SnoSki14

It transfers a lot faster. This is the best case scenario It'd be 14-20" pretty much area wide

Let us pray. Its been trending with a faster coastal transfer.

GFS is definitely not buying the amped camp

Rgem is always over amped and runs warm btw. It's also very inaccurate beyond 48hrs

Well they average like 5x we do so yeah

That's why Mt Holly is going higher. Ratios for half the storm could be quite high given ideal snow growth and temps

Mt. Holly and Co are betting on high ratios to start for higher totals. If ratios do hit 15:1 then maybe.

Is that snow + sleet since technically sleet counts for totals.

I hope we don't get 6-8" of snow with 2" of sleet on top. With temps as cold as they are that'll create a giant skating rink with horrendous plowing & travel conditions. That's far worse impact wise than a pure 12-15" snowstorm

Agree 100% Rare possibility of more upside than downside I think. Also if precip falls hard enough near the transition zone that we could hold onto snow longer boosting amounts by 2-4"

Sure would be nice for the GFS to score for once. GEFS also look great

Yeah but every event is different. I'm going with wall of heavy snow to sleet and 6-10" region wide with locals 12+ Leaning on the colder side too. The scope and intensity of this airmass is much larger than what we're used to. It wouldn't surprise me to see models trend colder

Oh stop it's a solid 6-10" dump even with the warmest runs. This would be the biggest storm in years for many.

The problem is the phasing. Without it you risk suppression, with it you risk a lot of mixing. You don't have an ideal setup out west given the trough placement.

The front end thump is solid. There's a higher ceiling with this than usual too.