michsnowfreak

Who says the NW flow will be all dry?

Now show the Euro, the Euro ensemble, the AI Euro, the AI Euro ensemble, the AI GFS, the AI GFS ensemble, the GFS ensemble, and the GEM ensemble at 12z for that same hour 294.

I would have bet money the weeklies would cool at least week 3 seeing how all the ensembles look by mid month.

Remember, while a big snowstorm can happen, im simply referring to getting accumulating snow. I dont think you realize how rare it is to get NO measurable snow after Feb 28th. Since 1884, it happened once at Chicago (1994) and since 1880 it happened twice at Detroit (1946, 2010). In 2010 we had snow on the ground to start March, so only 1946 saw no semblance of measurable snow after Feb 28.

Very unusual to such a large temp difference between Chicago and Detroit. DTW (27.8°) was 5.3° colder in Feb than Chicago. For the winter, Detroit finished 1.8° colder than Chicago. Detroit experienced the 7th driest Feb (0.39"). Though only 4.9" of snow fell, significant snowcover was present the first half of the month.

I understand. My entire point was that snowfall potential us nowhere near done.

MET Winter 2025-26 at Detroit DJF avg temp: 25.2F (-3.2F) 43rd coldest out of 153 years Coldest since 2014-15 Coldest temp: -10F on Jan 24 # of days with a low below 0F: 5 (most since 2018-19) # of days with a low 9F or colder: 21 (most since 2014-15) # of days with a low 32F or colder: 84 (most since 2013-14) # of days with a HIGH 32F or colder: 45 (most since 2014-15) DJF precip: 3.92” (-2.64”) 17th driest out of 153 years Driest since 2020-21 DJF snowfall: 32.9” (-2.5”) 51st snowiest out of 153 years Snowiest since 2020-21 Largest snowstorm: 6.1” – Jan 14/15 Season snowfall thru 2/28- 38.8” (+1.5”) Days with 1”+ snowcover: 61 (most since 2013-14) Days with 6”+ snowcover: 21 (most since 2014-15) Peak snow depth: 9” (Jan 26, Jan 27, Jan 28, Jan 29, Feb 7) 19th most days with 1”+ snowcover out of 121 years Insane stat- In a winter full of deep cold and white ground, we managed to touch 60F+ 3 times this cold winter. Each time was a very brief but rapid spike. While not close to the record of 7, these 3 days were spaced out one in each month DJF. This is only the 2nd time on record this occurred. The other time was a very warm winter (1889-90). Lets compare- In an era when everyone wants to compare things to CC, the irony is that this winter most closely resembled a handful of winters from the 1900s-1910s. The cold temperatures, frequent snowfall, and solid blanket of snow that covered the ground most of the time but without any huge storms, and with NO big precip makers, is a throwback to the colder, drier climate of that era. Two in a Row- This is the 2nd colder than normal winter in a row. Last winter finished 0.9F below avg and this one 3.2F below avg. Last winter saw average snowcover despite below avg snowfall, so this is also 2 years in a row where snow covered the ground in a greater capacity than would be expected with the amount of snow that fell. If I had to guess- Ill say next winter locally will be milder with less snowcover but a bigger snowstorm than each of these past 2 winters.

MET Winter 2025-26 at Detroit DJF avg temp: 25.2F (-3.2F) 43rd coldest out of 153 years Coldest since 2014-15 Coldest temp: -10F on Jan 24 # of days with a low below 0F: 5 (most since 2018-19) # of days with a low 9F or colder: 21 (most since 2014-15) # of days with a low 32F or colder: 84 (most since 2013-14) # of days with a HIGH 32F or colder: 45 (most since 2014-15) DJF precip: 3.92” (-2.64”) 17th driest out of 153 years Driest since 2020-21 DJF snowfall: 32.9” (-2.5”) 51st snowiest out of 153 years Snowiest since 2020-21 Largest snowstorm: 6.1” – Jan 14/15 Season snowfall thru 2/28- 38.8” (+1.5”) Days with 1”+ snowcover: 61 (most since 2013-14) Days with 6”+ snowcover: 21 (most since 2014-15) Peak snow depth: 9” (Jan 26, Jan 27, Jan 28, Jan 29, Feb 7) 19th most days with 1”+ snowcover out of 121 years Insane stat- In a winter full of deep cold and white ground, we managed to touch 60F+ 3 times this cold winter. Each time was a very brief but rapid spike. While not close to the record of 7, these 3 days were spaced out one in each month DJF. This is only the 2nd time on record this occurred. The other time was a very warm winter (1889-90). Lets compare- In an era when everyone wants to compare things to CC, the irony is that this winter most closely resembled a handful of winters from the 1900s-1910s. The cold temperatures, frequent snowfall, and solid blanket of snow that covered the ground most of the time but without any huge storms, and with NO big precip makers, is a throwback to the colder, drier climate of that era. Two in a Row- This is the 2nd colder than normal winter in a row. Last winter finished 0.9F below avg and this one 3.2F below avg. Last winter saw average snowcover despite below avg snowfall, so this is also 2 years in a row where snow covered the ground in a greater capacity than would be expected with the amount of snow that fell. If I had to guess- Ill say next winter locally will be milder with less snowcover but a bigger snowstorm than each of these past 2 winters.

Not true. I understand youre still relatively new to the region, but March/April climo is its own entity. Unless an abnormally cold pattern is in place to start March, this is the end of deep/sustained winter for the southern Lakes. However the mere chance of a snowstorm, much less measurable snow, is very much there into mid April amd sometimes beyond.

You were right in the narrow heaviest band of 3-3.5" snow. We only got a trace here

The models did absolutely horrendous with this event up to and including now cast time.

It was. Im surprised you didnt know, this thread has taken more of an interest in the West for some reason () than it ever has before during this winter which has been cold where the majority of this forums posters live.

Theres a blast from the past! Wonder how hes doing?

Youre in the majority on that train of thought....but it still doesn't mean its not going to happen lol.

There's no need to shut it down. If theres nothing to discuss, then no need to post. But snow potential is nowhere near finished.