Ian Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Friday morning per GFS: Low to mid 20s on 12z MOS for Friday is pretty impressive from range (plus 20 to 25 kt wind meh). Single digits Sat morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 My 18 flakes will be cold and swirly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 My 18 flakes will be cold and swirly At least you can count them all this time before some melt and you have to start all over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 I like that. Be nice if snow was around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 When is the last time we even had WC values below zero? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 This afternoon's euro had highs next Tuesday in the single digits. Tonight's GFS has highs next Tuesday in the low 40's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 This afternoon's euro had highs next Tuesday in the single digits. Tonight's GFS has highs next Tuesday in the low 40's. Supposedly the Euro 2M temps have been running way to cold, especially this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Supposedly the Euro 2M temps have been running way to cold, especially this far out. That's what people are saying and I have to agree. I have Accuweather Pro which gives you the actual numbers and during the cold period in mid December the Euro's temps were definitely way too cold even as close as 24 hours in, especially the lows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 31, 2013 Author Share Posted December 31, 2013 0z MOS was even colder/windier for Fri. Looks pretty awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 31, 2013 Author Share Posted December 31, 2013 This cold shot is like 100x more interesting than the snowstorm. Get pumped people!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 This cold shot is like 100x more interesting than the snowstorm. Get pumped people!! You're about as convincing as the lame-ass MCs they have at baseball games nowadays. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 31, 2013 Author Share Posted December 31, 2013 You're about as convincing as the lame-ass MCs they have at baseball games nowadays. You know you want it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 You know you want it. gfs_t2m_b_washdc_27.png It's incredibly likely we get temps that cold. I'll be back in the office that has an underground parking garage, so I'll only experience it getting to and from my car at home. And walking the dog... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Not that relevant to this situation, but the record low max at DCA for Friday is 10°F. At IAD, it is 23. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 31, 2013 Author Share Posted December 31, 2013 Not that relevant to this situation, but the record low max at DCA for Friday is 10°F. At IAD, it is 23. Dulles might be below that during the day but looks like above near midnight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Dulles might be below that during the day but looks like above near midnight? Could be close. NAM has it to 21 by midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Looks like the GFS continues to like sub-20 highs a week from today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Cold is kinda worthless without snow. Really wish we could just get an inch or two on the ground before the cold arrives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 31, 2013 Author Share Posted December 31, 2013 12z model temp stuff. Kinda dumping some of this in to see how it looks in verification. MOS so continually bullish makes me think Fri will perform at least. I'm still a little skeptical about next week being super crazy harsh but it's coming at a climo preferred time so should be something at least. edit: euro is from 0z still.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 12z model temp stuff. Kinda dumping some of this in to see how it looks in verification. MOS so continually bullish makes me think Fri will perform at least. I'm still a little skeptical about next week being super crazy harsh but it's coming at a climo preferred time so should be something at least. 18z GFS still 15° or so midday on the 7th. MOS departures of -15 at 7 days are pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 31, 2013 Author Share Posted December 31, 2013 18z GFS still 15° or so midday on the 7th. MOS departures of -15 at 7 days are pretty good. Yeah, it's legit looking. I think we can challenge 2009 type of cold at least. I'm still not sure how much snow cover v no snow cover is impacting things etc. As far as I can tell all the raw model sfc outputs are almost always too cold.. not just the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 31, 2013 Share Posted December 31, 2013 Yeah, it's legit looking. I think we can challenge 2009 type of cold at least. I'm still not sure how much snow cover v no snow cover is impacting things etc. As far as I can tell all the raw model sfc outputs are almost always too cold.. not just the Euro. That's what I've seen too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 31, 2013 Author Share Posted December 31, 2013 BTW, I made this a cold thread since it might be worth remembering and that's all we've talked about so far. If someone wants to make a new general Jan obs thread that's cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 It's a real deal air mass if it can get down here.... 8:00 Temps MSP: -6 Fargo: -18 Green Bay: -1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 downtown Chicago has 3/4 mi viz snow now and 11 degrees...we are pathetic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 1, 2014 Author Share Posted January 1, 2014 It's a real deal air mass if it can get down here.... 8:00 Temps MSP: -6 Fargo: -18 Green Bay: -1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I will take the warm and wet. Cold without snow is ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 Wind chills next Tuesday morning from the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 MOS for Minneapolis next week has -12 as a high. That type of cold is not a yearly occurrence up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stradivarious Posted January 1, 2014 Share Posted January 1, 2014 I remember living in Winnipeg during winter of 1976-1977... Forecaster on TV telling people that it was going to be a beautiful day, highs minus 15F, sunny, a great day to take the kids to the zoo, or to get out and enjoy the fine day... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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