SnoSki14

Something will pop eventually but yes it could be cold/dry for a while. With tons of blocking and confluence our best bet is either clippers or SWFEs. Coastal haven't been our friend for a while With +PNA fading and -PNA being more favorable for us latter Feb that's where I think our next big threat will be. However keep an eye out on the 6-12th still because a lot can shift

Classic large +PNA spike with diving shortwave later next week and a probable Miller B transfer. Feeling good about the 6th, much more so than this weekend's disaster

I like the 6th. Really strong ridge pops out west at that time. Diving shortwave to Miller B transfer perhaps?

Flow is too fast thanks to CC as Tip explained

One of those could really dig and become a Miller B with the +PNA ridge still there.

There's a follow up system that has more potential imo

There's a follow up system that has a better chance to do something a few days later.

Keep dreaming

We need to see some serious jumps in models soon as time's ticking.

A lot of northern stream disturbances and clippers likely. We should clean up

Yeah it ain't happening

I think 1st half is cold/dry though def not snow free but second half gets a lot more active with that blocking pattern + RNA

I remember that storm like it was yesterday with the infamous "convective feedback" Heard it was one of the top analogs for the coming storm too.

Guidance is showing several fast moving clippers coming through, maybe one or two amplifies and we get a moderate event otherwise probably 1-3" type stuff.

Things would have to start trending today. Unfortunate if they don't because upcoming pattern looks mainly cold/dry with light northern stream systems only.