CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Dude, it ain't happening. Period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 I don't know Scott, half of the GEFS members show SNE getting snow according to the NWS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 23, 2015 Author Share Posted January 23, 2015 GFS trying to throw James Nichols a bone...advisory type event on the Cape. Almost a retro type scenario with that extra energy that phases in from the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 I don't know Scott, half of the GEFS members show SNE getting snow according to the NWS. Eh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 That next s/w is like a sprinter catching up to the fat kid on the gfs, at 500mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 I don't know Scott, half of the GEFS members show SNE getting snow according to the NWS. There always is. That said, congrats on the GFS again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols89 Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 I know, I think the NAM wants to do the same thing. Any sign on the EURO that the extra energy could phase into the trough? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Euro ens look tasty LR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 23, 2015 Author Share Posted January 23, 2015 Euro ensembles actually gave the Cape a solid advisory event for Monday...prob even an inch or two tickling KScooter-TAN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Euro ensembles actually gave the Cape a solid advisory event for Monday...prob even an inch or two tickling KScooter-TAN. What do they throw back inland? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Euro ensembles actually gave the Cape a solid advisory event for Monday...prob even an inch or two tickling KScooter-TAN. Yea not bad but man thats prime stuff later on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Maybe I can walk across BOS harbor by Valentines Day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Maybe I can walk across BOS harbor by Valentines Day. right, holy heck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 23, 2015 Author Share Posted January 23, 2015 What do they throw back inland? Nothing. I mean I can't see mean ensemble qpf under 0.05 so if it has stuff inland, its only a few hundreths. I would count on nothing inland except maybe some weenie mood snow for a brief time. Be pleasantly surprised if it trends back better...but I think our goose is cooked inland...the Cape and SE areas still may squeak something modest out of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 one of these years a Feb 34 will walk in the door , a couple of weeks of wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 not for nothing that might be the coldest ens run I can remember Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 I'm holding out pessimism (or optimism depending on one's point of view in matters..) regarding the latter amplitude early next week. The ridge axis is parked 120W, and having that disturbance go E means that the long wave, wave length is anomalously long from the ridge arc to the trough base. A correction west is acceptable, if not anticipated. Much will depend upon how much strength actually gets relayed off the assimilations out over the eastern Pacific. The governing dynamics are still passing through the shadows of the lower GOA, and the ridge then arcs N post passage through the Rockies. If 10 kts of missing dynamics gets sampled as the latter takes place, this thing digs more and the long/wave trough will end up west of the currently depicted mean position right over the EC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 not for nothing that might be the coldest ens run I can remember With deep snowpack..that can finally be believed I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Incredible Sonoran heat release on the 18z GFS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Scott or Will, what are your thoughts on the next legitimate threat to be following? (Besides the threat of arctic cold) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Superbowl Sunday-ish? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 I'm holding out pessimism (or optimism depending on one's point of view in matters..) regarding the latter amplitude early next week. The ridge axis is parked 120W, and having that disturbance go E means that the long wave, wave length is anomalously long from the ridge arc to the trough base. A correction west is acceptable, if not anticipated. Much will depend upon how much strength actually gets relayed off the assimilations out over the eastern Pacific. The governing dynamics are still passing through the shadows of the lower GOA, and the ridge then arcs N post passage through the Rockies. If 10 kts of missing dynamics gets sampled as the latter takes place, this thing digs more and the long/wave trough will end up west of the currently depicted mean position right over the EC. 18z gfs is closer, sharper, slower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 23, 2015 Author Share Posted January 23, 2015 Yeah that 2/1-2/3 time frame looks the most likely for the next legit threat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Superbowl Sunday-ish? Perfect. Thanks. I guess January forgot to thaw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 23, 2015 Share Posted January 23, 2015 Incredible Sonoran heat release on the 18z GFS... Yeah that's cold. With decent snow on the ground, we'll be in for a period of chill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Well fwiw (nothing) NAM gives an inch or 3 Monday night into Tuesday and more SE New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Can someone give me a clue as to why the MEX snow number for Tuesday at BOS is 8 for the 12Z run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Can someone give me a clue as to why the MEX snow number for Tuesday at BOS is 8 for the 12Z run?nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 24, 2015 Share Posted January 24, 2015 Can someone give me a clue as to why the MEX snow number for Tuesday at BOS is 8 for the 12Z run? Maybe it meant 0.8? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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