Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,863
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Malmax64
    Newest Member
    Malmax64
    Joined

February Medium/Long Range Disco


WinterWxLuvr

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1.6k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

euro day 9 is just an absolute moisture laden beast....of course there are some changeover possibilities, but like 1.7" QPF...and much of it snow....verbatim it is a 16-20" storm for JYO/MRB....

man if the euro came true for next week were in for a big time pounding of snow. Cant believe what the maps show. And continued very cold. Haven't seen this in a long time. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

man if the euro came true for next week were in for a big time pounding of snow. Cant believe what the maps show. And continued very cold. Haven't seen this in a long time. 

 

It is a monster KU for the western burbs..and quite big for DC too before we mix.....and the storm has been showing up over and over...it is still in the fantasy range, but the euro seems locked in on something big....

Link to comment
Share on other sites

It's an ok overrunning pattern, but not really a good one for a big storm without changing over, even with a southern track....but we've been pretty good this year with so-so patterns...the euro solution is total thread the needle, and DC still mixes...

 

test8.gif

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I like the looks of the very end of the run because it originates in the gulf.   It's been a long time since one has come out of the gulf.  One reason it has so much moisture shown...

its funny JB thinks we go thru all of feb before spring, cosgrove thinks we warm up by middle of feb and euro gives us a good old fashion pounding next week, I have a hard time believing the euro for next week, something aint right , one of the two models is in la la land.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Good morning all. Need more coffee to help open my eyes to the EURO Unicorn. Wow I think? Doors one and two icy though right? Can we get any front end love on those--or should I punt those all together?

Looked a little closer at the Monday event on the Euro.  Looks kinda nice to me.  850s start a little above 0 and get colder as the heavier precip gets to us.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Looked a little closer at the Monday event on the Euro. Looks kinda nice to me. 850s start a little above 0 and get colder as the heavier precip gets to us.

Cool. My head will be weather spinning all week. Supposed to hit NYC Wednesday to Thursday as well. Should be wild. As long as I don't miss that ever elusive unicorn... ;-)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Looked a little closer at the Monday event on the Euro.  Looks kinda nice to me.  850s start a little above 0 and get colder as the heavier precip gets to us.

Wunderground maps say 2-3" for Sunday night/Monday morning   :o

which is interesting since that's what they said I'd get early last week when I got almost 6"

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Seems to me that most of the GEFS have shifted the track of the mid-week storm to the south.  The 6z Op is one of, if not the, most wrapped up and far west cutter of the bunch.  Most of the members still turn us to rain verbatim, but I find the southern track shift (right over us in most cases) a bit encouraging.  

 

GEFS still don't go in much for the Monday event though…a few members have some snow for us.  Most are dry.  

 

Lots of moving pieces the next 10 days with this very active pattern.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Seems to me that most of the GEFS have shifted the track of the mid-week storm to the south. The 6z Op is one of, if not the, most wrapped up and far west cutter of the bunch. Most of the members still turn us to rain verbatim, but I find the southern track shift (right over us in most cases) a bit encouraging.

GEFS still don't go in much for the Monday event though…a few members have some snow for us. Most are dry.

Lots of moving pieces the next 10 days with this very active pattern.

Saw the shift for wed myself. It's a model war for Monday but the next 2 are definitely being honed in on by the globals. Euro and EPS like monday.

Wed should be a blast for an interesting event. Front end frozen seems relatively resolved. It's pretty fun nowcasting multiple features and who is getting what and when.

Warm layer changeovers sandwiches like the euro shows for the unicorn are pretty common in the cities with big storms on that track. Would make a heck of fun mess and a bullet proof snowpack to withstand nuclear Feb sun angle.

A weaker storm than the euro would prob track a bit east and be all snow.

I better get a lot of rest this weekend. Lol

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...