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40/70 Benchmark

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About 40/70 Benchmark

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KLWM
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Methuen, MA, 154' ASL 30 mi N of Boston
  • Interests
    Snow, Canes , Baseball, Football and Keeping Fit.

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  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    One thing I will say is that with somewhat less MC influence, perhaps it may be a it easier to pop a -NAO during the coming season, but still a lot working against it in the grand scheme of things....solar cycle is about as hostile as it gets with geomagnetic energy peaking a couple of years removed from solar max.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Forecast -NAO is def. more severe this year than 2023, but it was biased to negatively in 2023, and I suspect that is again the case. That being said, this reality is certainly not prohibitive to some intervals of blocking, I just think the model is overdoing it.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    Sept 2026: Sept 2023:
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Shrivel!!!
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Problem is I don't buy it given the magnitude and orientation of El Niño along with the QBO and solar cycle...it was kind of doing the same thing in Sept. 2023. Feb 2024 ended up with a +1.09 NAO.... +.76 DJFM mean NAO, so it whiffed on that.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not concerned about that at all. We'll need it the year, IMHO....will be the difference between infrastructure-paralyzing paste and wind-swept sheets of rain. That is absurd for February....like 2010, stuff.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not sure that I characterize much it's leaning into the -NAO as "very much canonical east based Nino". Aug: Sept:
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Things probably won't pick up appreciably until the latter half of October.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    Most anomalous snowfall of my life occurred in April 1997, which was an otherwise bottom-dwelling season.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't think the fast flow will be a large issue this year.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Much more moisture available today, along with the warmer climate.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    I will say that the 1877 event was pretty similar to this and that winter sucked.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't see why it would be displaced southward...agree on northward.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    Sorry for OT...honestly forgot which thread I was in.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    Region 4 has kind of dried up for now, but I don't think that wil last.
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