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SnoSki14

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    East Brunswick, NJ

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  1. We might set some modern snow pack longevity records with no warm ups in sight after the storm. That glacier will last a very long time
  2. Once it gets under 48hrs we'll pay attention. Even so it still has the 6-8" front end dump before any changeover. That's pretty much the floor with this.
  3. Yeah GFS held or even ticked a bit colder. Rgem was colder, Icon too. Nam still drops 6-8" before any flip.
  4. This will be the longest stretch of snow on the ground that I can remember. And that sleet will form a glacier essentially
  5. More sleet and snow. Those rates before the transition could be insane (3-4"/hr)
  6. And more room to get colder too. Models increasing precip aka a bigger thump and more sleet on top.
  7. Nam is my worst case. 6" of snow + 2-3" of sleet on top is nightmare fuel.
  8. To be fair the icing potential, which will cause the biggest impacts is substantial and covers a massive region. This storm is a very big deal for many. We've dealt with a lot worse but those south will see historic winter weather.
  9. Agreed the historic storm will come later. This is just the beginning
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