Deck Pic Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 We are getting close enough to discuss here...Euro shows like 2-3" on Monday...GFS maybe 1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 For the Monday event it looks like the Euro would kick things off around 3z with the GFS closer to 12z. Without a really cold air mass I like the Euro start time a lot better for accumulation purposes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 It's got a good look at 126, with moisture in KY and TN and cold air pressing in. Should be some frozen on this run for the mid-week storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Nice front end. Weaker solution leading in is where it's at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 It's got a good look at 126, with moisture in KY and TN and cold air pressing in. Should be some frozen on this run for the mid-week storm. Yeah, everything points to a period of frozen..question is how prolonged and what type exactly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Glad to see GFS trend toward a storm for Monday. An appetizer though Wes did mention in this pattern these are the type of storm that can deliver a surprise... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 It's got a good look at 126, with moisture in KY and TN and cold air pressing in. Should be some frozen on this run for the mid-week storm. Yep, looks like at 500 everything is a little more strung out and not so sharp also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 hate the way that freezing line zooms north after the initial slug...but we're done by then for the most part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 30, 2014 Author Share Posted January 30, 2014 Tues-Wed looks like a 2-3" hit for MRB/HGR on Tuesday afternoon with maybe 1" or so for DC proper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 30, 2014 Author Share Posted January 30, 2014 hate the way that freezing line zooms north after the initial slug...but we're done by then for the most part. our better threat in DC may actually be monday with the timing if we can get a better thump... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Is 138hr an ice look? Dont have surface map...looks like it could be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 From the 135 map on instantweather it looks like DC has 0.5 with the surface freezing line just overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 30, 2014 Author Share Posted January 30, 2014 Is 138hr an ice look? Dont have surface map...looks like it could be for HGR and environs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Matt, I see .25 contour with subfreezing surface and 850s @ 132. 850 is a good bit south of dca so there is more to come inbetween the next panel (verbatim of course). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 We'd start as frozen here too. Obv N and W areas do better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 850's crash on the tail but surface lags. I know it never works out like that in real life but it's on the run so I can dream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Verbatim it's at least 0.5 frozen in DC, which probably would be 1-3 inches then a bunch sleet/frz rain. That would be fun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Verbatim it's at least 0.5 frozen in DC, which probably would be 1-3 inches then a bunch sleet/frz rain. That would be fun! I'm rooting hard for a solid impact mixed event. We're good for those at times. It was another good run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jums300 Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Can anyone give me an update on the monday storm for norther/central MD? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 I'm rooting hard for a solid impact mixed event. We're good for those at times. It was another good run. Yup...I'm good with this, especially if we can get the ol uni to come along. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Can anyone give me an update on the monday storm for norther/central MD? Most precip to the south...looking better but still not there..potential for a coating-2 inches if trends continue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Can anyone give me an update on the monday storm for norther/central MD? Read the first few posts in this thread. A possible small something is on the table. Euro has a bit more oomph than the GFS, but the GFS has been late to the party. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 30, 2014 Author Share Posted January 30, 2014 Matt, I see .25 contour with subfreezing surface and 850s @ 132. 850 is a good bit south of dca so there is more to come inbetween the next panel (verbatim of course). I'm not sure in DC we get much snow after 132 hours...it may already be mixing by 132, and the line races to the north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 I'm rooting hard for a solid impact mixed event. We're good for those at times. It was another good run. Me too! We've had some fun the last few weeks with super cold and a fluffy snow event. Now I'm ready for something messy like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 I'm not sure in DC we get much snow after 132 hours...it may already be mixing by 132, and the line races to the north Yea, we're splitting hairs at this lead. I'm encouraged that the GEFS re-introduced weaker/flatter solutions instead of a big wrapped up low to our west. We're mixing no matter what but there are slight trends towards a more favorable front end deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Troglodyte here. Move that green north pls. Show me the money. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 30, 2014 Author Share Posted January 30, 2014 I'm not sure in DC we get much snow after 132 hours...it may already be mixing by 132, and the line races to the north looking at soundings we are snow at 132 and flip probably at 132.5...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 I still hold out some hope that CAD will be a bit stronger as we get closer to the event. It does work out more often than not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 Me too! We've had some fun the last few weeks with super cold and a fluffy snow event. Now I'm ready for something messy like this. If you take the run verbatim it would be some snow on the ground covered by a sleet layer and then some ice. Glacial pack that would probably partially survive the warm rain before the front. Areas N-W could do fairly well. Cities and burbs with an obvious low end of the deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 30, 2014 Share Posted January 30, 2014 looking at soundings we are snow at 132 and flip probably at 132.5...lol With heavy rates that's an extra .5"!! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.