snowstormcanuck Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Looks like a narrow corridor of moderate to perhaps heavy snow through the lower lakes beginning Friday. EURO, with modest shifts, has been consistent with the overall evolution of this fast moving storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chances14 Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 12z euro would be a good hit for semi. would easily break the snowfall record for dtw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chances14 Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 dtx latest afd THE NEXT MAJORWEATHER-MAKER WILL BE FRIDAY NIGHT AS DISORGANIZED LOW PRESSUREFOLLOWS A MID-LEVEL WAVE ACROSS THE MIDWEST AND INTO THE GREATLAKES. THIS SYSTEM LOOKS TO UNDERGO RAPID CYCLOGENESIS NEARMICHIGAN. LATEST MODEL RUNS BRING THIS SYSTEM IN A TRACK FAVORABLEFOR AN ALL-SNOW SOLUTION WITH SEVERAL INCHES POSSIBLE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 I plan on driving from Detroit to north of Grand Rapids on Saturday, so expect a pretty good hit right before I leave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 This could be the one. I hope so, as we are running out of chances for big snows at this time of the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Majority of the euro EPS members seem to have a more amped/further NW solution. Could be a pretty interesting system for those on the NW side of the low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 The Euro is ideal for Southern MI, coming at night, low strengthening as it passes to your south, and a decent moisture feed into the system. The frontogenesis strengthens nicely as the low passes to our south. The 850mb low passes right overhead and the 700mb low is just north of that also promoting good frontogenesis for the low to mid levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 17, 2014 Author Share Posted March 17, 2014 Majority of the euro EPS members seem to have a more amped/further NW solution. Could be a pretty interesting system for those on the NW side of the low. Noticed that too. Not that I'd turn up my nose at the OP solution. With a few exceptions all the models have been consistently hinting at at least some accumulating snow. Nice consensus 4.5 days out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Hey guys guess what I'll be traveling again for this one So lock it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OntarioChaser Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Wow, looks like yet another solid hit to the Golden Horseshoe area, and after just being hit by a Blizzard here in Hamilton on the 12th (official from YHM)! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Hey guys guess what I'll be traveling again for this one So lock it Between you and I both traveling this is going to be a big time :snowman: event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 17, 2014 Author Share Posted March 17, 2014 Wow, looks like yet another solid hit to the Golden Horseshoe area, and after just being hit by a Blizzard here in Hamilton on the 12th (official from YHM)! I started the thread so it'll probably be a fail storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 DTW only needs 2.9" to tie and 3.0" to take the all-time #1, and even if this ones goes NW there is plenty of unseasonable cold lurking afterward. But Ill be rooting against the old NW trend in hopes of getting my 7th snowstorm of 6"+ this winter!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Between you and I both traveling this is going to be a big time :snowman: event Looks like I may be traveling too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 DTW only needs 2.9" to tie and 3.0" to take the all-time #1, and even if this ones goes NW there is plenty of unseasonable cold lurking afterward. But Ill be rooting against the old NW trend in hopes of getting my 7th snowstorm of 6"+ this winter!!! Euro has it dead center for us, we don't want any shifts right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Euro has it dead center for us, we don't want any shifts right now. i saw a map. i only get the text output ironically and I saw it was 0.95" qpf as snow and I was like HOLY SH*T! Then I saw a map posted elsewhere and saw how narrow it was. Going to be hard to get it to not move for 4 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 i saw a map. i only get the text output ironically and I saw it was 0.95" qpf as snow and I was like HOLY SH*T! Then I saw a map posted elsewhere and saw how narrow it was. Going to be hard to get it to not move for 4 days. It is about 4 counties wide which isn't too bad, just need the low to track a couple counties south of the border and we'll be fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 It is about 4 counties wide which isn't too bad, just need the low to track a couple counties south of the border and we'll be fine. True, Fingers crossed! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Meh... It has potential, but I'm not ready to get sucked into this threat just yet. Partially because of how painfully narrow the swath of heavy snow looks to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 Meh... It has potential, but I'm not ready to get sucked into this threat just yet. Partially because of how painfully narrow the swath of heavy snow looks to be. Good, means we will have a threat without complaints or unreal expectations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 If the threat is real at all. We'll see... Good, means we will have a threat (snip)... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 17, 2014 Share Posted March 17, 2014 If the threat is real at all. We'll see... All models show something coming through the region, GFS is characteristically flatter than the rest though the 18z did trend a hair closer to the euro and the GFS ensembles all have a stronger system than the op albeit most are north of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 18, 2014 Author Share Posted March 18, 2014 All models show something coming through the region, GFS is characteristically flatter than the rest though the 18z did trend a hair closer to the euro and the GFS ensembles all have a stronger system than the op albeit most are north of here. I noticed that. A lot of rainers. It's going to come down to what it's come down to so many times this winter. What the PV does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 18, 2014 Author Share Posted March 18, 2014 1st EURO run after I start this thread...everything turns to sewer water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 Interesting note is today's storm has had a SE trend over the past couple days. Storm track is now over northern Lower instead over central Lake Superior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 Interesting note is today's storm has had a SE trend over the past couple days. Storm track is now over northern Lower instead over central Lake Superior. Yea a lot weaker then it looked a few days ago. Not sure how it's going to affect this one. Perhaps a more northern track since the baro zone won't be pushed as far south. I expect the GGEM and euro to come a bit north, but not as far as the 12z GFS.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 Yea a lot weaker then it looked a few days ago. Not sure how it's going to affect this one. Perhaps a more northern track since the baro zone won't be pushed as far south. I expect the GGEM and euro to come a bit north, but not as far as the 12z GFS.. This current storm changes seem be the reason this storm is no longer all that exciting. We'll see. In the end I just want Flint to get that 1.2" to break the record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 18, 2014 Author Share Posted March 18, 2014 GFS went well north, GEM nudged north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted March 18, 2014 Share Posted March 18, 2014 GFS went well north, GEM nudged north. No more storm threads for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted March 18, 2014 Author Share Posted March 18, 2014 No more storm threads for you north isn't necessarily a bad thing for us. GEM and now the EURO look decent here. Wyandotte snow magnet should kick in at some point so don't worry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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