Chicago Storm Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 Go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 congrats moneybags Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 A lot of moving parts including what might happen with the cut off this weekend that drops into Mexico. This will definitely be a storm that will not be modeled well, that being said there is a decent potential with this one. If the system can dig some before lifting east-northeast we could really be a big hit for many in the region. We would need the cut off from this weekend to eject by Monday though for this to be able to dig some. I do think there will be more mixing issues with this one which would fall into a more seasonal blend. Of course if it can dig more it would draw in more cold air which would be helpful for those in the cold sector on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 p008 or bust, a mixy slop fest would just be the worst (and probably most likely) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 I can see 30's and cold rain in my future. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 p008 or bust, a mixy slop fest would just be the worst (and probably most likely) Give me the warm sector with 60's, a squall line frontal passage, followed by snow flurries and a howling northwest wind. It's what should happen in march here. End the clipper parade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 Some really nice looking individual 12z GEFS runs. Something for everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 Some really nice looking individual 12z GEFS runs. Something for everyone. The big takeaway from the GEFS is that there aren't too many OTS/nothing options. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 Looks like a nice swap of snow. Can't wait! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radioman Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 Euro: 987 in W Ky. Much farther nw than 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 12z Euro looking a lot like yesterday's run, even a bit more amplified at 500mb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 It would be nice for one of those long range Euro bombs to workout instead, everything always "de-evolves" back into a warm conveyor belt type of system. true...we've had a couple bombs this year but they've all cut pretty far west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 If nothing else, it's pretty looking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 Indy won't be denied Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 [ ] With DST starting Sunday, will the extra hour of sunlight in the afternoon limit the amount of snow that actually accumulates? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 Oh goodie a storm to track!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 LOL. Lock her in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 [ ] With DST starting Sunday, will the extra hour of sunlight in the afternoon limit the amount of snow that actually accumulates? Whut? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 Whut? You do understand he put there because it's a j/k. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaveNay Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 You do understand he put there because it's a j/k. Oops. I did not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 Looking good so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 You do understand he put there because it's a j/k. Thank you for understanding Roy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 LOL. Lock her in. Nice 36" lollies. Track looks good though. Wouldn't take much of an amplification to bring it NW some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 You do understand he put there because it's a j/k. Pretty sure I've seen that question asked for real on here before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 Pretty sure I've seen that question asked for real on here before. I am sure you have. Sadly It's about the same as the sun angle issue in February... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 model differences at 500 by 100 hrs are massive across the board...i'd lean on northern stream dominance and no or late phase based on seasonal trends but it's a low confidence call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern_IN_Wx Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 model differences at 500 by 100 hrs are massive across the board...i'd lean on northern stream dominance and no or late phase based on seasonal trends but it's a low confidence call. Agree...a lot has to happen (perfect timing/amplification/which wave is dominate/etc) to get a good phaser. It is nice to see some support from GFS ensemble members for a stronger system though. Any info on Euro ensembles? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 KBuf Bullish: A SIGNIFICANT LATE SEASON SNOW STORM IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVERTHE CENTRAL PLAINS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...THEN IS EXPECTED TOMOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE OHIO AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS TUESDAYNIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THE STORM SHOULD PASS TO OUR SOUTH WEDNESDAYNIGHT. THIS STORM TRACK WOULD BE FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANTACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEWYORK WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. SEVERAL VERY POTENT SHORTWAVES CROSSING THE NORTHERN PACIFIC WILLBUCKLE A NEAR ZONAL FLOW SOUTH OF 60N EARLY IN THIS PERIOD. THERESULTING AMPLIFICATION...AS IS TYPICALLY THE CASE...WILL RESULTIN A MUCH MORE UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN OVER THE LOWER 48. THISWILL CERTAINLY BE NO EXCEPTION AS ENERGY DROPPING DOWN THE FRONTSIDE OF THE AMPLIFYING WEST COAST RIDGE WILL DIVE OUT OF THEROCKIES AND ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WHERE A SIGNIFICANT LATEWINTER STORM WILL DEVELOP.THE NAEFS AND ECMWF HAVE BEEN SUGGESTING SUCH A STORM FOR A COUPLEDAYS NOW...ALTHOUGH THERE HAS BEEN SOME INCONSISTENCY ON THE EXACTTRACK AND TIMING. SUCH IS EXPECTED THOUGH FROM A FORECAST FROMTHIS RANGE. WHILE NORTHERN PENNSYLVANIA IS CURRENTLY IN THE `SWEETSPOT` OF THE HIGHEST SNOWFALL...SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL IS STILLBEING SUGGESTED FOR PARTS OF OUR FORECAST AREA.THE STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO SPIN UP IN THE LEE OF THE COLORADOROCKIES MONDAY NIGHT...TRACK ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS ON TUESDAY...THEN LIFT TO THE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE OHIO AND TENNESSEE VALLEYSTUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. THIS WOULD KEEP OUR REGION DEEPLYENTRENCHED IN THE COLD AIR AND MOST LIKELY WITHIN THE DEFORMATIONZONE OF THE STORM AS IT PASSES TO OUR SOUTH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WILLMENTION THE RISK FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOWS IN AN UPDATED HAZARDOUSWEATHER OUTLOOK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 Agree...a lot has to happen (perfect timing/amplification/which wave is dominate/etc) to get a good phaser. It is nice to see some support from GFS ensemble members for a stronger system though. Any info on Euro ensembles? 12z Euro ensemble mean slp/spread at 144 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radioman Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 18z GFS is stronger. L goes from KS into S. IN (sub 994) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.