dendrite

Definite step back for the weekend. H5 looking more like a sheared mess.

Let’s get some snow first so we can torch it away.

Yeah this is roughly where the developing SPV and shortwave trough, that eventually slides under it, are right now. There’s lots of little tweaks in the flow that could help this or hurt this in the coming days. As others have said, the end result is we want more “curl” of the vortmax so we can punch that dPVA further north.

16° here but it should slowly climb the rest of the night

Skynet vs Graphcast

Father and son discussing weenies while mom tries to not choke on her American chop suey.

People need to calm down. We’re all having fun and joking about the ridging shown on Christmas. No one is calling for it…yet. With that said, I disagree to some extent. The 12z gefs gained a handful of members with strong SE ridges. Obviously you can’t expect 591dm to verify or be matched on a d16 ens lol. 12z eps is pretty warm looking for the holiday too. Hopefully it pans out cooler. I’d like to have pack for the holiday.

2015! (ok verification was a few days off)

ACATT

That’s 00z Here’s 12z

I wonder how much the op run is influencing this. The last 3 GEFS runs for Xmas eve.

It really wouldn’t take much to amp this up a little more…just need that SPV to drop in behind the speeding shortwave a little earlier/deeper.

You can’t stop her. You can only hope to contain her.

Holy shit.

588dm up to SNE. lol