Yeah, lead wave plays a pivotal role in sensible outcome. Pointed that out yesterday. Sort of torn on stronger trailing wave as that would likely introduce more warm sit intrusion with retreating high.
Lots to sort out. Wave that pushes through around the 1st is key. What does that do to baroclinic zone.
2nd is intensity of the trailing shortwave and how quickly that intensifies.
Could still be a sheared out mess or amped up inland.
we watch. We baste the turkey. We come back Friday.