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40/70 Benchmark

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About 40/70 Benchmark

  • Birthday 11/16/1980

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KLWM
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Methuen, MA, 154' ASL 30 mi N of Boston
  • Interests
    Snow, Canes , Baseball, Football and Keeping Fit.

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  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    You can generate on these two sites using ERA 5 dataset, Chuck....only issues are that the time periods are more restricted...ie I can't do DJFM, and there are no daily options....ie March 10-25, etc...
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Oh, wow...I didn't think those went past early March, like the H5 stuff.....awesome. Issue is just H5 dailies, then
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    These are the best I have for monthly composites right now.. https://climatereanalyzer.org Alternatively, you can also still use PSL by drawing upon the ERA 5 dataset, since NCAR was discontinued in March....my problem is that you can't use ERA 5 to generate daily maps here: https://psl.noaa.gov/data/composites/day/ You also can't get degrees F and precipitation in inches using ERA 5. So I am seeking an alternative to generate those maps as to now be relegated to monthly data using degrees Kelvin and measuring precipitation in mm moving forward.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    I ask questions like that in this thread because this is where most of the seasonal guys like to congregate, so there is a method to my madness haha...not going OT just to be obnoxious.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    No, sorry...I see why you thought that because this is the ENSO thread. I apologize for the OT inquiry...I am asking about temp and precipitation anomaly map generation. Looking for a site that allows for daily map generation for temps in degrees F and precipitation in inches.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Does anyone have a site where I can generate 12/1 through 3/31 temp/precip anomaly maps? All of the sites I have checked do NOV-APR, DJF, JFM, etc....it's so annoying. I can't find a site that will allow me to manually enter an arbitrary daily period like PSU had....they all bin them into predetermined periods. I can use the ERA 5 dataset on PSU: https://psl.noaa.gov/data/atmoswrit/map/index.html But it plots temps using degrees kelvin and precipitation in MM. Does anyone have a site that can generate DJFM temps maps using degrees F and precipitation using inches?
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is what we want to see to avoid the dreaded cool-ENSO-like se ridge during the coming season IMHO.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I have to be honest...I'm taking it with a grain of salt at this stage, too....to be fair to Adam. If it still looks like that in October, then it may be time to take it more seriously.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, WPO was still + on the season technically per calculation, but no doubt there was more volatility this season. I think we are likely to see that continue.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Very clever ploy in editing in the shout out to me, so as not to exhaust 1/5th of your daily allotment of posts!! 'Cmon, dude....you know I'm not a JB.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I mentioned that in my March recap...there is often a bonafide Pacific trough regime about 10 days following PV splits. Showed up in two of my primary analogs: This split of the PV was then followed by a strong Pacific trough regime that resulted in record warmth about 7-10 days later, which was in fact very comparable to the sequence observed in the wake of the February 2018 analog-warming. This is same phenomenon also occurred to a somewhat lesser extent in 2001, as very warm temperatures with highs in the 50s also occurred on February 20th, 2001, which is 10 days subsequent to the February 11th, 2001 PV split.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Okay, this is what I focus on...the reversal, which is why 2023 didn't register with me. I know February 2023 had a reversal.....but wasn't under the impression that the 23-24 season did.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    1982-1983 is the only super El Nino that had kind of a favorable WPO, which is likely why the NE managed near normal snowfall. While I could see something like that, I do have a hard time envisioning a cold season.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Snowman must have missed that part of the seasonal forecast in his tweet regurgitation.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Chuck, I think I do recall some blocking during 2023-2024 now.....I remember Chris going on about how the se ridge was adjoining the NAO blocks that season, which is what killed us....likely a byproduct of the cool ENSO residue that persisted that season (RONI lagging ONI).
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