Animal Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 I shouldn't have said 1.5"+ most areas are right around 1.25" or so. More on LI but they aren't as cold. run of the mill 10-20 inch snow storm across the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Looks like the start time has moved up a bit as well, snow moving in by early Saturday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 35 knot winds get back all the way to NYC on this run. Eastern LI gets into 45-50 knot gusts as the low bombs to 969 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 21, 2015 Author Share Posted January 21, 2015 The system eventually gets down to 960mb East of Maine. Deepening roughly 40mb in 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 How is that HECS it's not but lets not get bogged down in semantics.. its a major storm potential, providing updates in rapid fire isnt easy - he did very well with the PBP - coming from someone who doesnt always agree with him Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankeex777 Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 How is that HECS Its a slight exaggeration but based on how this winter has been going. I can see why. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 21, 2015 Author Share Posted January 21, 2015 How is that HECS That's 30" in the heaviest banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 21, 2015 Author Share Posted January 21, 2015 You have to remember that these models smooth everything out. Under that banding it's impossible to predict the numbers. All I can say is that it's the biggest system in several years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nygmen Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 so does long island end up doing good with the ccb or is it mostly taint the whole time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 21, 2015 Author Share Posted January 21, 2015 NYC itself is ~1.4" water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeS Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 It closes off just south of LI and the rest is history. Boom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Doesn't the 850 0 line go over the city or does it collapse back in time for the heaviest stuff? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 21, 2015 Author Share Posted January 21, 2015 so does long island end up doing good with the ccb or is it mostly taint the whole time? Western and Central LI flip to snow pretty quickly and Eastern LI gets the backend hard. It's really hard to find a location that doesn't do well, maybe southern NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 972mb right over the benchmark. Major hit all the way back into NE PA. Can you clarify? I'm hearing only a couple of tenths... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 This is an absolutely amazing run. 850, 700, and 500mb lows all close off. That combined with the moisture loading on this thing (we're in a nino pattern now with the coherent MJO wave and -40 SOIs!), and the PVA as well as the jet streak orientation mean insanely heavy banding with a CCB. Let's hope this verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yhbrooklyn Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 And it's been awhile since I've been on here, is "taint" the new term for precip that's not all snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 21, 2015 Author Share Posted January 21, 2015 Doesn't the 850 0 line go over the city or does it collapse back in time for the heaviest stuff? The 850 line just about makes it to the city before quickly collapsing as the system explodes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Doesn't the 850 0 line go over the city or does it collapse back in time for the heaviest stuff? It collapses SE pretty quickly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Let's look at the overall setup rather than the specifics which will change so many times between now and Saturday - everyone should be quite pleased with the latest Euro.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Good Pbp excellent run but not a lock. I think the pattern is stable enough that we won't see major changes but it doesn't take a lot to change the outcome. Fingers crossed though. Wow at the traffic too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted January 21, 2015 Author Share Posted January 21, 2015 Can you clarify? I'm hearing only a couple of tenths... Where are you location wise? The southern 2/3rds of eastern PA are at least 0.40"+. A little hard to say because of today's event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
triniiphone Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 what does it show for the Monday storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Let the guy do the play by play and focus on the actual storm itself and not putting down his interpretation. He is clearly trying and if the responses are pointing out things that he did wrong, then please finish those posts with reasons as to WHY he is wrong.....though I doubt that will happen. I don't necessarily agree with all that he is saying, but seeing him constantly bashed "just because" is now getting ridiculous. Regardless, this looks like a very good chance at 6"+ for almost all of us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYY_2 Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 And it's been awhile since I've been on here, is "taint" the new term for precip that's not all snow? yea it just means mixed precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Where are you location wise? The southern 2/3rds of eastern PA are at least 0.40"+. A little hard to say because of today's event. My location is listed. Apparently we get the shaft based on those images still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 44mb drop in 24 hours on the ECMWF Beyond explosive deepening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSNOWMAN2020 Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 Isen ..will you be doing play by play for oz runs tonight ?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted January 21, 2015 Share Posted January 21, 2015 ITS AN ALL OUT BLIZZRD 15MB DROP IN 6 HOURS SHOULD LEAD TO THUNDER SNOW . EURO JP LONG ISLAND . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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