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40/70 Benchmark

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About 40/70 Benchmark

  • Birthday 11/16/1980

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KLWM
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Methuen, MA, 154' ASL 30 mi N of Boston
  • Interests
    Snow, Canes , Baseball, Football and Keeping Fit.

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  1. I think it will end up near neutral....either side.
  2. Yea, basically a -PDO negatively interferes with every element of El Nino that is favorable from the perspective of an east coast winter enthusiast.
  3. I think the 12-rack you consumed for breakfast deconstructively interfered with your thought process.
  4. I've said before I'm not a big fan of the ELI, and frankly disagree it's more east-based than 1997, but I also don't think that it matters. Solar is another reason to bet against the 2009 and 1957 analogs.
  5. 2009 was a pure Modoki season and was much weaker in magnitude. 1957 was basin-wide, but it was focused pretty far west and was barely a super-event. Forget 2009, but I guess 1957 is about as cold as one could expect, which was around normal.
  6. I think he means "stable" within the context of the modern GW trend.
  7. CANSIPS actually did well last season, but I agree it's too biased towards the Modoki end of the spectrum this year....alomng with the JMA, IMHO.
  8. Where is the July verification composite from, the JMA site?
  9. I think these changes are entirely immaterial with the degree of warmth throughout ENSO.
  10. No one thought it was right with a straight Modoki in the seasonal mean.
  11. Go back and search...he literally calls for East coast bullseye every season.
  12. The arctic outbreak INVO VD Day was pretty remarkable.
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