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40/70 Benchmark

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About 40/70 Benchmark

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KLWM
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Methuen, MA, 154' ASL 30 mi N of Boston
  • Interests
    Snow, Canes , Baseball, Football and Keeping Fit.

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  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't mean it won't breach 120W...I am talking about there it will be centered.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    If we have another decade like this during the 2030s, then yes....I will assume we have reached a tipping point at which the back ground warming has rendered the pattern irrelevant for east coast snowfall prospects, but I am just not there yet. I think that's a pretty fair stance. Do I expect a repeat of the 2010's next decade? Probably not-
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Epitomizes your online contributions over the course of the past two decades....what a waste of a degree. Plenty of highly esteemed contributors like @bluewaveand @raindancewx are pretty painfully objective with regard to east coast winter prospects...it's not about that. You just don't offer much of value not because you aren't capable, but you allocate all of your time and energy towards mindless trolling.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Any seasonal meteorologist worth a damn would understand that there are multidecadal trends and oscillations at play that are independent of the background warming.....they have all been about as hostile as it gets for east coast winter enthusiasts throughout the 2020s. If you feel the planet is going to warm enough to negate the more favorable shift of the multidecadal hemispheric trends and increased moisture availability, then I would be more than willing to wager against you.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would bet it ends up around 140W.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Just like I thought this decade would be worse than the 2010's...and winter 1996-1997 would be worse than 1995-1996. It's not rocket science.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I would bet my life that the 2030's are better for east coast winter enthusiasts than the 2020's....how much better is the focus of debate.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    I get what @snowman19is saying....good shot it keeps going east, but I would prefer that as opposed to having it remain in the MC. Forcing probably won't remain in the Modoki zone, but give me east-based forcing over the MC-hybrid crap. At least with the former there should be some windows and it will be active.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    The stagnation of the MJO on the lefthand side makes sense
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, one very good month is my thinking...maybe another averageish month if things break right.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, I am not...at least not at this point in life. My focus is pretty concentrated around SNE snowfall and US cane threats. If the highlight of this winter is severe threats down south, my post count will be considerably lower than usual.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    What does ENSO state have to do with it? We know guidance has yet to catch up to the intensity of modern ridges because we just witnessed it last winter out west. ENSO state plays a role in dictating where the under-modeled ridging will set up, but it doesn't alter the fact that it is consistently under modeled. The whole "show me update data every season" is a cop out IMHO...the sky is blue, and I don't need data...either look upwards and check Google.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, this.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    He's saying that ridging is underestimated in this modern era, so where ever ridging is denoted, it's highly likely that seasonal guidance will be too cold and low with heights in that area...regardless of where it is.
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