SnoSki14
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About SnoSki14
- Currently Viewing Topic: February 2026 OBS & Discussion
- Birthday 08/10/1988
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Drought severity expanded in NJ and other regions. Not a shock since all we had was a snow shower and some freezing drizzle in the past 2+ weeks. A warm March would be very bad unless preceeded by rainy weather. Snowpack melt helps a bit but won't be enough.
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The CC related fast flow has definitely played a role in lack of coastals. I think 10+ years ago we would've scored with the big coastal earlier and the one coming up. Northern stream only systems is why half the country is in a drought
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With next system going south the dry streak will continue. This will be very bad heading into spring. Things need to turn around quickly
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Well yeah met winter ends March 1 so we got about 2 weeks left.
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You need a phased, strong system to get enough dynamic cooling for snow.
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Only if there's a lot of easterly flow which isn't guaranteed.
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The upcoming system, if it happens, is like a springtime bowling ball. Those commonly favor New England and I strongly believe that's what will happen. Their snow climo is still very favorable even in the CC era while ours drops off sharply by mid Feb.
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There's no cold air, it's going to be rain of it happens Hopefully we get the rain, we really need it.
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No chance in hell the Euro verifies Cold source is minimal. If there's a storm it will be more like the Icon and rain
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Bone dry pattern continues. Not even rain either, just dry.
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We can't even get that. Its been bone dry since the snowstorm.
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Welcome to an average winter. The winters of 00s and 10s are long gone. I just hope we do get rain, we need it.
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Nice southern slider on models
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Cold source is dwindling by the time the storm occurs. It would be a thread the needle event if it does happen.
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No top 10 coldest anywhere though vs everyone out west seeing a top 5-10 warmest. It's been cold but nothing historic however it likely feels colder because its been a blowtorch for nearly a decade.
