Kmlwx

Yes. It was found upside down and submerged with no survivors.

And even if it *was* intensity - we aren't even in the higher shades!

A few notes about ice storms (like the big ones) - We all know that ice is often a lot less than expected. Heavy rain won't accrete well. Antecedent cold is important for those sick puppies out there hoping for a crippling ice storm. Ex: If we are 31-32 it's probably not going to be a biblical ice storm. But if we have a ton of cold air for a handful of days (or longer) ahead of the storm, those surface temperatures can really lead to a messy ice storm. CAD (as we all know) is underestimated at range many times. I don't believe in "we're due" - but I will say that this year has had legit ice storm potential in my mind with all the Barney cold that we've had. My gut feelings mean nada, but if we were going to have an overperforming ice event...this feels like the year it could happen...and I'm referring not to the tenth to half inch events - but the incredibly damaging 3/4 inch or higher events.

Probably better to use the FRAM calculation versus the raw QPF to ZR. But what does it matter this far out I guess

Low of 9.0 and that's where I am right now.

33.1 now (32.2 on the cheap thermometer). Slushy accumulation of either wet snow or sleet on the driveway and a few patches of the road that weren't covered in salt from prior events.

Snow mixing in again in Colesville/Silver Spring.

@Maestrobjwa - Posting here just some additional thoughts. Didn't want to clog the main thread up. You've definitely come a long way since you joined us on the forums! You just have to remember - unlike getting a Christmas or birthday gift that sucks (where maybe you deserved better) - the weather and climate doesn't "owe" you anything. Literally not a penny, not a single snowflake. You flip a coin 10 times and you might easily get heads 8 times. You flip that coin a trillion times, and it's going to be closer to 50/50. But yeah - unfortunately, our location (perhaps worse for you) is in an urban corridor. The odds of us getting shellacked are lower now than in the 1800s for sure. But now we have UHI, etc. I know we throw around the "you'll just have to move" idea a lot jokingly (and sometimes seriously) on the forums - but unfortunately...if your well being is fused this closely to snow - you really will have no choice but to move to a place like Davis, WV! Just remember - weather doesn't pay out like a slot machine that is "due" pays out. It's truly chaotic and "random"

We'll probably get told to move to banter - but again - it's often "just how the chips fall" I will say - you have to consider that you live in an urban corridor. I won't have the climate change discussion here - but there's also the warming. Some of your misses will just be that it missed a lot of us and you were included. Some of the misses will be because you were just a little too warm (being in the urban corridor and/or closer to the bay), some will be because the precip slid to the south (other people will get screwed in this too). You have to keep in mind and remember that while yes - maybe your backyard has done poorly - the entire region as a whole has been in a multi-year snow slump for quite a while. Everything feels worse when it's your backyard. It's not the weather targeting your street address or even neighborhood though. I think a lot of just in our heads - obviously we care more about our backyards than any other area - so the "misses" feel personal sometimes - they aren't.

What do you mean has something changed? Every storm has winners and losers for the most part. Sometimes we just get "missed" relative to other areas. Just how the chips fall.

Temp has been EXTREMELY slow to tick down. Sitting now at 34.3. Has definitely fallen a bit - back to no winter precip here.

34.9 with mainly rain still. Now that some heavier returns are arriving there are a few mangled flakes coming down too - but certainly not all snow at the moment.

35.2 here - down from the high of 36.9 earlier.

My temperature still seems to be rising. Near my high of the day at 36.7 now.

Sitting at 35.4 on the Ambient and 33.1 on the cheaper brand thermometer right now. I did not expect to wake up to steady snowfall by any means. I think we obviously might be hard pressed to get 5 inches...but to those realists out there - I'm not sure much has changed appreciably. It wasn't even supposed to "crank" until the afternoon. But naturally the worriers will wring their hands and anxious-post all morning. It's going to snow for most of us - how much remains to be seen - but arctic cold is arriving. Can you imagine how bad it would be in here if we had nonstop 60s and shut the blinds?