dendrite

I actually thought the 3k did a good job most of the time…especially if the synoptics were being handled relatively well by most models. I had little to no use for the 12k. But at least we had a lot of experience with the nam and when to use it as guidance. I’m not a fan of trying to learn a new model with a (pun intended) rotten core.

The weekly crop moisture index seems to pass the eye test for 0-3m depth soil moisture. The drought monitor doesn’t seem applicable for someone like me growing plants and fruit trees

I think it could break positive if the mean trough is more over the lakes. It’s not overly torchy or anything though.

What in the sam hell is that filter he’s using? (The one from 8/15)

Only +1F instead of +10F?

So wait. The RRFS is known to have “bugs” with the FV3 core and it can’t be fixed until 2028, but we’re retiring the NAM soon anyway?

64° -DZ 0.05” breezy Kinda feels like mid September

Maybe we can get a cane in winter.

Min 49.7°

Still too long and cold for my liking. Another +1C doesn’t move the needle much up here.

DJFM But yeah, mostly just brief warmups between COC shots. I wouldn’t call it cold though. Summer and the sun angle are quickly fleeting though.

Hopefully virga so you can miss from above too

Here’s an old velocity image I have from Harvey from 9 years ago. CRP radar is due west of landfall so the radials extending eastward are giving you near 0 velocity since all of the wind east of the low are S and west of the low are N and nothing is going to, or away, from the beam.

1972-73 and 2022-23 were just a couple inches depending on the site.

Min 55.4° Starting to get too cold.