dendrite

The GFS is so much more amplified

Yeah…the s/w was a little more neggy.

That H5 look resembles the euro although it’s still a bit flatter.

Did your head do this?

HRRR is always playing catch up

Yup. There’s some sinkholes down the road here too. They had a cone blocking one the other day and when I drove by it yesterday the cone was shattered so someone got swallowed in it.

Yeah it seemed like the 6z gfs was trying to curl it in last second on approach. I’d like to see this suite try to lean in that direction.

HRRR toned down from 6z. 3k nam is running…I’d put more faith in that.

Well every run and model is flopping around with timing and intensity. The only thing consistent is there’s some good cold shots in the extended. I’d probably lean toward a cold shot that’s on par with the typical coldest of a winter. Up here that would probably be a day that’s like +10/-15. But that’s just spit balling.

It’s way too far out for that. Toss those fantasy maps from yesterday though. We’re not getting double digit below 0s at 18z. lol If you really want something shattering we’re going to need to be slamming -35C 850s into NE. I don’t trust those d13 uber shallow arctic airmass progs advecting in on NW flow over the mtns.

https://www.weather.gov/phi/new_afd1

You’re relying on metfan

Wow what a winter. Raised my grade to a B for now Over to all snow since this vid finally uploaded IMG_7738.mov

34 and ripping -GSSN

Watching the video now. I totally forgot about the kung fu part.