Eskimo Joe

Yes. Give me enough for snow on snow.

We're like 6 to 12 hours away from a hit when it comes to timing.

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Nothing wrong with the Euro-AI. You don't want to be in the bulls eye this far out.

Ukie has no storm whatsoever, which is not surprising. It can sometimes whiff on these setups until you get within 100 hours.

Yes. While we were getting shellacked, the Canadian came in with 5" - 10" at 12z and we all laughed. Then the Euro came in with 15" - 20" and suddenly we knew something special was happening. There was a last minute bump north, but that was mostly because the block was decaying and it allowed for more poleward movement at 500 mb. We do not appear to have such a scenario this time around. It's a healthy block.

Canadian and Euro were the first to hone in on the 2nd Feb 2010 event.

Only Randy should start a thread, if one at all at this point.

Yes. Autocorrect got me. I'll fix my post. Ty

Oh man it's so close. We're a step or two away.

12z GFS op has a weird little trough out west that dampens the western ridge. Euro and Icon do not have have.

Early on, but to me the big thing seems to be how this ridge out west is handled, too far east and this thing swings out to sea. This is not a comment on a specific model, just an overall observation.

For the next day or two I would lean more weight towards the ensembles, both AI and traditional. If we start seeing a better clustering for the coastal low, and perhaps it climbing the seaboard more, then it's likely game on.