SnoSki14

This is true. A colder correction wouldn't surprise me though neither would a delay. Still appears that the Jan 5-15 period will be the best one for us. Anything before that seems unlikely to yield much, if anything. I also don't see a blowtorch Feb. I like the CFS idea.

EPS not as bad but not great either. Could be a delayed, not denied situation. I still expect at least a period of favorable conditions in January, probably in the Jan 5-15 window. CFS has the right idea imo

GFS/GEFS trending in the wrong direction for January. Better hope they're wrong. GFS Op is downright ugly

Looks a little squalish on the 24th. Mesos picking up on it. Maybe we'll get our miracle Dec 3" after all

There were clear Nino influences this month especially the last third of December. It's not a canonical Nina due to multiple areas of forcing playing a role. There's no guarantee we go typical Nina after mid January.

EPS looks better than GEFS. I don't like the lower heights out west on the GFS. The Hudson Bay block could be the biggest positive in all of this.

There's stats to back it up but our patterns have gotten a lot more convulated lately.

It's kinda funny how the difference between a 40"+ winter and a 10" winter is another inch of snow in December.

Chances are this snow will stick around through Christmas so many areas will indeed see a white Christmas

If it's not gonna snow then I'll take that everyday this winter

There's an inverted trough signal for Friday.

Eh I don't think it makes much difference in this pattern. And SNE is closer to what NYC used to be. It's really C/NNE that's completely different

Flow is way too fast. We just saw this with last week's system. And anyone comparing the setup to 2010 is insane. That had a massive -NAO block

Lol sure Jan

At least it'll feel like Christmas