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About 40/70 Benchmark

- Currently Viewing Topic: January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
- Birthday 11/16/1980
Profile Information
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Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
KLWM
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Gender
Male
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Location:
Methuen, MA, 154' ASL 30 mi N of Boston
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Interests
Snow, Canes , Baseball, Football and Keeping Fit.
Recent Profile Visitors
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2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
@michsnowfreak -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Gonna look at everything this weekend and probably write something up.....maybe also urinate a snowflake onto a napkin for Steve to understand. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
That looked like a Miller B-East job to me. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Yea, I think seeing Brian loop that convinced me it would have ended well...not that it matters. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
My storm forecasts aren't actually long...it's only the seasonal outlook. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Well, I always include a map, so if that isn't clear enough for you...IDk. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Very low confidence on this....but the 2013 analog that I discussed with Will is in the back of my mind and we do have some catching up to do. I like early March better, but eyes should be peeled in February. I was so torn on including that year in my February composite, but opted against at the last moment bc it was too warm ENSOish...but I wouldn't argue with anyone that did. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Put the lips' n' hips on ice, the dog logs should be covered soon. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
No doubt it's radiational cooling when I am lower than you lol -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I would bet anyone, any amount of money the monkey is long gone by February 1. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I was a bit surprised it got down to 19.8....figured there would have been a higher launching pad. I'm sure it's mostly fake born of radiational cooling and will be wiped out shortly, but still- -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Combination of cold and low solar irradiance has really maximized snow cover. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I think spiking the MJO amplitude in phase 7 later this month would further bolster confidence in this outcome, but my confidence is already pretty high. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Man, no wonder you've both been so cranky...4 years... -
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Absolutely....many on social media, including DT, are always inclined to rush the demise of ENSO. It's tiresome. I do expect the PNA to be the primary catalyst for some significant snowfall here in short order, as I do not expect NE coastal snowfall to remain this paltry.
