Whitelakeroy Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 It's game time.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Slight SE shift on the NAM puts YYZ back in the game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 radar filling back up nicely in NW IL. Keep sending it in. Would be nice to lose a few degrees to help ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Nam comes in cooler for YYZ. Mixing/rain confined near the lake. Away from the lake, 4-6" of cement. And more the further north you get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted January 5, 2014 Author Share Posted January 5, 2014 Slight SE shift on the NAM puts YYZ back in the game. Not surprised and I really hope you get it good too!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 It's game time.... Chicago storm was on a roll... Just sayin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Not surprised and I really hope you get it good too!!! Owe it to you starting the thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 It's game time.... Chicago storm was on a roll... Just sayin Storm is gonna unravel hard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michaelmantis Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 radar filling back up nicely in NW IL. Keep sending it in. Would be nice to lose a few degrees to help rati I was wondering what was going on. Looked like nothing was filling it but it was just the radar site I was using (http://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/findweather/getForecast?brand=wxmap&query=60124) not showing precip in NW Illinois! 2.5 inches on the ground now on the West side of Elgin, IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 It's game time.... Who are you? Not Joe.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RyanDe680 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 For here I'm guessing somewhere around 12-14:1. Might be even a bit lower than that. They're close to are slightly better than 10:1 right now. They will increase as the night goes on. I was thinking it was at 10 or a 12... Thanks... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Storm is gonna unravel hard Delete the thread. Joe where r u? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eureka22 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 LSX mentioning thunder. AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATEDNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO813 PM CST Sat Jan 4 2014.UPDATE:Issued at 810 PM CST Sat Jan 4 2014Going to be making a few tweaks to the going forecast based on thelatest model data that is coming in.1. Precipitation will stay in liquid form across far southern CWAfor much of the overnight period, and perhaps into Sunday morning.Still forecasting just over six inches for storm total - so noheadline changes needed.2. Latest NAM, HRRR and RAP model runs show intense upward verticalmotion and convective potential due to steep lapse rates and hintsof true CAPE, or upright convective potentional, tomorrow morningacross the warned area and therefore will be adding mention ofthunder to forecast. Certainly potential for localized snowfalltotals over 12 inches.Updated forecast and graphics will be out by 9 p.m.CVKING Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted January 5, 2014 Author Share Posted January 5, 2014 Chicago storm was on a roll... Just saying Not IMBY ... ... anyway I am not superstitious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Yep. Storm cancel now. DAB for LAF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Slight SE shift on the NAM puts YYZ back in the game. Just saw the soundings off the NAM. There's an ugly warm layer around 900mb by 6z Monday. Sfc temps are only slightly above freezing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Added the 21z plumes...so a full day's runs. 21z...15z...9z...3z snowfall plumes for FWA, IND, and LAF. FWA mean: 10.9...9.8...9.3...9.6 max: 17.4...18.7...18.2...17.9 min: 4.1...3.3...2.9...3.4 IND mean: 9.6...9.1...8.7...9.3 max: 15.5...18.8...16.1...17.7 min: 0.5...0.8...2.0...3.0 LAF mean: 12.5...11.7...11.2...10.4 max: 16.6...19.4...16.7...17.4 min: 7.1...7.1...5.1...4.9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Added the 21z plumes...so a full day's runs. 21z...15z...9z...3z snowfall plumes for FWA, IND, and LAF. FWA mean: 10.9...9.8...9.3...9.6 max: 17.4...18.7...18.2...17.9 min: 4.1...3.3...2.9...3.4 IND mean: 9.6...9.1...8.7...9.3 max: 15.5...18.8...16.1...17.7 min: 0.5...0.8...2.0...3.0 LAF mean: 12.5...11.7...11.2...10.4 max: 16.6...19.4...16.7...17.4 min: 7.1...7.1...5.1...4.9 Nice gradual upward trend in the mean for us. That max/min split at IND is sick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Liking the nudge back SE on the SREF/NAM so far... hope the trend continues for my LAF friends and SEMI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Overdone no doubt, but pretty sexy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Nice gradual upward trend in the mean for us. That max/min split at IND is sick. It's one lone wolf. Next one is 3.5"...then 4.5"...then 6.8"...so on and so forth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Just saw the soundings off the NAM. There's an ugly warm layer around 900mb by 6z Monday. Sfc temps are only slightly above freezing.This happens after 4-6" accumulates. The rain looks brief and light thank goodness lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 joe doesn't open a thread...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Overdone no doubt, but pretty sexy. 21z SREF snowfall LAF.png Man I don't know. This one looks like a footer for LAF. Hard to draw up a better scenario on what I'm seeing on the guidance at this point. With potential convective elements, and all the other insane ingredients coming together I'm thinking 10-13" looks pretty solid there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 This happens after 4-6" accumulates. The rain looks brief and light thank goodness lol. That's surprisingly high. You have a map or text output? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIWeather Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Overdone no doubt, but pretty sexy. 21z SREF snowfall LAF.png Mine for KDEC are too. Have 3 between 5-10, the lowest being 7.5" Have like 9 that are between 10-15". 5 that are between 15-20" And 1 that is above 20" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 That's surprisingly high. You have a map or text output?No I saw it on another site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 62 DFW and 32 at OKC...nice temp gradient and baroclinic zone shaping up for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Man I don't know. This one looks like a footer for LAF. Hard to draw up a better scenario on what I'm seeing on the guidance at this point. With potential convective elements, and all the other insane ingredients coming together I'm thinking 10-13" looks pretty solid there. Yeah it's hard to beat the lift LAF will see during the day tomorrow. Potential for very good snow rates for an extended period of time. As long as you dodge a dryslot you guys are golden. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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