SnoSki14

This is a nowcasting situation now. I've stopped looking at models

What indicators could suggest this?

If the HRRR is right it will explode quickly between now and 4

Huge if the AI models are anywhere close to being right next weekend

Nearly identical to GFS AI

PNA will be positive and MJO moves to phase 8. Multiple factors aligning for something big. And some winters it just wants to snow. We've been seeing that so far this season. Yes no biggies yet but it's coming.

I genuinely think the pattern is pretty loaded for a large overrunning Miller A/B type storm in late Jan. And it's showing up in spurts across op runs. With today's event the AI models had the best handle several days out so definitely keep an eye on what they show.

It's gonna snow a lot. Don't believe the extreme suppression that's being shown.

The suppression is overdone.

Will get 2"+ with the banding in central nj

Yeah it's really coming down. If the coastal delivers later we might reach the high end advisory totals

Big cold dome in place with trough expanding west signals big overrunning potential imo. Models strongly hinting at this now.

Really nice snows down to FL panhandle on models. The disconnect between the northern stream and the dead southern stream have made these unusual occurrences more plausible despite overall warming.

At least today worked out. Take what you can get. I'm more interested in late Jan to early Feb...best potential in years.

It's still useless beyond 12hrs and it was too far west with the heavier stuff.