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January 17-19th Plains/MW/Lakes Storm Potential Part II


Powerball

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KLOT

.DISCUSSION...

858 PM CST

NO REAL BIG CHANGES MADE IN THE NEAR TERM OR FOR THE OVER NIGHT

HOURS. FOCUS REMAINS WITH MONDAYS SYSTEM AND CHANCES FOR PRECIP AS

WELL AS PRECIP TYPE. ALTHOUGH...DID HOLD OFF ON ISSUING A

HEADLINE/ADVISORY ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA AT THIS

TIME.

MKX deciding on wether or not to add bottom four counties to an advisory..

UPDATE...

BEEN CONTEMPLATING WHETHER OR NOT TO ADD THE REMAINING FOUR

COUNTIES ALONG THE ILLINOIS BORDER FROM JANESVILLE TO KENOSHA IN

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. 18Z GFS HAD MORE FAVORABLE SOUTHERN

TRACK ACROSS IL OF SURFACE LOW AND LARGE AREA OF 0.50 TO 0.75" OF

LIQUID SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM FLD TO EFT. THIS OF COURSE WOULD

CAUSE CONCERN ABOUT THE NEED FOR A WARNING...EVEN WITH 10:1 SNOW

TO LIQUID RATIOS.

21Z SREF SUGGESTS HEAVIEST SNOW BAND FROM NW IL INTO OZAUKEE

COUNTY AREA...AT LEAST ARGUING FOR ADDING ROCK AND WALWORTH

COUNTIES TO THE ADVISORY. SREF PRECIPITATION TYPE PROBABILITIES

SUGGEST SOME POTENTIAL FOR SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN IN FAR

SOUTHEAST.

00Z NAM CAME IN WITH ABOUT 0.10" LESS LIQUID THAN 18Z RUN...WITH

PERSISTENT MINIMUM REMAINING OVER RACINE/KENOSHA COUNTIES.

01Z RUC HAS STRONGEST 700 MB UVVS MOVING RIGHT OVER FAR SOUTHEAST

WISCONSIN BY MIDDAY MONDAY. THROUGH 19Z THE 850 MB TEMPERATURES

ARE STILL -3C OVER KENOSHA...WITH 40-45 KNOT SOUTHWEST WINDS

PERPENDICULAR TO THE ISOTHERMS FOR SIGNIFICANT WARM

ADVECTION/LIFT.

WILL WAIT TO SEE THE FIRST 36-48 HOURS OF GFS AND THEN WILL LIKELY

ADD ROCK AND WALWORTH COUNTIES...IF NOT ALL FOUR REMAINING

SOUTHERN COUNTIES TO THE ADVISORY BASED ON TRACK OF LOW AND QPF.

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Meh, I'm just sick of winter. Ready for the spring to get here. Baseball season etc. No idea, why I live in Wisconsin.

A good friend of mine just moved to Elk Mound, she lived in Detroit. I cannot even believe she did that, went from city to a farm/city of 800 people.. axesmiley.png

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A good friend of mine just moved to Elk Mound, she lived in Detroit. I cannot even believe she did that, went from city to a farm/city of 800 people.. axesmiley.png

Hate to play the board Nazi but posts like this have got to be reduced. It's ok for the occasional OT post, but stuff like the above is becoming endemic. I'm not talking specifically to you Ajdos.

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