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Dec 9-10 threat


stormtracker

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okay..ill look at the gfs

not advisable.

 

i mean look at the nam.. whatever. i know it gets mentioned but also pretty sure it wasn't developed to be accurate with a coastal low at 60-84 hours.. or 36-84 hours for that matter.  it hugging the coast is pretty CRAS'esque. the high res models with just a US domain do some silly stuff the longer they run. you'd think eventually we could evolve.

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The overall theme in the Mid Atlantic forum is to post threads for Severe Weather, Tropical Systems, and at least Decent Wintry events. I don't see the reason for this thread to be open, and I wouldn't expect a trend toward snow either. This storm also isn't all that impressive in the rainfall category, this might just be a quick hitting, half inch of rain.^^But I don't mind if this thread stays open, just sharing my opinion^^

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This isn't all rain for everyone just yet. I don't see a problem with the thread.

It's an interesting storm. Stalled occluded coastals behave unpredictably. I could see some snow falling nearby. It's not an impact threat even if it does but it could pack a little surprise for someone. N MD being favored of course.

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This isn't all rain for everyone just yet. I don't see a problem with the thread.

Thanks.

Good Grief, so what if it's just rain...what else have we got to do/track?  It's weather.  We're on a weather board.  This thread won't cause anybody to miss a snowstorm.   And it's not yet rain for everybody yet.

 

If you don't like it, don't read/open it.

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ECMWF shows a 50-hour event (ok, 17 consecutive 3-hour periods with at least 0.01" at BWI).  After 15 hours of moderate/light rain (~0.75") and low 40s temperatures, it looks like 18 hours of intermittent drizzle followed by 9 hours of  "we'll have to wait and see" (~0.2" of precip), ending with drizzle.   Joy. 

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