winter_warlock

There's a chance

Gotta be soon considering almost every model except the GFS shows a big snowstorm for most of us!

Euro AI looks fantastic!!

Leave it to Ji to bring us back down lol

I know after I posted it I checked and I deleted the post when I saw the difference!

Jesus H Christ!! Wrecked!!!

Not for us in North Central MD

Definitely an improvement compared to 06z.. in my opinion

Serious storm potential and we're only 5-6 days out!

Why congratulate 5 days before a Storm?

Love to see a snow map for that. Looks juiced up!!!

LWX talks about upcoming storm... They are kinda taking it seriously By the end of the week and especially heading into the weekend, the upper-level pattern becomes quite active in both the northern and southern branches of the jet stream. Model guidance is still very much all over the place in regards to exactly what comes of this, but there is growing consensus for an area of low pressure developing across the south-central/southeastern CONUS. Depending on when and where that area of low pressure develops, as well as where it goes after it does develop, there could be significant wintry precipitation across our area sometime next weekend. Uncertainty remains with this system, as there is some potential that strong Arctic high pressure could suppress the system south. However, that high (~1040 mb Arctic high) is also a source of very cold air; this likely remains in place due to a favorable -AO/-NAO blocking pattern. Meanwhile, there are an increasing amount of ensemble members that bring significant wintry precipitation to the region due to an amplified southern stream influence - something we have seen very little of so far this winter (typical of La Nina). The low may not escape as easily out to sea given the -NAO block. The nearby steady source of very cold air and the amplified southern stream occurring in tandem are what raise some red flags for significant wintry precipitation potential this weekend. The latest ensemble guidance is certainly on the upward trend in that regard, but that doesn`t mean it can`t swing back in the other direction. It will be key to monitor this threat closely in the coming days as the different parts of the system become better sampled by surface and upper air obs. Current model spread indicates an axis of significant snow/ice could be as far north as Upstate New York, or as far south as the Carolinas

As always Randy ty for the PBP brother!!!

Agreed!!!

Definitely a improvement