CoastalWx

Yeah, the trough that posed a cutoff risk is being pushed a little to the east so that heat ridge moves in. Nothing impressive but upper 80s to lower 90s and spots possible later next week into the weekend. After that, it does look like a more humid set up moves in, still see that happening second half of June.

I think the only thing concerning to me is cloud cover. If that keeps temps down several degrees then expect less coverage. Otherwise, instability is modest….but lots of things advect in late day like higher 925-850theta-e, 500 PVA and falling temps, some better lapse rates etc. I like when things advect in vs already being in place. I think it helps destabilize. Just need to watch cloud cover.

Only thing annoying is a batch of mid level clouds trying to spoil the sun midday. Maybe even a few sprinkles. May affect aftn development.

It is now. Each run a bit more aggressive. Again not everyone seems them, but should be a decent line or at least segments of storms.

Yeah, step-by-step we are getting into summer now. Everyone rejoice!

I actually think the risk could extend right to the coast, but they’re probably going with typical climo.

Still think storms on Saturday evening and then again Sunday aftn. Obviously not everyone sees them, but NAM has decent mid level lapse rates (700-500mb) moving in Saturday evening. Hopefully we have a decent Sunday until about 2p or so.

Still signs trough retros to GL and hopefully a more humid second half of the month.

Why do you do this?

I do actually. Can see boundaries nicely. Works well with coastal fronts.

I’m in Weymouth sort of in the northern part of town a couple miles from the water. I had a pretty good southwest wind all day, usually if that’s the case and Logan Seabreeze they’ll bump after 4 o’clock many times it’s like between five and 6 o’clock.

They are always low on everything. That gauge is Sus.

Beware that late afternoon bounce though. East Boston is already near 90. It won’t take much more of a southwest push or enhancement from the South Coast seabreeze to get it close to that temp. Logan‘s always tricky in these set ups cause they can get a late bounce or they stay really stubborn stuck at lower temperatures.

The ensembles get rid of that propensity and start to retro a trough a bit to the GL. I think second half of month turns a corner, and not just because of climo.

Decent setup for you, and do not use NMB for convective stuff.