dendrite

20.8° -SN 1.4” of fluff so far

Last 4 runs of the goofus. More downstream ridging and curling in of that vortmax

Maybe…not sure how much effect it would have on the orientation of the vortmax at that scale, but I guess the more data to initialize in the better.

GFS is a lot more amped and NW. AI is a bit too.

heh…yeah maybe. I still think they tend to broadbrush too much, but maybe it’s a signal if they’re significantly NW with QPF. We need one of those events with a sharp N cutoff to see if they can pin down tight gradients.

Some of these runs look a hair flatter, but they’re finding a way to get more precip NW.

We’re going to be in trouble when NCEP drops all of the models for just the rrfs.

It’s doing some weird troughy things wherever the incremental QPF maxes are.

19.6° -SN Maybe a couple tenths so far

Looks like the goofus will come in a little more amped

You can see how the 12km really curls the tail of the vortmax in at 48hr versus what the icon and rgem do.

Yeah NNE has been fooled by a zonked 12k run late in the game many a time. Looks like the rgem is a tick east.

I mean it’s not like you’d be missing much from either event.

3k not as enthused

Lol