Damage In Tolland Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 I think the shredded vortmax has been mentioned plenty of times.Who's to say that's the right solution? We are 2.5 days away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 I am in, 2-4 seems doable. Like the Euro Ens look When we are looking for thick provolone we are served shredded 5 cheese Mexican. Seen a bunch of these over the years, congrats Pittsburgh Thoughts changed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 Thoughts changed?so did the Euro Ens and Euro,so um yea, but meh maybe someone on the south shore grabs 2-3. Will reevaluate once this system pulls out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 Box actually has a forecast map out already, from 4:30am this morning. 1-2 for all except James, he eats like a king with 2-4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 It still could give a 1-2 band for someone, but it's just too bad the s/w and euro both blow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 so did the Euro Ens and Euro,so um yea, but meh maybe someone on the south shore grabs 2-3. Will reevaluate once this system pulls outOk, just didn't know. You seemed optimistic last night. Looks like Kevin is on an island right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 It still could give a 1-2 band for someone, but it's just too bad the s/w and euro both blow. The s/w and Euro? How do you lump those together? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 Yup.. When the Pauper of Positivity Ginx bails and goes for flurries etc.. I'm the last one standing. I still say everyone gets snowcover and 2-4 is common Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 I thought 1-2" was a good call yesterday. Thinking more like C-1 now off the cape. It is what it is at this point. Its pretty much garbage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 Yup.. When the Pauper of Positivity Ginx bails and goes for flurries etc.. I'm the last one standing. I still say everyone gets snowcover and 2-4 is commonreading comprehension FTL,Box map looks good, Geezus you are a strange pork. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 I'll still say the 1-2" is a fine call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 1-2 is a good call. All guidance has a potent vm dampening after it gets east of the lakes. Too bad.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 Not that I am a mod, but this isn't the meltdown thread. I moved all the rhetoric of the 2014-2015 season to the banter thread. People should keep this thread about the clipper..as paltry as it may be...that's what this thread is for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 GFS is paltry. Tippy dim sun dendrites? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 New Gfs is meh t-1" my call here Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 The dampened look ends up benefitting a place like Philly...they don't get dryslotted with the best precip to their north on these weak runs...but the sheared look has trouble advecting any good moisture north. If this ends up sheared out in the end...then the NAM and GGEM led the way on this one. Funny season...GGEM led the way on the more wound up cutter look for today and then it plus the NAM lead the trend on the clipper. Euro hasn't been doing too well in the D3-4 range so far this season. Not since the T-day system. If there's reason for any optimism with this one, I've seen clippers come on stronger in the final 36-48 hours before...so perhaps this vortmax will end up a bit stronger. But at the moment, the trend has been the opposite, so we'll need to see the 18z and 00z runs turn the tide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 Are we really worrying about qpf? I gotta step away Enjoy your 1"-2"(...1"), but be sure to leave the suicide note in an obvious area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 Really wanted a little snow over for thursday mornings cold blast. Looking meh for Even a coating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 4, 2015 Author Share Posted January 4, 2015 Some spots might get more from LES streamers Monday night than from the little clipper that couldn't Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 Moisture starved until the very end on the 12z suite. s/w as modeled is just so sheared it is hard to conceive that it could do more than produce scattered snows. There's a late attempt for something better which could benefit down this way but it has the appearance of an elongated band of scattered snow showers that aligns NW to SE as it rotates up and out with some prayer of inflow maybe getting going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 Does anyone recall that clipper we had in Jan 04 before one of those brutal cold shots? I had just joined Eastern and I still remember people were fretting over very little qpf . If memory serves me most places saw a couple inches of snow with that. This reminds me of that setup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 Does anyone recall that clipper we had in Jan 04 before one of those brutal cold shots? I had just joined Eastern and I still remember people were fretting over very little qpf . If memory serves me most places saw a couple inches of snow with that. This reminds me of that setup Yes, it was 1/15/04...it actually gave like 6-8" down in central NJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 Yes, it was 1/15/04...it actually gave like 6-8" down in central NJ. You must take notes on every storm and have a storm archive binder or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 You must take notes on every storm and have a storm archive binder or something. Nope, no notes. I just remember storm dates very well. I do archive most radars nowadays from storms and such...but I hadn't regularly started doing that yet back in 2004. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 That was the season of 6-10" clippers for NYC and LI. Speaking of that, euro is pretty dry. What an awful performance from that model lately in the day 4-6 timeframe. At least the ensemble had low precip probs so that was a red flag. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 Euro looks even more compressed than 00z...this is turning into a PHL/BWI clipper. Only a dusting for most on the Euro...perhaps a inch or so down near the Cape and S coast of RI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 Impressive. Any rate, is this still worth tracking..... Because I'm kind of over it. Edit: euro sucks. Game over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 There is a hint of an inverted trof appearance and yes we know how fickle those are. But some areas could get snowy surprise from the clipper that way. Long shot but within the realm of possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 4, 2015 Share Posted January 4, 2015 Impressive. Any rate, is this still worth tracking? Because I'm kind of over it. That's a personal preference question...some may still want to track it, even if only a coating to an inch..and this thread is where they can find it. Otherwise, those who are over it have the model and pattern threads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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