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40/70 Benchmark

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About 40/70 Benchmark

  • Birthday 11/16/1980

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KLWM
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Methuen, MA, 154' ASL 30 mi N of Boston
  • Interests
    Snow, Canes , Baseball, Football and Keeping Fit.

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  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    That isn't my point.....I'm not saying that it necessarily should have flipped by now, but considering what has gone on over the course of the past decade, nothing is a foregone conclusion with respect to to the PDO. I'm with you on that, but it's not a non-issue, as you seem to imply.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    He never left, X.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    No it isn't, since the PDO has yet to respond to said record breaking El Niño.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Lets get cloudy, cool weekend afternoons with the sound of football filling the airwaves, and the scent of smoke in the nasal passage with rake in hand.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    If I had my way, it would be drizzle and 43 all weekend, so it's fine by me.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Crap is in the hand of the beholder.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    https://cyclonicwx.com/models/hovmoller/
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Regardless of the total picture, there exists absolutely astronomical, extraordinarily high potential during shorter intervals that belies what should be a mild seasonal mean....the devil is in the details and it's easy to miss the period when all hell broke loose when you only view a snapshot composite of a winter's life. Almost akin to considering a middle-aged guy like me....46 yrs, old, decent career, 4 beautiful children and an aggregate of circumstances that embodies a ho-hum mid-life...sure, but when viewing a 46-year composite mean, it's easy to miss the US Marine that collected 2 OUIs and came within a toad's whisker of having it all end long before any of my kids were even so much as a glint in my eye.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Usually in a warm ENSO of this magnitude, the GOA low is so prominent that it often bleeds into AK in the mean, so the season ends up predominately +EPO....BUT, one wild card is how that residual cool ENSO residue across the north Pacific parlays this season....yea, it will probably augment the Canadian ridge, but might it also mitigate the lower height leakage into AK, and potentially not bury the STJ quite as much as would be implied by the HOF-juggernaut El Nino composite?? Interesting....
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yea, that is what I figured he meant. I don't think we'll see that in the mean, but definitely possible for shorter windows.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    I choose the black tail.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Do you mean the actual model data, or just the bogus tropical tidbits output?
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    What do you mean, a ridge extending down from the arctic through the west coast, rather than a more traidtional, El Nino-forced PNA ridge?
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Were you predicting -PNA for the season, though? What you are referring to is simply misinterpretation of a seasonal chart....I recall someone was telling me that the PNA would average negative. Anyway, NBD...I wasn't trying to call anyone out.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    My interpretation of that is volatility.....biased + first half, neutralish to perhaps even somewhat negative second half.....but AO should be negative.
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