dendrite

WWGW

Maybe the SW flow upslope spots (like Ditty) can squeeze out 0.5-1.0” more. There’s some decent lift in the DGZ, albeit brief, and with lower QPF it’s easier to stack 20:1 versus higher amounts (weight/compaction), but I’m not sure I’d be throwing out over 3” outside of the Cape/Maine.

An advisory with this map?

Rip and read?

Please stay very safe

Metfan comin for you

I like mine to be critters that bite.

It needs a lot of work and I don’t think there’s enough time. I think the northern stream is the turd in the punchbowl. We’d (you’d) probably be better off with it out of the picture so the southern stream could amplify more on its own. It probably wouldn’t help up here, but maybe there would be time in SNE.

There’s a percentage of the population that wants to read what they want to see whether it proves right or wrong. So someone like Marky Markgarbage will always have a following of likes and clicks.

I mean I don’t disagree. I wasn’t trying to imply that those maps looked cold for us. We may risk dumping cold well to our west and if we don’t have the cold in QB for your +PP we’ll flirt with warm sectoring the northeast. But I’m losing interest in these frequent light fluffernutters and persistent low end cold.

Maybe we risk some cutters, but I’m only interested in big ticket items.

In their defense, the southern plains ridge started as a SE ridge in the distant LR as well before trending more west. Difference is, it seems the ens are trying to flush the cold in eastern Canada this time. I would roll with this…in the interior at least.

3”? Auld lang syne?

We’re in a lot of NW flow with numerous potent northern stream shortwaves, but given the flow and the frequency of them we can’t get enough spacing nor enough digging in time for bigger systems. That’s a really strong vortmax coming through tomorrow, but there’s another one on its heels over Lake Ontario while it’s over us.

It’s not that close. I think the best hope is to get the southern system close enough and then elicit some pressure falls as the northern stream vortmax approaches and trigger another inverted trough. When you loop H5/vorticity there really doesn’t seem to be a chance for the northern piece to be able to dive in and phase in time at our longitude.