SnoSki14

Bad luck doesn't cause the coastal track to go dormant for years. Definitely the forcing though with those record ssts over the west Pacific

Kind of a paradox that fast flow due to CC can lead to more snow down south vs northeast...as long as the cold is available of course

Yeah but what are the precip forecasts because its been bone dry outside of that big storm.

Right I thought 2015 was coming through the door. Now it's cold and dry? Wth

He said "prime" season so he's correct. And our March snows have been few and far between lately but I feel better than usual about our chances this year.

The first 2/3 of 10-11 were truly special. Another month and it would've blown every other winter out the water

I shudder to think what'll happen once the pendulum swings, hopefully it's not in the summer.

Based on the weeklies this snowpack could last til March. And this doesn't account for added snowfall that we'll likely see in Feb. This is a rare deep winter and these patterns nowadays get stuck in place for months. This pattern stems from November. Also it wouldn't surprise me to see March delivering big this year.

Something will pop eventually but yes it could be cold/dry for a while. With tons of blocking and confluence our best bet is either clippers or SWFEs. Coastal haven't been our friend for a while With +PNA fading and -PNA being more favorable for us latter Feb that's where I think our next big threat will be. However keep an eye out on the 6-12th still because a lot can shift

Classic large +PNA spike with diving shortwave later next week and a probable Miller B transfer. Feeling good about the 6th, much more so than this weekend's disaster

I like the 6th. Really strong ridge pops out west at that time. Diving shortwave to Miller B transfer perhaps?

Flow is too fast thanks to CC as Tip explained

One of those could really dig and become a Miller B with the +PNA ridge still there.

There's a follow up system that has more potential imo

There's a follow up system that has a better chance to do something a few days later.