Eskimo Joe

Wonder if the advisory gets bumped west to Frederick County?

12z NAM would imply that BWI, DCA, and IAD get to 100% of their December snowfall climo.

12z NAM/HRRR would imply a solid 4" - 6" for York, Lancaster, and Lebanon counties. Might be a last minute victory here folks.

This is a great write up by Tomer Burg on what the HRRR may be sniffing out

Uh:

Uh yea, no duh.

It's 12/8/13 all over again.

Yes it is. It's a real shame this event doesn't have even another 0.1" - 0.25" liquid to work with. We're really on the cusp of a respectable event here.

Based off the 12z Euro and 18z GFS, it would not surprise me to see Mt. Holly hoist a watch for their zones on Maryland's eastern shore into Delaware and S. Jersey.

Yes. We've had it bad in this subforum, but the eastern shore and south jersey has effectively been on weenie suicide warning for almost a decade.

The LWX AFD effectively highlights the strong dynamics at work. It would not surprise me to see someone between Baltimore and Philly/S Jersey get half a foot of snow from this.

Sterling alluded to a "low end warning event" in their late morning AFD update?

Those were absolutely rotten winters. Even the snowstorm that followed in January 2016 couldn't save the 2015-2016 winter.

We can only hope. Upper 40s, low 50s I can stomach. I just hope we aren't stuck in days on end where our low temps are above our average highs. I'm talking about the coldest time of the year, lowest sun angle. I just loathe 60s this time of year. It's unnatural.