tamarack Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I have a question regarding snow growth. Does high winds always mean bad dendrite formations? We have blizzard warnings up for my hood. Winds gusting to 65mph. Npot necessarily. The Dec. 6-7, 2003 storm was one of the windiest I've seen in our somewhat protected (by forest) location, with gusts well into the 30s and much drifting, and it dumped 24" on 1.63" LE, ratio of 14.7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 First flakes flying in Harwich, MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Rpm continuing to push everything way east so much so that it deform over BOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 So my pinpoint NWS forecast has 23"-37" predicted. IS THIS REAL LIFE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I feel bad for the beating OKX is going to take if they only get 5-10"/6-12" of snow in NYC after a forecast of 24-36" within 24 hours of start time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Some of these shifts east could be convective feedback right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Colonel Badger Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Rpm continuing to push everything way east so much so that it deform over BOS Yeah starting to wonder if it's on to something.. of course it sucks for where I am ! ;-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I feel bad for the beating OKX is going to take if they only get 5-10"/6-12" of snow after a forecast of 24-36" within 24 hours of start time. They'll verifiy 2 feet on central and ERN LI, its NYC they may get killed, but even there I think ends up around 12-14, the RGEM has about that for NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Some of these shifts east could be convective feedback right? Yeah I'd think so. The rpm,is so far east that outside 495 doesn't get more than 10 to 14 . Edit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I feel bad for the beating OKX is going to take if they only get 5-10"/6-12" of snow in NYC after a forecast of 24-36" within 24 hours of start time. I do not envy the forecast in that area...pretty tough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
trat Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 How does the north shore look for the deform band? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 How does the north shore look for the deform band?deform band will be further west. You will be in the good stuff regardless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 They'll verifiy 2 feet on central and ERN LI, its NYC they may get killed, but even there I think ends up around 12-14, the RGEM has about that for NYC.Yeah sorry meant NYC. My sister lives on the West Side and she said folks are literally expecting the storm of their lifetime. Like people brought in sleeping bags to work, they are being told not to go outside after 9pm tonight, stuff like that.I just think the media could care less what ISP gets for snow if NYC gets a mundane 8" or something, they are going after someone. And you know everyone saved that 24-36" forecast map from yesterday evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 RPM did this to an extent right before the Feb 2013 blizzard too...it was putting like Foxboro down to Taunton in the deformation snows and spitting out like 40"+....when it reality that banding ended up out west in CT and central MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Can someone please post the RPM. I'm having RPM withdrawals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Extreme solution but RPM deform Bos and N shore and adjacent areas S and W with 20 to 25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Little oes falling now. Sky darkening, ballz cold.....it's coming hard folks! 18+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 So my pinpoint NWS forecast has 23"-37" predicted. IS THIS REAL LIFE? How was the flight? See anything of note from 35k feet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Thanks Chris and Scott on the airport update. Doubt number 1 is the flight even leaves, doubt number 2 is I'm standby. I may just call it a day and head home. Worse than being stuck here at the airport while the model consensus is rapidly shifting this to being a mundane experience for GC. Unless the EC remains steadfast, I'm going to go with <10" for the Pit with a huge and rapid escalation as you head 50 miles toward HubbDave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 No doub't its cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 First flakes flying in Harwich, MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Some of these shifts east could be convective feedback right?The euro probably caves a bit too.........but we've said that before and it ends up coming in more westward. lolI think you look good. I'd rather be in interior Rockingham though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Thanks Chris and Scott on the airport update. Doubt number 1 is the flight even leaves, doubt number 2 is I'm standby. I may just call it a day and head home. Worse than being stuck here at the airport while the model consensus is rapidly shifting this to being a mundane experience for GC. Unless the EC remains steadfast, I'm going to go with <10" for the Pit with a huge and rapid escalation as you head 50 miles toward HubbDave. I left out of Worcester last night as I wasn't sure if I would get out this evening; will be watching from SFL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stash Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 To a lesser extent, up here in ALB's area too possibly, but much less media here and nothing close to those amounts were forecasted up here outside of the Berks and Litchfield County, CT - ALB's red-headed step-child of a county I feel bad for the beating OKX is going to take if they only get 5-10"/6-12" of snow in NYC after a forecast of 24-36" within 24 hours of start time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I think I'm sticking with my first call of 22" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Fear and loathing on the north and west periphery. I wonder if I get much more than the guys north of CON and how much more MHT/ASH get. I've noticed a bunch of times there's a gradient like this forecast and Dendrite gets the same or more than me anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 Thanks Chris and Scott on the airport update. Doubt number 1 is the flight even leaves, doubt number 2 is I'm standby. I may just call it a day and head home. Worse than being stuck here at the airport while the model consensus is rapidly shifting this to being a mundane experience for GC. Unless the EC remains steadfast, I'm going to go with <10" for the Pit with a huge and rapid escalation as you head 50 miles toward HubbDave. Yeah, Mike. Out here is a huge question mark. I honestly think that we get more than 10". How much more obviously depends on that band and where it rots. I'd love to believe that most models are wrong and we get into the goods, but it's anybody's guess. Personally, if you can get on a plane, do it. ... it's not like we're on the south shore here witnessing a twice in a lifetime event. God, I hope I'm wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 I think I'm sticking with my first call of 22" Good call IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 anywhere between the berks and kevin will get in the good band euro tics east other models come west a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 26, 2015 Share Posted January 26, 2015 The euro probably caves a bit too.........but we've said that before and it ends up coming in more westward. lol I think you look good. I'd rather be in interior Rockingham though. Thanks. Yeah it's gonna be close...just hope I am on the right side of things lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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