Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Breakout for the event starting Sunday night and lasting through much of Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Ryan Maue @RyanMaue Wow, Canadian snowfall maps looks exactly like ECMWF. Planets are in alignment --> Lead pipe / cinch lock? #snowman pic.twitter.com/1UV1CJNZo2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 how are those SREF's for trending purposes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 how are those SREF's for trending purposes? Use them for fun right now. Take them "seriously" within ~24h of an event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 SREFs are warmer than most guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 SREF's are on par with using the JMA nowadays Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 The 12Z suite is in very good agreement with this storm. GFS farthest south, NAM farthest north. CMC more inline with NAM, EC closer to GFS with track. CMC ensemble mean is farther south than OP, GFS ensemble is fairly close to OP run. GFS MAV #s are all 8s for all CT stations. With such a large precip shield as is associated with these type events a 30 mile shift north or south will have minimal effects as compared to a miller B type storm. Most of the snow looks to fall during the daylight hours in SNE and is out of here by Monday evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 The 12Z suite is in very good agreement with this storm. GFS farthest south, NAM farthest north. CMC more inline with NAM, EC closer to GFS with track. CMC ensemble mean is farther south than OP, GFS ensemble is fairly close to OP run. GFS MAV #s are all 8s for all CT stations. With such a large precip shield as is associated with these type events a 30 mile shift north or south will have minimal effects as compared to a miller B type storm. Most of the snow looks to fall during the daylight hours in SNE and is out of here by Monday evening. I would say the Ukie is furthest north...but otherwise yeah, pretty darn good agreement. EC ensembles are almost perfectly matched with the OP run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 NECN put out a map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 NECN put out a map. Perfect leave it right there lol I'll take my 12" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Now why do that so soon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 I would say the Ukie is furthest north...but otherwise yeah, pretty darn good agreement. EC ensembles are almost perfectly matched with the OP run. I didn't get a chance to look at the UKMET (it's always on the back of my radar for some reason). Just totally forgot about it. But looking at it on wxbell, its definitely the farthest north. EC ensembles look great too. I suppose watches will be out with tomorrow mornings shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Love it! Add a foot to the 30+ inches left from the Blizzard and last Saturday (some compaction over the past couple of days) and I'm at about record depths. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 That NECN map is assuming taint. Guess they are favoring a UKIE type solution, or assuming this system is not done ticking North on the rest of guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Tim Kelley said they will probably have to up those numbers, starting conservatively. That NECN map is assuming taint. Guess they are favoring a UKIE type solution, or assuming this system is not done ticking North on the rest of guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 We are still talking about a frigid, very high ratio storm in the interior, correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 #Linus good grief Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 #Linus good grief Cue the blanket jokes. Linus BLANKETS New England. Linus leaves New England curled up in their BLANKETS. So many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Now why do that so soon? Hype sells Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 let's get that 12" stripe a little further north and share the goods Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Cue the blanket jokes. Linus BLANKETS New England. Linus leaves New England curled up in their BLANKETS. So many. hahaha, I thought we were still dealing with Kari. This changes everything! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 let's get that 12" stripe a little further north and share the goods there is time to work on that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Move that 3" stripe further south. GC doesn't get 6" storms anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 let's get that 12" stripe a little further north and share the goods 18z Nam is working on that as we speak Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nutmegfriar Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Now why do that so soon? Captive audience, between folks still dialed in from the last storm and those who will dialed into the media because of the Super Bowl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 LOL Tim Kelley NECN @SurfSkiWxMan 1h 1 hour agoMassachusetts, USA @SurfSkiWxMan Mon Snowfall Guess. Starting on the low side. Believe we may have to add some of these numbers together Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Cue the blanket jokes. Linus BLANKETS New England. Linus leaves New England curled up in their BLANKETS. So many. you do know Linus hangs with Lucy, yikes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 nam looks great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 LOL Tim Kelley NECN @SurfSkiWxMan 1h 1 hour agoMassachusetts, USA @SurfSkiWxMan Mon Snowfall Guess. Starting on the low side. Believe we may have to add some of these numbers together The only areas that have a real chance at greater than 1' are the oes circle jerk zones. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 nam looks great It crushes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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