dendrite

“Tries” That’s probably 2-4”/3-5” with ratios.

A norlun band offshore merges in over the cape at the end.

3k nam tries to jack up here.

I need a few of these.

These are the manual created maps. The others are generated by text probabilities.

Calculated some Cobb snow estimates from the 12z gfs and nam (respectively) CON 0.0/0.1 PWM 0.1/0.4 BOS 0.9/1.1 ORH 0.7/0.5 PSF 1.9/0.7 EWB 3.5/3.7 HYA 0.8/3.7 BDL 0.7/0.3 HFD 3.2/1.0 HVN 1.3/2.5 GON 1.3/3.4 PVD 2.1/2.9

I think it’s the low probability of a little weenie norlun I mentioned. That may explain the shape too.

Did mekster draw this?

It seems to be overdoing the low level moisture on the northern edge. There will probably be some radar echoes even up here, but not much reaching the ground. Some of the mesos have a little inverted trough enhancement in coastal NH/MA on the tailend as the H5 low/vortmax moves into the region.

I heard he’s been picking up frequent shipments from 2kft in SVT.

He even shaved the mole right off. Ruthless.

I’d toss the AI QPF this close in. It always seems to broadbrush the QPF…like trying to paint the molding in your house with a mop.