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40/70 Benchmark

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About 40/70 Benchmark

  • Birthday 11/16/1980

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KLWM
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Methuen, MA, 154' ASL 30 mi N of Boston
  • Interests
    Snow, Canes , Baseball, Football and Keeping Fit.

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  1. 40/70 Benchmark
    Adam ( @snowman19)....as a clinician, this is an honest suggestion....look into this. This is my only contribution to this thread. I have used it as a clinician and a patient, so it's not meant as an insult. I think the latter two skills would be particularly beneficial for you. Dialectical Behavior Therapy The 4 Core Skills Modules DBT skills are divided into two acceptance-oriented modules and two change-oriented modules: [1] Mindfulness: The foundation of DBT. It teaches you to stay present, observe your emotions without judgment, and focus on the current moment. [1, 2, 3] Distress Tolerance: Helps you get through crisis situations without making them worse (e.g., using physical sensations like holding ice cubes to tolerate intense urges). [1, 2] Emotion Regulation: Teaches you to identify, name, and change specific emotions, reducing your overall vulnerability to negative emotional spirals. [1, 2, 3, 4] Interpersonal Effectiveness: Equips you with tools to ask for what you need, say "no" to demands, and maintain your self-respect and relationships.
  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    I injected some sarcasm by mocking him a bit....guilty; but there was no need for the absurd racism accusation. Anyone with any familiarity with this thread knew what I was doing there. He has a tendency to respond to resistance in this truly vile manner that usually includes very derogatory insults, and in this case, a pathetic attempt to inject race as a means to vilify me rather than simply address the point. Primitive deflection tactic.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    As do I......I also have hope that one day you will succeed in wrapping your mind around the fact that this is not mutually exclusive with the fact that there remains significant MC influence throughout the hemisphere.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Shocking that only one of us in this thread has a history of being 5 PPD...can't possible think of why.
  5. 40/70 Benchmark
    Larry, I don't see the issue with reenforcing the fact that this July has been more representative of the -PDO data set and it has the developing super El Niño.
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    What? Why don't you formulate a cohesive counter to the point rather than deflecting with silly attempts to inject race into the issue and copy and past a slew of tweets. I'm a licensed social worker with 4 African children and an African wife, who was mocking your proclivity to scan every crevice of the internet for tweets to quote that fit your bizarre ENSO agenda.
  7. 40/70 Benchmark
    For the record, this is worse for winter than a classic super El Niño look...I have no interest in MC influence for the coming winter, but I have even less interest in cherry picking data.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    Hey @snowman19, maybe you find find some tweets in Swahili that will convince us this July has shaped up like this.
  9. 40/70 Benchmark
    The fact that we still have a very healthy -PDO in place tells me this El Niño has some work to do with respect to vanquishing the competing MC influence, regardless of how man posts we can find on the internet suggesting otherwise.
  10. 40/70 Benchmark
    That is correct. My Modoki events since 1950 are: 1958-1959, 1968-1969, 1977-1978, 2002-2003, 2004-2005, 2009-2010 and 2014-2015.
  11. 40/70 Benchmark
    I'm not crazy about that ELI ....they state that it does a pretty poor job of identifying Modoki events and it absolutely does....it has 2023 similar to 2009 and 2004. It lost me right there. Two issues...first of all, the 165-170E Modoki range is too restrictive, which is likely why Modoki events are underrepresented in the data set. Secondly, it fails to distinguish the MC forcing of 2023 from Modoki forcing, which makes it no better than VP and OLR. I still like using the RONI for that distinction.
  12. 40/70 Benchmark
    How do you equate that?
  13. 40/70 Benchmark
    Wow, cool...so it's more precise then simply viewing a VP or OLR composite. Is the latest data behind a paywall? I'd love to incorporate that...
  14. 40/70 Benchmark
    What is ELI?
  15. 40/70 Benchmark
    That looks like the east-based/intense composite forcing, but more expansive both to the east (into S America) AND to the west (towards Dateline). Supports what raindance and I were mentioning RE volatility, albeit a mild national temp in the mean (warmth great coverage, more anomalous and greater residence than cold) this winter.
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