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40/70 Benchmark

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About 40/70 Benchmark

  • Birthday 11/16/1980

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KLWM
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Methuen, MA, 154' ASL 30 mi N of Boston
  • Interests
    Snow, Canes , Baseball, Football and Keeping Fit.

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  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Just be careful with that severe-weather-weenie site.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    We probably need something like this to reconfigure the Pacific, even if it means this coming season sucks, of which I am not convinced..
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    .94"
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, I hear that....but first of all, I feel as though at this range, the reluctance to forecast an event of an unprecedented magnitude/nature should take precedence with any ultimate capitulation reserved for closer lead times. In other words....in July, it's safer to heavily incorporate analogs and if it still looks unprecedented later this summer and into the fall, then revisit. Secondly, this is just me musing when I offer guesstimates in the forum like that...it's not as though I'm issuing any type of published forecast online or anything.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I was saying it would end up centered around 140W.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    How do you access 33? I had a membership over there, but all I can find is the X and Facebook accounts....
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Oh, I know...he has a lot to offer...he used to DM me some times in the lead up to large events. He just doesn't take this site seriously, which is fine, but in that case just lurk.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    EURO def. in the CFS camp by the look of NDJ, which is what I would expect.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Def. a risk with a pumped STJ....see 2016. More often than not, that is more of a worry for NNE.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, all of the data is available in this post above. Check how closely CANSIPS resembles Modoki data set.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I wouldn't resign yourself to a lost season-just accept that we likely aren't getting much in the way of sustained cold.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Basin-wide, similarly to this...1982-1983 was very east-based, and even that had some fierce winter mixed in. December was pretty snowy in my area and of course the Feb blizzard....something to keep in mind given it was the one very strong warm ENSO without a pronounced +WPO, and we seem to have seen a decadal shift in the north Pacific over the past couple of years.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    The warmth isn't relegated to the east, though. We could see a sequence like 2016 with some extreme intervals of winter weather mixed in...it just won't be sustained.
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