Chicago Storm Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Wagons north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 The sampling should be better for these 00z runs. The one thing I'd still be a little concerned about is the wave around the polar vortex way up there in Canada that eventually phases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 The sampling should be better for these 00z runs. The one thing I'd still be a little concerned about is the wave around the polar vortex way up there in Canada that eventually phases. Yes....this is what could make things go BOOM or just trend back to a little weaker/ SE again with tomorrow's 12Zs...IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 4, 2014 Author Share Posted January 4, 2014 0z RGEM might come NW too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 RGEM at 36 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Good jump NW coming on the RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 0z RGEM might come NW too. Not good.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 18Z vs. 02Z 500's for RAP @ Forecast hour 5Z 04JAN 18Z RAP... 02Z RAP... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Caution flags a flyin'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
extremewx52 Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 18Z vs. 02Z 500's for RAP @ Forecast hour 5Z 04JAN 18Z RAP... rap_namer_011_500_vort_ht_s.gif 02Z RAP... rap_namer_003_500_vort_ht_s.gif Stronger wave at 02z. Bet that's what the 00z models sampled and why the models are coming nw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 7 inches ORD skiling model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Stronger wave at 02z. Bet that's what the 00z models sampled and why the models are coming nw yeah...and it could continue with tomorrow's 12Z... and I agree with your post about getting some data sampling in the Pac....not sure why they stopped doing flights in the pacific like they did in years past.....Now they only do them in the atlantic/gulf when there is a system to impact the EC....kind of a joke really Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted January 4, 2014 Author Share Posted January 4, 2014 996mb SLP in far western OH on the RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/520_100.gif Meh...i aint liking this. Not one bit! Marginal Temperatures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kbotc Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 I just read my local prediction over on forecast.io "Windy starting in the afternoon, with heavy snow (9–14 in) until evening." They were the only place to manage the last 9" storm we had here, so maybe there's a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Yes....this is what could make things go BOOM or just trend back to a little weaker/ SE again with tomorrow's 12Zs...IMO What I circled actually doesn't get into the US until close to 12z Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 http://weather.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/520_100.gif Meh...i aint liking this. Not one bit! Marginal Temperatures. It's starting to look like some rain for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 0z RGEM is a demolisher. 33mm/1.30" overtop or close to IND...12 hour QPF ending 0z Monday. Looks Ukie-like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Yeah ptype issues are definitely a concern now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 If possible I would like to make a call to lock in the RGEM, it would be an incredible blizzard here. 996mb moving NNE from Dayton, would cross between Sandusky and Cleveland, essentially the perfect track for SEMI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 If possible I would like to make a call to lock in the RGEM, it would be an incredible blizzard here. 996mb moving NNE from Dayton, would cross between Sandusky and Cleveland, essentially the perfect track for SEMI. Lousy run for YYZ here. If the GFS shows something similar, I'm going to consider punting this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 If possible I would like to make a call to lock in the RGEM, it would be an incredible blizzard here. 996mb moving NNE from Dayton, would cross between Sandusky and Cleveland, essentially the perfect track for SEMI. Another nw shift and Detroit might start having ptype concerns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 If possible I would like to make a call to lock in the RGEM, it would be an incredible blizzard here. 996mb moving NNE from Dayton, would cross between Sandusky and Cleveland, essentially the perfect track for SEMI. +100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 If possible I would like to make a call to lock in the RGEM, it would be an incredible blizzard here. 996mb moving NNE from Dayton, would cross between Sandusky and Cleveland, essentially the perfect track for SEMI. 20miles south pls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 It's starting to look like some rain for us. We need it to shift slightly further SE, maybe 50 miles would be good. I believe we can work some CAD into this, however, it shall depend where the Low Tracks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectOH Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 996mb SLP in far western OH on the RGEM. Great, hours of rain with temps from the upper 30s to maybe mid 40s...just as we were getting a good snowpack. Cleveland is a synoptic storm wasteland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Yeah ptype issues are definitely a concern now Unless it shifts more NW you are fine down there. I don't foresee it shifting too much more NW, the Polar Vortex limits how far it can shift NW, just like the East Coast ridge limits how far SE the storm can track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 7 inches ORD skiling model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Unless it shifts more NW you are fine down there. I don't foresee it shifting too much more NW, the Polar Vortex limits how far it can shift NW, just like the East Coast ridge limits how far SE the storm can track. What does the RGEM show for YYZ? 2"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted January 4, 2014 Share Posted January 4, 2014 Another nw shift and Detroit might start having ptype concerns. Yeah, though if you see above for my thoughts on that, I am not too concerned, we probably have about 100 miles it could shift at this point still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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