40/70 Benchmark

1972 screwed everyone in the mid atl and NE...so not counting that one, 2016 is the only intense El Niño that totally boned me.

I want the prospect of history to loom, and I only had that for a couple of days last year, which ended up going unfulfilled. Say what you want about the temps, but we should have plenty of drama next year....hell, even 2024 and 1997 I salvaged some incredible events.

TBH, I would prefer one 30"er to last season...I know I am probably in the minority on that, but only that latter January event was noteworthy in my neck of the woods....rest of the events were lame as fu(k....especially the blizzard that gave a guidance lap dance for a couple of days before taking off with the bouncer.

On average....but I don't have to tell you we just need to time one or two correctly to salvage a redeemable season.

I got a brief shower late day.... .03".

Hey, gotta pass the time during this extended stretch of boring weather.

RIP as it pertains to a cold seasons with consistent retention, but a mild map with extremely high precipitation in the mean leaves snowfall pretty wide-open...aside from probably being able to eliminate the prospects for a top 10 season north of NYC.

Everyone struggles from time to time time, but not everyone admits it...he is one,

Good advice I'm general, but the CANSIPS cold bias is fact. Having it do fairly well last year doesn't disprove that....no bias is absolute. This year is the type of season where would likely to too cold.

Good time for it...let that cold source build.

Cosgrove sure has an interesting take...heh. Seems to be going with a CANSIPS type outcome with massive AK/western Canadian and CONUS ridging. Big -EPO/PNA.

Yea, the VW effectively squashed the SO2 ink association with Tonga.

Thing is, just as it likely overdoing the NAO, it could also be overdoing the EPO is we don't pop as large of a GOA as it indicates....which is possible given the residual cool ENSO residue.

No bueno...this is what Kev was getting at....if you're wondering why the EURO is warm despite a big -NAO, this is why.