michsnowfreak

Going to be interesting to see how the cansips evolves this summer. It had the cold winter lakes/east look last summer and fall while the other seasonals were mild. Its showing another cold winter in those same areas for 2026-27.

The ridge west, trough east alignment seems to be almost stuck. Not literally, of course it moves, but it has been dominant lately so no need to think it cant continue next winter. It was dominant for almost a decade it seemed if we look back just 11-12 years or so. And of course it goes without saying that the blazing SW is doing the heavy lifting for ranking conus winter warmth. Chuck and I have discussed, I personally dont worry about "cold" when it comes to snow. Its more about storm tracks. You can absolutely apply that to the Great Lakes and New England. Further south, of course its different. We have now had 2 cold winters in a row. With an El Nino coming Id be very surprised to see a 3rd cold winter in a row locally. The last 2 winters here have been cold and snowcovered with powder which is my favorite, but not gonna lie, with the biggest storm this winter 6.2" and biggest last winter 4.6", a milder winter would likely send more dynamic winter storms into this area. Historically its a mix, but for the last 3 decades, milder winters have produced some real dynamic snowstorms.

It was a great winter here as well. It was like the pre party to a fantastic 2005-2015. It was cold and dry west of the lakes though.

2002-03 like would definitely be an interesting outcome!

Idk. No snowflakes in April is rare. But meaningful snow, thats another story.

Wintry day with snow squalls. Just a T for me but 0.3" at DTW. Season totals 40.1" my backyard, 39.4" DTW. Some squalls had isolated whiteouts and the sky often resembled thunderstorm incoming.

Yeah. I mean you cant take winter forecasts with more than a grain of salt in Fall, much less spring. I was just pointing out sometimes colors look worse than they are. Milder winters mean nothing in terms of total snowfall here (as long as we avoid torch). Its about storm track or lack thereof. After two cold winters in a row with good snowcover but no impressive storms locally (largest was a surprise 6.2") my early gut instinct is that next winter sees less deep winter but a bigger storm, likely the biggest in 5 years or so.

Yesterday at DTW ended up hi/low 43/34 and today 55/35 with colder weather the next two days. Backdoor front ftw.

Today is wild here in eastern MI. Cloudy and 35° at 1245pm with an inferno all around.

Not to mention the colors make it look so extreme. +0.8°-1.0° at Detroit and NYC.

They're just using the standard el nino climo like always lol

DTW is overcast and 35° at noon. What a way to run a nationwide torch day

Not expected to get out of the 40s here tmrw.

Wow. How much left?

That's a good catch. But the chart is saw has 1986-87 listed as moderate and 1987-88 as strong.