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michsnowfreak

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About michsnowfreak

  • Birthday 05/08/1983

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KDTW
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  • Location:
    Wyandotte, Michigan

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  1. michsnowfreak
    Im aware of all of that. Models always smooth things out. There will always be warmer areas....and colder areas. The Euro seasonal was too warm multiple times for the east the past handful of winters. Do i doubt that someone somewhere will have a +10 month? Not at all. To say that its going to be way warmer everywhere is the part I have issue with. Actually, im really more interested in snow. We all have tirelessly agreed it will be a mild winter, despite some troll comments implying the mysterious never-to-be-found posters calling for a cold winter....but these wild posts (not by you) that no one gets snow. Lol. I live in a state where the license plate says "water winter wonderland" and somehow el nino will take away all our snow
  2. michsnowfreak
    Good work! Here's the noaa comparison.
  3. michsnowfreak
    After huge busts the last 2 winters, this one could've been in the bag. Milder than avg winter, easy call with a strong nino. But thats not enough. Every seasonal forecast is now way too cool . Take the Euro for instance. It was way too warm in the east last winter. BUT in 2023-24 it wasnt warm enough, so just use that. In fact, let's just round up to +20° for everyone and no snow anywhere.
  4. michsnowfreak
    EXACTLY!!! And november was solidly colder than avg. February was the torch month of 97-98.
  5. michsnowfreak
    This weekend with sunny skies, lows in the 30s, and highs in the low 50s (sat) to 60 (sun) will be absolute PRIMO Fall color viewing here. This is THE weekend.
  6. michsnowfreak
    Its already not behaving the way normal strong Ninos typically do. Of course a few of the warminstas in the main forum whove melted down over the past 2 cold winters have already explained that once it comes time for the mild winter stuff, THEN it will behave like it should All jokes aside, I expect a milder than avg winter in the mean but that tells me absolutely nothing in terms of what happens day to day, week to week. There have been some huge snowstorms in ninos past, hopefully we see one this year. I do think we see some scenic wet snows; the past 2 winters were almost entirely powder here.
  7. michsnowfreak
    Id take 1877-78 again. Nice Jan/Feb after a slow start. Never even knew there was enough documentation to confirm a 1790s el nino episode.
  8. michsnowfreak
    What an upside down world where someone who knows nothing about how weather works gets a red tag, meanwhile much of the rest of this thread is filled with so much knowledge from people who simply are hobbyists.
  9. michsnowfreak
    Simply saying it's going to be a mild winter as everyone has thought for MONTHS now, or that it resembles a past year (97-98, which as @roardog says this year isnt following sensible weather-wise at all) is not a winter forecast. What @40/70 Benchmark does, thats a winter forecast.
  10. michsnowfreak
    I agree 100%. Ive thought of that everytime I hear 97-98 brought up followed by expectations that Dec will be the warmest and Feb the coldest month. That is NOT 97-98 lol. Why is no one else mentioning that??? It was one of the oddest duck Ninos in that regard, and no one says a word about that. For us, we know its going to snow. It always does. The more we salvage in Nov-Dec IMO will be the better chance for an ok snow season total by April. I also think theres no doubt we get some huge winter storms in the country. Will they hit us like in 1878 or 1992, or miss like in 1958 or 1983?
  11. michsnowfreak
    Any snow that falls is a trace. But the guesses were for first measurable snow. Not that im the the thread police or anything
  12. michsnowfreak
    Detroit hit 87. Broke the daily record of 83. Technically its the warmest so late, beating 86 on Oct 15, 1897
  13. michsnowfreak
    Like anything, when warmth dominates a pattern, it doesnt mean there will be no cold shots. And its impossible to pinpoint when they will be. I will be surprised if there isnt a spell of cold/snow in the Great Lakes in November.
  14. michsnowfreak
    Now that it is Fall and Winter is not far out, the consensus on the board remains largely unchanged from summer. Since not a single person in this thread is expecting a colder/snowier than avg winter in the north/northeast (despite repeated implications from a few that some are, with or course no proof backing it up), there seem to be two camps. 1.) The majority expect a winter that is milder than avg in the mean with wintry chances more plentiful the 2nd half of the season rather than the 1st. This camp is by far the largest, so theres a surprising amount of consensus heading into winter. 2.) The vocal minority expect a winter with nonstop warm weather and no snow whatsoever in the north/northeast, and often taunt the majority for their crazy assumption that it will, in fact, snow in northern latitudes as it has every year on record. Once spring gets here, it will be interesting to see which camp wins.
  15. michsnowfreak
    Exactly. But the irony is that the person you quoted that to is the one who needs to hear that more than anyone in this thread.
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