some pulse type. Will probably see a ton of lightning in any storms and a localized FF risk where storms occur.

Monday could be a decent severe setup too. Going to be an active several days in the convective department. Certainly going to start seeing some increased flood concerns too. Time to toss those drought maps

I am surprised we don't have at least a marginal risk for Friday

got a marginal just off to the west with the new D3

#4 seems like it was already perfect as is.

May even have some decent severe potential next week

I'm actually not so sure we really see dews mix down during the day on Thursday. Well...I should say, not mix below 70. Probably would start the day 73-76F but mix down to like 71-72