40/70 Benchmark

Excellent post...mic drop-

Se Canada will be cold...they can cut all they want, it will have to snow at this latitude to advect the warmer air from the inland primary, and a triple point low will pop INVO cape cod as a byproduct of the initial resitance from the CAD.

I have a learned a ton from your material.

I'll bet you $100 I have a plowable event of 3" or greater by the end of the second week of December (14th).

Yea, I said back to approaching climo by Xmas week, and that run reflects that.

Yea, I wasn't trying to insinuate that you should take that particular rin verbatim, but rather my point was that that the overall pattern matched my composite qualitatively speaking.

No, I meant on latter December -NAO. I agree regarding emergence of Pacific trough pattern.

I wouldn't hold your breath on that.

I am extremely confident se Canada will be cold more often than not and have been since like August. ...like 10/10 confidence.

Yes, agreed.

I'm not basing it on a 15 day model...and yes, I've locked it in as it pertains to the seasonal mean.

73.5"...probably low 80s IMBY now

All -NAO would do is grind these waves. That modeled pattern is perfect.

It was, and I went over the lawn one last time...all set for the SWFEs.

If you look at December snowfall for my analogs, it's good in NE and not so great in the mid Atlantic.