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40/70 Benchmark

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About 40/70 Benchmark

  • Birthday 11/16/1980

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KLWM
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Methuen, MA, 154' ASL 30 mi N of Boston
  • Interests
    Snow, Canes , Baseball, Football and Keeping Fit.

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  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    How are we looking for latter October? Trying to get a feel for whether or not we can get away with doing my 7 yr old's Bday outdoors....looks kind of seasonable-ish?
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    Doubt it...my call from yesterday still looks good...110mph peak overnight before a Destin, FL LF early Sat at 90mph. Famous last words....lol
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    On the east coast...
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Should be a good flex tonight before it gets pummeled early tomorrow.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    I thought we tied the record of 10/8 from 1851.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    Which is why it probably isn't a good idea to speak in absolutes....the issue that has been plaguing us for the past decade is that we have been mired in a perpetual state of MC forcing...if 2023 was buoyed in phase 6 and this is further east, then I'll take my chances with that.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    In the mean....not necessarily over the shorter-term due to more stochastic pattern flexes; there are also favorable periods within a bad season.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't mean this to be insulting, either....I have had some brutal forecasts....anyone being honest and transparent has.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    Either way, it all boils down to a warmer baseline.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    Pretty sure Forky missed the nice season we had last year...honest question @forkyfork, what would you need to see to forecast a decent winter? It was petty obvious to a lot of folks that the combination of high solar/very strong easterly QBO and modest-eastern biased La Nina would yield a plethora of chances last winter.... I get that the ridges were larger, troughs smaller as compared to similar patterns 50 years ago...not the point-
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    We all agree it's an uphill battle, but it's the close-minded, bandying about of absolutes in a divisive manner that folks take umbrage to....it's a nuisance at the very least, and a barrier to constructive dialogue at worst.
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    TBH, it needs to be to have a similar impact given the anecedent state of the Pacific.
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    We can all agree 1995-1996 was in incredible winter, but there was a notable deviation from that pattern during the middle portion of January.
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    You're right...I guess Ayer, MA will have to settle for 2"/hr instead of the 6" in 1997...then again, there is more moisture available in the warmer air...
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