chubbs

Zeke Hausfather asks the question, where would we be without renewables?. The answer is: on an energy trajectory without hope. As fast as renewables have increased, we could ramp even faster with more supportive policies. That's how superior the technology has become vs fossil fuels. https://www.theclimatebrink.com/p/what-if-the-world-hadnt-built-wind

CERES net radiation (available thru July) is behaving as expected in a nino, topping out as global temperatures rise and outgoing radiation increases. The 3-year average indicates that net radiation has stabilized at a high level in the past couple of years. Rapid global warming will continue until there is a drop off.

https://bsky.app/profile/bmcnoldy.bsky.social/post/3mwss7mmx2k26

Yes, compensated by more NHEMI warmth in the US, and the tropical and sub-tropical Pacific this year. The antarctic had a bigger impact on global and SHemi temperatures than the arctic because it has strong anomalies and its influence extends to nearby sea ice and ocean.

https://bsky.app/profile/khaustein.bsky.social/post/3mwqu6hrps22s

The spike in global satellite sea surface temperatures is similar in magnitude to 2023. This September is 0.15C warmer than Sept 2023 and 0.14C warmer than the peak in Jan 2024.

Here's warming since 1850 for the Mid-Atlantic in the new Berkeley dataset. Chester County has similar warming to the region as a whole. The Berkeley warming in good agreement with NCEI, and other groups. https://dashboard.theclimatebrink.com/#map

Globally September will end up cooler than August, due to a cool Southern Hemisphere paced by Antarctica. In strong contrast to September 2023 when a very warm Antarctica contributed significantly to "gobsmacking" warmth.

World Weather Attribution report on the Nepal landslide. Too early for definitive attribution; but, report covers the various climate-related modes of slope de-stabilization. Also shows that strong melting was present at and well above the zone that failed. In agreement with the melting discussion upthread. A strong earthquake in 2015 also may have pre-disposed the slope for failure. https://www.worldweatherattribution.org/rapid-warming-in-the-himalaya-exacerbates-geohazard-cascades-beyond-adaptation-limits/

Why Phoenixville has the state record is covered in this thread. Phoenixville ran much warmer than other local stations on summer afternoons between the mid-1920s and the 1948 move. Probably due to a shelter that didn't provide adequate sun shielding. The spike in 90F days in the 30s and 40s shows the time period when Phoenixville ran warm. In the month when the state record was set, July 1936, high temperatures were 6-7F higher in Phoenixville than other local stations. Another reason why the raw data in Chester County requires bias adjustment.

"The long-duration warmth in Colorado continued in August 2026, which was the hottest August on record statewide. The entire state was warmer than average, and the Front Range, mountains, and western slope all had their warmest August on record. It was the third record-breaking month of 2026 so far, with February and March also being the warmest on record. It was the 15th consecutive month of above-average temperatures in Colorado" https://climate.colostate.edu/monthly_summary.html

Here' the past 30 days temperature data for the Everest Base Camp. All days are above freezing, reaching as warm as 10C. Temperatures below freezing have been rare in the past month. Even Camp 2 at 6464m has been above freezing most days. It took me a few seconds to google up this data. https://scidata.appstate.edu/everest/

A post-collapse picture of the Nepal avalanche site shows multiple meltwater streams from the glacier remains. Including those clearly sourced from cooler elevations above the collapsed zone. Further supporting the above freezing temperature estimates for the site.

That chart is roughly 5C higher than the one I posted, 8C vs 3C for 2026 for instance. The 5C difference makes sense given the 900m difference in the elevation basis of the estimates.

The graph says the temperatures were estimated with ERA re-analysis bias corrected to 5200 feet using regional high elevation weather stations.