Hoosier Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 Most of my attention has been with the system about to hit but looks like there's a couple more on the way. March 3-4 system generally looks to favor areas around I-80 and south, with another system rolling in from the northwest on the 5th-6th. Neither looks really big at this point so we'll watch the trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 The system on the 5-6 timeframe looks to fade quickly.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 29, 2016 Author Share Posted February 29, 2016 Yeah, first system looks bigger than the second at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
beavis1729 Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 On March 3-4, Cyclone (or just south) gets destroyed on the 12z GFS, with what looks to be WAA snows. Of course the models have been incredibly inconsistent...but here's hoping for a decent storm in the QC area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 29, 2016 Author Share Posted February 29, 2016 Usual variances in exact location but pretty good agreement that the 3-4 system is at least a high end advisory if not warning criteria event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 Models this morning are certainly beefing up the juice with this system across eastern Iowa. The system has always been there, but I haven't paid much attention to it because of how dry it was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 I've put all my marbles on this one. Then onto spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 On March 3-4, Cyclone (or just south) gets destroyed on the 12z GFS, with what looks to be WAA snows. Of course the models have been incredibly inconsistent...but here's hoping for a decent storm in the QC area. I will NOT be sucked into this and fooled again!! Okay, yeah I probably will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 Euro continues to be pretty meh with this system on Wed-Thursday. Looks like 1-2" in main band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 29, 2016 Author Share Posted February 29, 2016 Euro continues to be pretty meh with this system on Wed-Thursday. Looks like 1-2" in main band. Outlier on this cycle. 12z UKMET is even fairly generous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 Outlier on this cycle. 12z UKMET is even fairly generous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 i have so much ukmet snow this winter ride the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 29, 2016 Author Share Posted February 29, 2016 ukmet2.gif Also the ECMWF has underdone moisture with northwest flow systems time and time again in recent winters, so I'd be skeptical. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 12z GEM really nice for here as well, probably better than the UKMET Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 i have so much ukmet snow this winter ride the euro so much snow from every model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 18z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 12z GEM really nice for here as well, probably better than the UKMET 24hkucherasnowmw.png Pretty tight gradient along the southern edge there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 DVN doesn't seem too impressed based on the new afd.. WEDNESDAY NIGHT...ANOTHER FAST MOVING SYSTEM WITH BEST FORCINGSUGGESTED SW OF FORECAST AREA. HAVE 40-50 POPS WITH GENERAL TOOLSSUPPORT A 1 TO POSSIBLY 2 INCH BAND MAY BE POSSIBLE. THIS ISSUEWILL BE BETTER KNOWN TOMORROW AND TONIGHT/S SYSTEM WILL IMPACTWEDNESDAY`S EVENT. MINS SHOULD RANGE FROM LOWER 20S NE TO NEAR 32FFAR SW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 29, 2016 Author Share Posted February 29, 2016 DVN doesn't seem too impressed based on the new afd.. WEDNESDAY NIGHT...ANOTHER FAST MOVING SYSTEM WITH BEST FORCING SUGGESTED SW OF FORECAST AREA. HAVE 40-50 POPS WITH GENERAL TOOLS SUPPORT A 1 TO POSSIBLY 2 INCH BAND MAY BE POSSIBLE. THIS ISSUE WILL BE BETTER KNOWN TOMORROW AND TONIGHT/S SYSTEM WILL IMPACT WEDNESDAY`S EVENT. MINS SHOULD RANGE FROM LOWER 20S NE TO NEAR 32F FAR SW Pretty obvious which model they are siding with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 I think Cyclone will win this one. GFS has a third system on the way now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Louieloy102 Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 I think Cyclone will win this one. GFS has a third system on the way now! Alek lol system. It'd be impressive to miss 3 systems by less than 30 miles for downtown Chicago this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 I think Cyclone will win this one. GFS has a third system on the way now! That's some more avatar material Mr. Geos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 DVN hasn't been impressed with anything all winter. Snoozers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 29, 2016 Share Posted February 29, 2016 DVN hasn't been impressed with anything all winter. Snoozers They're burned out probably. Will see where this next system goes, but right now it looks like I'm the northern edge. Got about 60 hours to watch it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 29, 2016 Author Share Posted February 29, 2016 Looking at the system for the 3rd-4th, it's more of a Pacific/hybrid setup than a true clipper. So while the super wet solutions could be overdone, I'm not sure it makes sense to bet on it being particularly dry either. Just my 2 cents. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Good majority of the 18z GEFS members were northeast of the op/mean with some pretty big hits Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IllinoisWedges Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Good majority of the 18z GEFS members were northeast of the op/mean with some pretty big hits Could I get a glimpse? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Looks like this may be the one for those of us south of RFD to geos land to put our hopes in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 1, 2016 Author Share Posted March 1, 2016 00z NAM going to be a good run especially just south of Chicago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 00z NAM going to be a good run especially just south of Chicago. 4-5" for a good majority of the area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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