40/70 Benchmark

@michsnowfreak

Gonna look at everything this weekend and probably write something up.....maybe also urinate a snowflake onto a napkin for Steve to understand.

That looked like a Miller B-East job to me.

Yea, I think seeing Brian loop that convinced me it would have ended well...not that it matters.

My storm forecasts aren't actually long...it's only the seasonal outlook.

Well, I always include a map, so if that isn't clear enough for you...IDk.

Very low confidence on this....but the 2013 analog that I discussed with Will is in the back of my mind and we do have some catching up to do. I like early March better, but eyes should be peeled in February. I was so torn on including that year in my February composite, but opted against at the last moment bc it was too warm ENSOish...but I wouldn't argue with anyone that did.

Put the lips' n' hips on ice, the dog logs should be covered soon.

No doubt it's radiational cooling when I am lower than you lol

I would bet anyone, any amount of money the monkey is long gone by February 1.

I was a bit surprised it got down to 19.8....figured there would have been a higher launching pad. I'm sure it's mostly fake born of radiational cooling and will be wiped out shortly, but still-

Combination of cold and low solar irradiance has really maximized snow cover.

I think spiking the MJO amplitude in phase 7 later this month would further bolster confidence in this outcome, but my confidence is already pretty high.

Man, no wonder you've both been so cranky...4 years...

Absolutely....many on social media, including DT, are always inclined to rush the demise of ENSO. It's tiresome. I do expect the PNA to be the primary catalyst for some significant snowfall here in short order, as I do not expect NE coastal snowfall to remain this paltry.