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40/70 Benchmark

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About 40/70 Benchmark

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KLWM
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Methuen, MA, 154' ASL 30 mi N of Boston
  • Interests
    Snow, Canes , Baseball, Football and Keeping Fit.

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  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    So it's going to be too low with heights in the southeast, but nail the northeast and mid atlantic? Good luck-
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Music to my eyes, ears and weenie.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    @Stormchaserchuck1
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    It's affecting the pattern a great deal in the tropics, probably more so than any ENSO event in history at this time of year, but it's impact in the mid latitudes of the N HEM remains rather meager at this time.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    Output looks okay on satelitewx.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    @stadiumwaveCan you link where you generated this image?
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    That doesn't change the fact that it's initialization of the Pacific is off, so I would still adjust warmer....but that does make a little more sense. Yea, H5 for August at one month lead was good, but that doesn't mean that is always the case every month.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Sure, but we have good reasons to believe that it isn't. I could still doubt that you're one of NYC's finest after you show me your badge and a pic of you sleeping in the cruiser, but that doesn't change the facts. No runs are key if the model incessantly suffers from an erroneous initialization. Again, this doesn't necessarily mean an awful winter is en route, it just means that CANSIPS output is highly flawed. Maybe we will make out okay and score a HECS...both can be true, and in fact, I suspect that they are.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Yes, and I'm not being facetious....quite literally.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    -AO/+PNA winter en route.....confirms what I had already figured.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    Often times when seasonal guidance misses, it never caves....it just misses.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Ah, okay...that makes sense. I agree with that.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    So that implies +AO/-NAO? I'll bet against that-
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    73-74 if it gets stronger...
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