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February 18th SWFE snow ending as drizzle


Mikehobbyst

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I think we'll do better than 45 for at least a couple days.. But I think the overall thaw doesn't last that long..of course in a week 45 will basically be our average high anyway

Yeah a temperature near average is not really a thaw, but we already had our winter thaw in mid January and we're nearing the end of Met winter anyway. The upcoming days are the first signs of Spring but of course the first signs always tend to be muted or rather brief as cold weather still has a hold on us. The same can be said by mid to late August when we see our first shot of cool air and lows in the 40s/50s. 

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Yeah a temperature near average is not really a thaw, but we already had our winter thaw in mid January and we're nearing the end of Met winter anyway. The upcoming days are the first signs of Spring but of course the first signs always tend to be muted or rather brief as cold weather still has a hold on us. The same can be said by mid to late August when we see our first shot of cool air and lows in the 40s/50s.

yeah nothing bugs me more than the call for the end of winter in early February. Sure we may not have the polar vortex return and two feet of snow but we certainly still have a threat of cold weather and storms for at least another month or so even with a breakdown of the pattern

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The Euro is cutter central but it does have us receiving a few inches before ending. These setups are notorious for producing more ZR/IP than anything else. The strength of the high on the Euro is decent at best, and I believe the guidance will trend warmer as we get closer.

Agree, could be a lot of sneaky low level cold with light to moderate ZR, which can often be surprisingly deadly because people assume it's just light rain. 

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