40/70 Benchmark

Yea, beyond St Paddy's Day requires a much great anomaly to get even a pedestrian snow event on the CP.

Well, it's not a climo-thing for me...it's a "the set up would blow in January"-thing....looks like we are going to have a 50/50 High.

Go draft

And I mean it, too-

I'd rather see a Montreal-mauler.

I could see it ending up more like a messy hugger, though....but I think the threat of another 40"er at the safe houses of Fall River is going by the wayside...

Yea, mid month-threat looks like a SLRV runner right now...tough to bank on the seasonal trend at this juncture because that BZ is lifting northward.

Yea, well the pause in snowmelt is quite real, as fleeting as it will be...

I snuck below freezing, down to 29.1

Eh...looks like I whiffed on March this season, but TBH that's probably a good thing for my DM numbers because I had been too warm.

GFS and EURO suck verbatim....only good outcome is EURO AI.

Yes, definitely...that failure kept it as a "B"....I need one more high-end event next week to go with an "A".

Yea, it's a good winter....not complaining....just stating why it isn't an "A" for me....I value precipitation a bit more than cold, which the stats back up at this latitude....that is why I grade a year like 2004-2005, which wasn't every cold and had a lot of melting, but also a ton of snow, higher than this.

I'm also pretty sure the days of -2 to -3 PDO values are over because this El Niño is likely to be the catalyst for change in that regard.....we just had a -PDO strong El Niño and highly doubt we are doing that again. This event should begin the transition to warm phase in the Pacific, which likely completed around the turn of the decade.

My ultimate orgy-scenario is rapid-fire events in fast succession, which is really what this season was missing....I would gladly give back some of the cold to get that. The pattern should be much more conductive to that next year, but of course the issue is likely to be the cold....trick will be to get it just cold enough for a couple of weeks consecutively. Obviously we aren't going 50 days below 40 degrees again, or whatever it was....especially assuming a higher-end El Niño.