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About michsnowfreak

- Birthday 05/08/1983
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Website URL
http://www.facebook.com/josh.halasy
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Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
KDTW
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Gender
Male
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Location:
Wyandotte, Michigan
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Thats crazy about 1997-98. Here its more frequent snow so its basically in the end getting less than normal during strong nino. Theres no worries about it not snowing. Even on the coast where a big storm or lack thereof is often the defining moment of the season, i suspect a completely snowless winter is very difficult to achieve. Even an identical pattern to 1997-98 would yield different sensible weather and likely some snow in nyc if it happened again. -
Oh ok. Plenty of trees/woodlands here in MI! The color show will be great. Corn fields are definitely an important aspect of the autumn harvest however.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Feb 1998 actually had a huge snowstorm in southern OH and northern KY, but I dont think it was very widespread. Feb was the torchiest month of the 1997-98 winter while Dec was the torchiest month of the 1982-83 winter. Typically December is the warmest month in strong Ninos but 1997-98 proved that wrong. I just cringe everytime you guys wish for 1983. Absolutely the worst strong Nino of them all here. Although certainly some bad luck played a factor. -
Where are you located now?
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I thought so. Definitely some scenic snows in 2015-16. And thats exactly right about the atmosphere. If we have to explain that no two years are the same or follow some linear correlation, then we really are starting at square 1. The funny thing is, 1997-98 was actually unusual in that Feb was the warm month, not December. A bit of an odd duck from strong Ninos. Right off the bat I doubt that happens this year. 1997-98 wasnt even that bad Nov-Jan, then went totally flat in Feb.
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Happy 1st day of Fall everyone! Fall is an amazing season in our region, soak it up and enjoy it!
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While milder than avg winter is a given (2 colder than avg winters followed by a strong El Nino, no way its not), snowfall and precip remains the wildcard. If I am not mistaken, your area got a lot of snow in 2015-16. That was a crazy year where snowfall ranged from slightly below avg in Detroit to slightly above in the northern burbs to well above in Flint. My first guess for Detroit for 2026-27 is 33". Im taking the middle ground of strong Nino snowfall and will adjust if anything becomes more clear once winter begins. EDIT- I thought this was the main thread, then realized it was the New England one lol. The wet signal in the east is crazy. Makes you think that well inland will really pile up the snow numbers by April even if there are a lot of mix events and not the best snowcover.
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Yes I am looking forward to that. Ninas arent always perfect, but they usually bring a good winter here.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Same! -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
A little OT but the changing of seasons is always exciting. Put the fireplace on today with the autumn chill settling in. Worry about winter if you must, but enjoy Fall everyone! -
Brisk autumn chill in the air. Put on the fireplace. Seasons are changing!
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Have a link to the actual main site? -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
El ninos are usually even more overcast than usual in our already overcast winter climate. That automatically keeps lows up. Though I still expect a subzero night or two. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
On the satellite wx page that was posted a while back, you can see the daily CFS run and the 10-run average. As youd expect, it changes wildly every day.
