CoastalWx

I don’t see this as a subby type deal. That’s what I alluded to earlier about a widespread storm vs the haves and have nots

Yeah there’s some CAPE early on. lol. That low shape and lack of deepening sort of limits the ageo flow, but luckily the airmass is frigid.

That’s next in mesoscale 101

This storm does feel like one of those events where it should be widespread good snows. Sure some may get more than others… But I don’t see this as the last four years of haves and have nots that were fairly close to each other. So that’s a good thing.

I’m prepping for a phone interview, and he’s asking me about coastal fronts and whether the islands are gonna mix. Lol.

I told him don’t worry about NNE. Nobody lives there.

Yeah, don’t underestimate that coastal front. Someone to the west of that for about eight hours or so is gonna get slammed.

My gut says some CF action tickles you.

Honest to God only advice I gave him was the CF.

Wow look at those mesoscale features outlined.

Looks stronger than modeled right to srn CT coast. Unless it weakens which is possible.

Decent band not well modeled. Let’s move it east

18z euro AI looks very close to 12z

18z AI looks good though

18z GFS going flaccid