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40/70 Benchmark

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About 40/70 Benchmark

  • Birthday 11/16/1980

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KLWM
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Methuen, MA, 154' ASL 30 mi N of Boston
  • Interests
    Snow, Canes , Baseball, Football and Keeping Fit.

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  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    TBH, I think I would bet on this season being more impactful for the US than last season.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    That isn't what I said. However, I will discount a winter that is anything like 2009-2010 this coming season. Does that mean very little snowfall? No, not necessarily, but it will be warm.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Everywhere.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    This is in no way 2009-2010...not remotely relevant. You have brought that up a couple of times...it's moot. It was much weaker and the warmth was relegated to the western flank...not to mention we had just passed solar min with a neg QBO.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    What choice do I have? If it's a super El Nino with the RONI lagging the ONI like 2023, then it will suck...just pray for one good storm and an exit from Bluewave's warm-pool nightmare.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    With any luck, this El Nino will provide the impetus for the exit of this west-warm pool oriented decade, as snowman suggested. I understand that may mean biting the bullet this year.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, this is why I don't think the Modoki is really going to matter. I think it's more about how it relates to the ONI.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Hopefully that helps boost the RONI.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Right....2018-2019 was la Nino, as well. It's honestly been over a decade since we've had a true El Nino, and the RONI even lagged in that one.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, unfortunately, I feel like the remaining delta between the two is more important than the absolute RONI reading. Looks like a subpar season with an elevated risk for a big-dog.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Cyclical.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, that is my fear. I managed an awesome event on January 7th, though....was pretty localized, though.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Absolutely. This is what I have been getting at with the RONI focus.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    I've really made a concerted effort to factor CC in after the 2023 El Nino handed me my ass.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Only issue is that the RONI ls lagging the ONI by more this go-around, even though it is like to reach or exceed that absolute value of 1982.
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