Wannabehippie

Melissa is starting to expand in size, which is to be expected as it increases in latitude. But is it also starting to interact with the system affecting the northeast US right now as well? blob:https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/1f3f0d59-f4f3-4f1e-85b0-d28463901100

Forward speed really picking up now. 2:00 PM EDT Thu Oct 30 Location: 29.0°N 70.9°W Moving: NE at 30 mph Min pressure: 964 mb Max sustained: 105 mph

I am not sure it will, due to the fact that the system, wind field will expand as it moves north, making it harder to get back to major status. Melissa's lowest pressure is 965mb at the moment.

Trying to rebuild an eye, but it is definitely open to the NE. Looks like shear is inhibiting outflow to the SE quadrant, maybe some dry air being entrained in as well? Starting to really pick up forward speed now as well at 21mph. 8:00 AM EDT Thu Oct 30 Location: 26.8°N 72.7°W Moving: NNE at 21 mph Min pressure: 965 mb Max sustained: 105 mph

5:00 PM EDT Wed Oct 29 Location: 22.9°N 74.8°W Moving: NE at 16 mph Min pressure: 974 mb Max sustained: 90 mph

Maybe an eye trying to form again? That little dot of a different color in the center of that pink and purple?

Lots of homes in Jamaica were already built that way,

Jamaica is a member of the British Commonwealth of Nations. Which means aid will be coming in from all over the world, along with people that will help rebuild the infrastructure, buildings etc.

Water vapor loop, shows dry air and shear to Melissa's west, which is also giving it the kick to move to the NE. Its forward speed is up to 16MPH. blob:https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/d28d79c9-b1dc-4880-a36a-8269bda320bd

Western semicircle not looking great. Lots of deep convection near the center of circulation.

Between Jamaica and Cuba, Melissa got torn apart a bit. Pressure is up to 976, definitely not as healthy as it was yesterday.

I am not sure the plane got dead center of the hurricane. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/recon_AF301-2613A-MELISSA.png https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/recon_AF301-2613A-MELISSA_dropsondes.png

11:00 PM EDT Tue Oct 28 Location: 19.3°N 76.6°W Moving: NE at 9 mph Min pressure: 950 mb Max sustained: 130 mph

If fhose really intense pink colored convection can wrap completely wrap around the center, will we see it reach cat 5 status again before it hits Cuba? Or will it only make it to Cat 3-4?