janetjanet998 Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 this was buried in the LES thread but I thought this should have a thread of it's own.... METAR KSBN 081054Z 00000KT 1/4SM +SN FZFG BKN001 OVC006 M08/M09 A2951 RMK AO2 TWR VIS 1/4 SLP006 SNINCR 8/19 P0015 T10831094 METAR KSBN 081154Z 28009KT 1/4SM +SN FZFG VV001 M08/M09 A2954 RMK AO2 TWR VIS 1/4 SLP017 SNINCR 6/23 931162 4/023 P0006 60039 70078 T10831094 11078 21083 52027 $ METAR KSBN 081254Z COR 25005KT 1SM -SN BR FEW011 BKN020 OVC027 M08/M10 A2956 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 3 SLP024 SNINCR 3/24 P0006 T10831100 $ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 724 AM EST SAT JAN 8 2011 ..MAJOR LAKE EFFECT SNOWSTORM IN PROGRESS UPDATE/AVIATION INTENSE LK EFFECT CONTS TO POUND KSBN TERMINAL AND LTL RELIEF SEEN NR TERM W/NXT INTENSE WELL DVLPD MESOVORT JUST SOUTH OF HOLLAND MI DROPPING SSE. UPSTREAM CVRG FLANK IN ASSOCN/W THIS FTR LOOKS TO ARRIVE BACK INTO THE SBN TERMINAL TWD 14Z W/ANOTHER SVRL HOUR PD OF VRY HEAVY SNOW. GRIDS A WRECK ATTM AND WILL TRY TO BLEND IN SOME SHRT TERM HIGHRES GUIDANCE TO TWEAK AMTS HIGHER OVR BERRIEN/ST JOSEPH. INLAND AREAS REMAIN DIFFICULT W/HEAVY SNOW REACH BUT W/DEEPER NRLY FETCH SEEN TAKING SHAPE ALONG LONG AXIS OF LK ALG W/TYPICAL DIURNAL ENHANCEMENT THINK EXISTING HEADLINES ARE OK FOR NOW. HWVR NEED TO AWAIT 12Z GUIDANCE TO SEE OF SUCCESSION OF UPSTREAM MESOVORTS DISRUPT FLW ENOUGH TO BACK PRIMARY SNOW BAND WWD FURTHER INTO NW INDIANA. MANY AREAS IN AND AROUND SOUTH BEND NR 2 FEET ALREADY AND COULD EASILY PICK UP ANOTHER FOOT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 not possible.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 8, 2011 Author Share Posted January 8, 2011 not possible.. the aipport was overe a band that stalled right over them....but the totals in the METARs don't add up..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 I would say its possible but dam! thats impressive that band was parked over them for awhile dumping on them, can see at the beginning of the loop. http://weather.cod.edu/cgi-bin/radarloop.pl?station=IWX&product=BREF1&loopdir=brefs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 8, 2011 Author Share Posted January 8, 2011 my god they have 24 inches down already now this.... INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SOUTH BEND...MISHAWAKA...NEW CARLISLE... WALKERTON...ELKHART...GOSHEN...NAPPANEE...NILES...BENTON HARBOR... ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS...MARCELLUS 743 AM EST SAT JAN 8 2011 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY. * TIMING...HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. SNOWFALL RATES OF 2 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR ARE LIKELY THIS MORNING AND AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON INTO MID EVENING. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF GENERALLY 8 TO 12 INCHES IS EXPECTED ACROSS BERRIEN...ST JOSEPH AND THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF ELKHART AND CASS COUNTIES. LOCALLY HIGHER ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 16 TO 20 INCHES IS POSSIBLE IF INTENSE BANDING PERSISTS IN ANY PARTICULAR AREA. STORM TOTALS AMOUNTS IN SOME AREAS MAY EXCEED 30 INCHES. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL TAPER TO ONLY 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER THE EASTERN CASS AND NORTHEAST ELKHART. STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS NEAR 2 FEET ARE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY OVER NORTHERN ST JOSEPH AND EASTERN BERRIEN COUNTY. * OTHER IMPACTS...UNTREATED ROADS ARE SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY. AREAS OF SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCED VISIBILITY WILL ALSO OCCUR IN THE HEAVIER SNOW BANDS WITH WHITEOUT CONDITIONS LIKELY. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH TODAY WILL LEAD TO AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. VERY HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 this was buried in the LES thread but I thought this should have a thread of it's own.... METAR KSBN 081054Z 00000KT 1/4SM +SN FZFG BKN001 OVC006 M08/M09 A2951 RMK AO2 TWR VIS 1/4 SLP006 SNINCR 8/19 P0015 T10831094 METAR KSBN 081154Z 28009KT 1/4SM +SN FZFG VV001 M08/M09 A2954 RMK AO2 TWR VIS 1/4 SLP017 SNINCR 6/23 931162 4/023 P0006 60039 70078 T10831094 11078 21083 52027 $ METAR KSBN 081254Z COR 25005KT 1SM -SN BR FEW011 BKN020 OVC027 M08/M10 A2956 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 3 SLP024 SNINCR 3/24 P0006 T10831100 $ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 724 AM EST SAT JAN 8 2011 ..MAJOR LAKE EFFECT SNOWSTORM IN PROGRESS UPDATE/AVIATION INTENSE LK EFFECT CONTS TO POUND KSBN TERMINAL AND LTL RELIEF SEEN NR TERM W/NXT INTENSE WELL DVLPD MESOVORT JUST SOUTH OF HOLLAND MI DROPPING SSE. UPSTREAM CVRG FLANK IN ASSOCN/W THIS FTR LOOKS TO ARRIVE BACK INTO THE SBN TERMINAL TWD 14Z W/ANOTHER SVRL HOUR PD OF VRY HEAVY SNOW. GRIDS A WRECK ATTM AND WILL TRY TO BLEND IN SOME SHRT TERM HIGHRES GUIDANCE TO TWEAK AMTS HIGHER OVR BERRIEN/ST JOSEPH. INLAND AREAS REMAIN DIFFICULT W/HEAVY SNOW REACH BUT W/DEEPER NRLY FETCH SEEN TAKING SHAPE ALONG LONG AXIS OF LK ALG W/TYPICAL DIURNAL ENHANCEMENT THINK EXISTING HEADLINES ARE OK FOR NOW. HWVR NEED TO AWAIT 12Z GUIDANCE TO SEE OF SUCCESSION OF UPSTREAM MESOVORTS DISRUPT FLW ENOUGH TO BACK PRIMARY SNOW BAND WWD FURTHER INTO NW INDIANA. MANY AREAS IN AND AROUND SOUTH BEND NR 2 FEET ALREADY AND COULD EASILY PICK UP ANOTHER FOOT. 8" in one hour?? I don't know about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 the aipport was overe a band that stalled right over them....but the totals in the METARs don't add up..... Yeah something isn't right. This observer has 8" in one hour in the snincr remark. Also the totals don't add up right. KSBN 081154Z 28009KT 1/4SM +SN FZFG VV001 M08/M09 A2954 RMK AO2 TWR VIS 1/4 SLP017 SNINCR 6/23 931162 4/023 P0006 60039 70078 T10831094 11078 21083 52027 $ KSBN 081054Z 00000KT 1/4SM +SN FZFG BKN001 OVC006 M08/M09 A2951 RMK AO2 TWR VIS 1/4 SLP006 SNINCR 8/19 P0015 T10831094 $ KSBN 080954Z 36005KT 1/4SM +SN FZFG VV001 M08/M09 A2949 RMK AO2 SLP999 SNINCR 2/13 P0008 T10831094 $ It is definitely heavy snow though, I just don't know what the observer was doing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Yeah something isn't right. This observer has 8" in one hour in the snincr remark. Also the totals don't add up right. KSBN 081154Z 28009KT 1/4SM +SN FZFG VV001 M08/M09 A2954 RMK AO2 TWR VIS 1/4 SLP017 SNINCR 6/23 931162 4/023 P0006 60039 70078 T10831094 11078 21083 52027 $ KSBN 081054Z 00000KT 1/4SM +SN FZFG BKN001 OVC006 M08/M09 A2951 RMK AO2 TWR VIS 1/4 SLP006 SNINCR 8/19 P0015 T10831094 $ KSBN 080954Z 36005KT 1/4SM +SN FZFG VV001 M08/M09 A2949 RMK AO2 SLP999 SNINCR 2/13 P0008 T10831094 $ It is definitely heavy snow though, I just don't know what the observer was doing. Uhh he is probably doing a big no-no. Especially since .15 into 8 inches is a 53 to 1 ratio and .06 into 6 inches is 100 to 1 ratio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Yeah something isn't right. This observer has 8" in one hour in the snincr remark. Also the totals don't add up right. KSBN 081154Z 28009KT 1/4SM +SN FZFG VV001 M08/M09 A2954 RMK AO2 TWR VIS 1/4 SLP017 SNINCR 6/23 931162 4/023 P0006 60039 70078 T10831094 11078 21083 52027 $ KSBN 081054Z 00000KT 1/4SM +SN FZFG BKN001 OVC006 M08/M09 A2951 RMK AO2 TWR VIS 1/4 SLP006 SNINCR 8/19 P0015 T10831094 $ KSBN 080954Z 36005KT 1/4SM +SN FZFG VV001 M08/M09 A2949 RMK AO2 SLP999 SNINCR 2/13 P0008 T10831094 $ It is definitely heavy snow though, I just don't know what the observer was doing. It's settling fast. But seriously, if we throw out the hourly numbers in those METARs and go by snow depth...it's 6" in one hour and 4" in one hour. Stupid impressive if legit. BTW, SBN rocking again at last ob. METAR KSBN 081354Z 28011KT 1/4SM +SN FZFG VV003 M08/M09 A2959 RMK AO2 SLP033 P0002 T10831094 $ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Uhh he is probably doing a big no-no. Especially since .15 into 8 inches is a 53 to 1 ratio and .06 into 6 inches is 100 to 1 ratio It's settling fast. But seriously, if we throw out the hourly numbers in those METARs and go by snow depth...it's 6" in one hour and 4" in one hour. Stupid impressive if legit. BTW, SBN rocking again at last ob. METAR KSBN 081354Z 28011KT 1/4SM +SN FZFG VV003 M08/M09 A2959 RMK AO2 SLP033 P0002 T10831094 $ Haha, got to love the 100 to 1 ratios. Seriously though, it is some heavy stuff. Hopefully we can see some webcams/pics of the carnage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 The power of twitter brought up this beauty. http://twitpic.com/3o4140 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Maybe Indystorm (Elkhart Co.) or weatherbo (Northern Kosciukso Co.) will check in here later. They are both under the warning and especially Elkhart Co. appears to be getting rocked on radar right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 The power of twitter brought up this beauty. http://twitpic.com/3o4140 Absolutely beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 The power of twitter brought up this beauty. http://twitpic.com/3o4140 Jealousy yet... :wub: also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 let's book a flight to south bend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Absolutely beautiful. Jealousy yet... :wub: also. let's book a flight to south bend! I am down. I have never been in a lake effect band. I got a bunch of Buffalo, NY friends who go lake effect snow storm chasing. I may have to tag along some day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 The ONLY other time I've heard of this happeneing was with a syoptic storm p in Massachusetts. I believe the name of the town was Fairmount, but I'm not sure on that one or the actual storm it took place in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 I am down. I have never been in a lake effect band. I got a bunch of Buffalo, NY friends who go lake effect snow storm chasing. I may have to tag along some day. You know one day I should just drive up to Port Huron or Port Austin when a good Lake Huron band hits. Would be nice to experience. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 I am down. I have never been in a lake effect band. I got a bunch of Buffalo, NY friends who go lake effect snow storm chasing. I may have to tag along some day. Bingo! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n05DVrPGI2w Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 You know one day I should just drive up to Port Huron or Port Austin when a good Lake Huron band hits. Would be nice to experience. You have no excuse, you are close. Heck I bet you and Canuck could meet up and chase Nice. Got to love the power of social media and instantaneous updates! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 You have no excuse, you are close. Heck I bet you and Canuck could meet up and chase Nice. Got to love the power of social media and instantaneous updates! Cannuck could go to London Ontario, they get crushed regularly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 9 inches of snow total from numerous measurements in my backyard. As I posted in the LES thread only 4.9 from Millersburg in se Elkhart county so there is a dramatic snowfall gradient increase as one heads nw to the South Bend area. The airport is on the far nw side of the city and although some of those rates may be suspect the huge totals stand for themselves and more is on the way. I presently have clear skies here to my north as the band seems to be shifting westward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 That Lake Michigan snow band is really oscillating at 10:30 AM EST. Will be interesting to see how this behaves throughout the day. http://weather2.admin.niu.edu/niuft.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Friday's snow at South Bend set a daily record. RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 1229 AM EST SAT JAN 08 2011 ...RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM SNOWFALL SET AT SOUTH BEND... A RECORD SNOWFALL OF 10.6 INCHES WAS SET AT SOUTH BEND YESTERDAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 6.0 INCHES SET IN 1918. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 A winter weather emergency has been declared by the mayor of South Bend warning people to stay home through 8 am Sunday. The last time this was done was 12 years ago. So you can see how rough it is in that general area. Two feet of snow has already fallen in the city and up to 3 feet is expected when all is said and done. Snow has started once again here at Elkhart after having relatively clear skies for several hours earlier this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 1249 PM EST SAT JAN 08 2011 ..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON... ..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS.. 1244 PM HEAVY SNOW MISHAWAKA 41.66N 86.16W 01/08/2011 M7.0 INCH ST. JOSEPH IN TRAINED SPOTTER 7.0 INCHES NEW SNOWFALL SINCE 7 AM EST. STORM TOTAL 25.1 INCHES. SNOW DEPTH 25 INCHES. SECONDARY ROADS COMPLETELY IMPASSABLE. MAIN ROADS COVERED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 I like how Jerry Taft had 5" for the South Bend area on his weather segment last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Wow. That is about as good as it gets for LES off of Lake Michigan. 2-3" per hour isn't all that uncommon but anything above 4" is pretty rare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 8, 2011 Author Share Posted January 8, 2011 WOW two feet in south bend just today..still snowing..10.6 yesterday brings event total to 34.2!!!! RECORD EVENT REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 121 PM EST SAT JAN 08 2011 ..ALL TIME RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM SNOWFALL SET AT SOUTH BEND AS OF 1 PM EST...23.6 INCHES OF SNOWFALL HAS BEEN RECORDED AT THE SOUTH BEND REGIONAL AIRPORT SINCE MIDNIGHT. THIS IS A NEW RECORD DAILY SNOWFALL AT SOUTH BEND. THE PREVIOUS RECORD FOR SNOWFALL IN A DAY WAS 20.0 INCHES SET ON JANUARY 30 1909. THE PREVIOUS RECORD FOR DAILY SNOW FALL ON JANUARY 8 WAS 15.0 INCHES IN 1903. SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AT SOUTH BEND THROUGHOUT THE REST OF THE DAY...THEREFORE THIS VALUE IS LIKELY TO INCREASE. THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED WHEN FURTHER INFORMATION IS RECEIVED. ALL RECORDS ARE PRELIMINARY AND ARE SUBJECT TO FINAL APPROVAL BY THE NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER. RECORDS FOR SOUTH BEND DATE BACK TO 1893. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted January 8, 2011 Share Posted January 8, 2011 Public bus service is now suspended until further notice in South Bend. Heavy snow again now here in Elkhart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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