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Central PA and The Fringes - February 2014


PennMan

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Alright guys, gonna start up a new thread. We have three threats to track over the next 7-10 days, so let's keep things on topic. Anything not directly weather related goes in the banter thread or I will move it there. Also, watch what maps you are posting. Anything from behind a paywall is off limits, but you can describe what it shows.

Finally...no whining!

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Looks like watches will likely be issued by 12z package today.  Hopefully it gets cranking early so work will close.  Don't want to be driving around without a 4X4 in this plaster job. 

 

Watches? Or advisories? I have to admit, this 2/3 threat came out of nowhere for me, but then I worked a bunch of 13 hour days last week and wasn't really paying attention as it was shower, dinner, then bed for me after I got home each night.

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I think for York, Adams, Lancaster and Franklin, watches are a good bet.  I am sure State College will wait for 12Z cycle to run before they pull any trigger. 

 

Their AFD doesn't seem impressed with snow totals. They mention 1-3" along the border counties. Unless there's more of a shift north with the 12z runs, I doubt they will issue watches.

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Watches? Or advisories? I have to admit, this 2/3 threat came out of nowhere for me, but then I worked a bunch of 13 hour days last week and wasn't really paying attention as it was shower, dinner, then bed for me after I got home each night.

Be careful this looks like it could be another screw job where we have light snow and 1" while we watch York get pasted. We need another 50-100 mile shift north. I am so done with the fringe crap all winter. I seriously would rather not another flake unless I'm going to see at least a few hours of heavy snow and 4"+. I have no interest wasting my time on 1-2" unless it falls in 15 mins or something exciting
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Be careful this looks like it could be another screw job where we have light snow and 1" while we watch York get pasted. We need another 50-100 mile shift north. I am so done with the fringe crap all winter. I seriously would rather not another flake unless I'm going to see at least a few hours of heavy snow and 4"+. I have no interest wasting my time on 1-2" unless it falls in 15 mins or something exciting

Yeah, this is shaping up to be a Manchester special.  That area will hit 40" after this one.   You'll get your snow sooner or later

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Sweet, another tight gradient! It's been quite a while!

This is ridiculous...

Most storms have a tight gradient. Our problem is it keeps setting up in the same spot just south of us. This one is trending north a little sooner then the others so I think we have a shot in central pa this time but the pessimist in me fears another letdown.
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Be careful this looks like it could be another screw job where we have light snow and 1" while we watch York get pasted. We need another 50-100 mile shift north. I am so done with the fringe crap all winter. I seriously would rather not another flake unless I'm going to see at least a few hours of heavy snow and 4"+. I have no interest wasting my time on 1-2" unless it falls in 15 mins or something exciting

 

LOL...I didn't know who to quote. I agree with you though psu. I'm pretty sick of the 1-2 inch slopfests myself. A lot of messy misery for very little reward. I have so much salt on my work truck that it's starting to peel off like paint. It's been too cold to even try to rinse it off though.

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Changing the topic a bit, this was from the 6z GFS for UNV:

140206/2100Z 135  30010KT  11.0F          0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000    0:1|  0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00    0|  0|  0140207/0000Z 138  29007KT   5.4F          0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000    0:1|  0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00    0|  0|  0140207/0300Z 141  31007KT  -0.7F          0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000    0:1|  0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00    0|  0|  0140207/0600Z 144  30006KT  -6.6F          0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000    0:1|  0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00    0|  0|  0----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---140207/0900Z 147  29004KT -11.3F          0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000    0:1|  0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00    0|  0|  0140207/1200Z 150  28004KT -14.5F          0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000    0:1|  0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00    0|  0|  0140207/1500Z 153  28004KT  -2.3F          0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000    0:1|  0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00    0|  0|  0140207/1800Z 156  26004KT   5.4F          0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000    0:1|  0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00    0|  0|  0----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---140207/2100Z 159  25003KT   7.8F          0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000    0:1|  0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00    0|  0|  0140208/0000Z 162  VRB01KT -18.1F          0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000    0:1|  0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00    0|  0|  0140208/0300Z 165  VRB01KT -18.7F          0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000    0:1|  0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00    0|  0|  0140208/0600Z 168  VRB02KT -16.3F          0:1| 0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.000    0:1|  0.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.00    0|  0|  0
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(the wxbell guys found out that someone on social media was posting their euro maps as if it were his own... they were not too happy and do not wish for their paywall maps to be posted anywhere so we probably shouldnt be posting them on here too) 

 

This is only for Euro data. Ryan M said it is ok to share all other data. 

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