SnoSki14

4-5" looks spot on right now. South Central Jersey will get the enhanced rates for a longer period. Some 6-8" amounts likely there.

This was expected

I wouldn't declare victory over 1 modest snow event. We've been mostly shut out for the past 7-8 years outside a couple snow events.

38/26 in Somerset. Perfectly fine for snow. Advisory bumped us up to 3-5"

HRRR looking quite aggressive. Supports what HREF is putting out.

It'll be interesting to see if that applies again but generally that has seemed to work out well. The higher end 4-5" totals will need to verify though

Definitely a high end advisory event looking more likely but only local spots hit warning criteria.

Strong gradient like pattern. Some models showing Arctic ridging. If the gradient can slip south every now and then for latter Dec and Jan then it could get interesting. I'd feel better being north though

This mornings Nam got better compared to 0z. Think 3-5" looking better and better. Some areas may even approach 6" in South Central NJ.

I like 2-4" from this. Advisory is right on the money. Agree about the ratios. Some localized spots will definitely see 4"+

I would take multiple +15-20 winter temp months if we could get another Jan 2016

Man central/south Jersey is getting all the good stuff in winter and during severe weather season

MJO is very weak and should have negligible effects

Last minute amplified trends that usually screw us could work in our favor

Some holiday mood snows would be nice. Keeping expectations very low. Even an inch would be an accomplishment