mappy Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Let me guess you plan on sweeping , might be a little rough with this type of snow. I hope your shoulder is feeling better. lol no sweeping here, and it is still hurting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Your ratios will start as 4:1, transition to 8:1, so don't expect anything close to 6-10 i was thinking more like 2:1 to start, increasing to 4:1 at the very end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Ratio predictions by the weenies always make me laugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 lol no sweeping here, and it is still hurting Sorry to hear that, the only good news is it will cause your hubby to do all the shoveling. You are in a great spot for this, i would not be shocked if you got close to 1'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 GFS out to 24. Looks wet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Sorry to hear that, the only good news is it will cause your hubby to do all the shoveling. You are in a great spot for this, i would not be shocked if you got close to 1'. You said that last week and I didn't even get 10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Sorry to hear that, the only good news is it will cause your hubby to do all the shoveling. You are in a great spot for this, i would not be shocked if you got close to 1'. I would hope her husband would always do the shoveling. Call me old-fashioned but sending your wife and the mother of your kid out to shovel at 6:00 AM while you sit inside having coffee is pretty lame unless she wants to shovel for some strange reason or he works odd hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 You said that last week and I didn't even get 10" I am like JB i have to be right one time . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 GFS out to 24. Looks wet But warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 GFS out to 24. Looks wet 850 not so hott though....30 hr should be decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Even the N. MD folks are going to fret at the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 I would hope her husband would always do the shoveling. Call me old-fashioned but sending your wife and the mother of your kid out to shovel at 6:00 AM while you sit inside having coffee is pretty lame unless she wants to shovel for some strange reason or he works odd hours. I don't mind shoveling, however it won't be doing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On the RGEM, 850s don't fall below 0 at DCA until shortly after 10 AM (at 10 AM, 850 line is in NW DC). It looks like maybe another 0.1 to 0.2 falls after 850s get below 0. Total precip here is close to 1.1". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 GFS'd! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 GFS'd! With rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ltrain Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 But warm Sure is!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Not a great run but hey, we're already at the ceremonial first pitch so we'll just have to see who comes to bat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 old news, but 7AM tomorrow at BWI....it's a winna' NAM 12z all snow after this that falls 1012. 60.E 0.4 -0.0 20.0 5.6 1011. 77.E 0.1 -0.2 19.2 4.8 1006. 139.E -0.1 -0.3 22.2 6.7 1001. 202.E -0.4 -0.6 24.1 7.9 996. 265.E -0.7 -0.8 25.8 8.9 991. 329.E -1.0 -1.1 27.8 9.7 986. 394.E -1.3 -1.3 29.7 10.4 981. 459.E -1.6 -1.8 31.8 11.1 976. 526.E -1.9 -2.1 33.6 11.7 971. 593.E -2.1 -2.3 37.3 12.5 965. 675.E -2.2 -2.3 40.5 13.1 959. 746.E -1.8 -1.9 46.5 13.9 953. 832.E -1.5 -1.6 53.2 13.7 946. 920.E -1.0 -1.0 55.2 12.4 940. 1011.E -0.7 -0.7 55.0 10.9 933. 1109.E -0.8 -0.7 51.2 10.7 925. 1216.E -0.9 -1.0 48.6 9.9 916. 1333.E -0.7 -0.7 38.0 9.0 906. 1473.E -0.6 -0.6 23.8 8.4 895. 1633.E -0.5 -0.5 22.5 6.7 882. 1825.E -0.5 -0.3 27.6 5.3 850. 2305.E -0.5 -0.6 102.2 2.4 809. 2941.E -1.5 -1.4 152.2 6.7 759. 3760.E -0.6 -0.4 209.9 17.4 701. 4766.E -2.7 -2.7 219.4 26.8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris87 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 On the RGEM, 850s don't fall below 0 at DCA until shortly after 10 AM (at 10 AM, 850 line is in NW DC). It looks like maybe another 0.1 to 0.2 falls after 850s get below 0. Total precip here is close to 1.1". Tracking 850 is fine but remember the warm layer looks to be in the 750-800 mb layer. If it's 10 am before 850 gets below zero it will be longer until the entire column supports snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 I'd be lucky to see 2" if the GFS is correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 With rain Worst run yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jums300 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 I'd be lucky to see 2" if the GFS is correct That's a terrible run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover33 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 The GFS sucked with the last storm, all aboard the NAM/Euro express Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 So why is the Euro/NAM dropping so much qpf in the way of snow and the GFS is not? What's the difference? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Ouch..... DCA: MON 12Z 03-FEB 1.5 1.3 1018 0.66 564 549MON 18Z 03-FEB 2.0 -0.6 1022 0.45 561 544TUE 00Z 04-FEB -0.6 -1.5 1025 0.01 565 544 BWI: MON 06Z 03-FEB 3.4 3.2 1019 0.01 567 551MON 12Z 03-FEB 1.1 1.8 1019 0.57 563 548MON 18Z 03-FEB 1.4 -1.0 1022 0.41 560 543 TUE 00Z 04-FEB -1.6 -2.1 1025 0.01 563 543 IAD: MON 06Z 03-FEB 3.2 3.6 1019 0.02 566 551MON 12Z 03-FEB 1.1 0.7 1020 0.90 563 547MON 18Z 03-FEB 1.4 -1.5 1022 0.32 560 542TUE 00Z 04-FEB -1.6 -2.0 1026 0.01 564 544 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Look, the GFS came in with better QPF. Sure its not NAM/Euro temps but we still have 24hrs to fix that. Jeez bunch of debbie downers in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Just going to pretend that run never happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jums300 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 So why is the Euro/NAM dropping so much qpf in the way of snow and the GFS is not? What's the difference? Temperatures? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 So why is the Euro/NAM dropping so much qpf in the way of snow and the GFS is not? What's the difference? short answer is temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Tracking 850 is fine but remember the warm layer looks to be in the 750-800 mb layer. If it's 10 am before 850 gets below zero it will be longer until the entire column supports snow. Yeah, good point. WxBell RGEM maps don't show that layer but I would assume the same as you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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