40/70 Benchmark

You were hopeful for the days leading up to xmas just last night....

I think I went 19-29" for CPK.

Yea, we were on the same page. Glad it worked out..withstood the model waffles, when it looked meager on Friday, then beefed up last night...stayed the course.

1".

Not as it pertains to forecasting, which has an inherent element of subjectivity....unless you rip and read exclusively. There is also such an excess of data that it's easy to cherry pick.

1" here....about as expected.

@jbenedetThe beauty of blogspot, as archaic and unsophisticated as it may be, is that is provides a written account of my predications....I've largely nailed the progression of the month, and was actually far too WARM. I think I need a new pair of snow covered goggles....

In fact, the proverbial "Grinch Storm" is more likely than not. A Pacific trough should begin to evolve towards the end of the month in conjunction with a rather stout PV, as a mild pattern ensues to ring in 2026. The month of December will average near normal, anywhere from -1F to +1F, except near normal to +2F across the middle Atlantic.

Hopefully after harassing you the other day, @jbenedet can Sey-Mour reason for optimism moving forward.

I like to think of posters as I do model guidance...they all have biases, you just have to learn to accept that and elicit whatever value there is to glean from them. You aren't going to "fix" their biases....all it is going to do is foster underlying tension that will create distractions, and detract from the quality of the forum dialogue. Adam does seem like a smart guy....sure, his contributions are decidedly one-sided, but if you understand that, he does offer plenty of value.

I don't always see eye to eye with snowman, but he is reasonably pleasant for the most part. He can have an edge to him, though.

I'll just take your word for it and hit the hay.

GFS gives me 3.3"....really seems to hit the inverted trough hard over eastern areas at the expense of the CT RV.

Wow...3", that would narrowly beat the 12/2 deal.

Too bad me missed you, John. Maybe next time.