Chicago Storm Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Wednesday's is the most interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Wednesday's is the most interesting. Yeah I could see that being a high ratio 1-3/2-4" type system, nice little compact vort with at least a little bit of moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Wed looks good for 1-2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Right now I'm in for an inch, 60% chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Bring on some clippers! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 12z GEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 12km NAM going south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 fun little clipper on wednesday! energy up in northern Alaska currently....come on down give us some snow!!! looks like a minor STJ feed...interesting little system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 EURO showing heaviest axis of snow from Prairie du Chien, WI to UGN. ~2" here. An inch down into Will County about. SE MI probably 1-1.5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 EURO showing heaviest axis of snow from Prairie du Chien, WI to UGN. ~2" here. An inch down into Will County about. SE MI probably 1-1.5". Is that 12z? I expected it to come south a little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Is that 12z? I expected it to come south a little. Yes. Best just north of 88 to southern WI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Wed looks good for 1-2 I'll ride with ya on this one...although I could see some 3 inchers splashed in there as well...but not the norm at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Most areas (RFD/DPA/MSN/UGN/ORD) all around 0.10" liquid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 A little stat padding never hurt no one. Looking for a good 1-2 event to top off what we got from yesterday's system. I like the model consistency with this so looking forward to Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Euro shows about 0.02-0.04" for here and the QC. Could still fluff up to 1/2-3/4" with higher ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 The 18z NAM is more organized and just has that look to the QPF shield and orientation of it where you'd expect some good fronto banding given the sharp thermal gradient the sfc low is running along Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 9, 2013 Author Share Posted December 9, 2013 LOT regarding the main clipper Tue night/Wed morning... THEN YET ANOTHER CLIPPER IS PROGGED TO TRAVERSE THE REGION LATE TUENGT/WED...WHICH HAS CONTINUED TO TREND FURTHER SOUTH AND STRONGER.WITH THE SFC RIDGE DRIFTING SOUTH INTO THE TENN VALLEY...THIS WILLLIKELY ALLOW THE WAVE TO PUSH ACROSS THE HEART OF THE CWFA. QPF OFARND 0.10" FOR THIS SECOND CLIPPER SNOW RATIOS WILL HOVER ARND 15:1TO 20:1. THE BEST OMEGA/LIFT IS PUSHING INTO THE FAVORED DGZ WEDMORNING...WHICH COULD HELP PRODUCE LARGER DENDRITES AND INCREASESNOWFALL ACCUM RATES. AT THIS POINT HAVE ACCUMS GENERALLY BETWEEN1-3"...AND COULD SEE A FEW LOCATIONS BETWEEN THE I-80 AND I-88CORRIDOR COULD PICK UP CLOSE TO 4" BY LATE WED MORNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Point has 1-2", then an additional < 1.0" forecasted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 LOT sticking it to GEOS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 DVN TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...WITH HEIGHTS FALLING IN THE UPPER MIDWEST THE NEXT CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL BE TRACKING FARTHER TO THE SOUTH AND IS STRONGER THAN EARLIER MODEL RUNS DEPICTED. SURFACE LOW WILL BE MOVING FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS TO SOUTHERN IA WHICH SHOULD LAY DOWN A BAND OF AT LEAST 1-3 INCH SNOW FROM THE I-80 CORRIDOR AND POINTS TO THE NORTH. CAN'T RULE OUT A NARROW BAND OF 4 OR 5 INCHES BUT HARD TO PIN DOWN THE EXACT LOCATION AT THIS POINT. AMOUNTS SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE SHOULD BE LESS THAN AN INCH. THIS LOOKS TO BE ABOUT A 12 HOUR EVENT WITH ABOUT 6 HOURS OF MODERATE FORCING ALONG WITH A 200 MB DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE DEPTH THAT SHOULD PRODUCE A PERIOD OF MODERATE SNOW. SIGNIFICANTLY LOWERING CONDENSATION PRESSURE DEFICITS WOULD SUGGEST THE SNOW TO BEGIN IN OUR NW COUNTIES EARLY TUESDAY EVENING WITH THE SNOW EXITING OUR EASTERN CWA LATER WEDNESDAY MORNING. MOISTURE IS LIMITED BUT THIS WILL BE ANOTHER ARCTIC FLUFF WITH ABOUT 20:1 TO 25:1 SNOW/WATER RATIO. WINDS INCREASE TO AROUND 20 MPH ON WEDNESDAY SO SOME DRIFTING IS POSSIBLE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Looks to be a stat padder except for the lollipops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 DVN I certainly might be busting low with 1-2 and lollipop 3's...will be interested to see if any of the short range models start pumping out anything over .15 around here...might need to boost on up to next level (3-5) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 I certainly might be busting low with 1-2 and lollipop 3's...will be interested to see if any of the short range models start pumping out anything over .15 around here...might need to boost on up to next level (3-5) texted my friend earlier I think someone will get 5 or 6" somewhere out of this if trends hold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 texted my friend earlier I think someone will get 5 or 6" somewhere out of this if trends hold. we start seeing some of those 25:1 ratios and that could verify relatively easily Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Probably have a WWA by midday tomorrow then. RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 0z NAM looks faster and maybe a tick north so far, also a bit wetter at 30hr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Looks to be a stat padder except for the lollipops. Yep. Though if it tracks just right, I could see a lake-enhanced snow band across S. MI that produces a localized 2-3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 0z NAM looks faster and maybe a tick north so far, also a bit wetter at 30hr The 0.10" line is further north for sure. I can see where LOT is getting those amounts with expected high ratios with temps in the teens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 this refresher looks locked and loaded Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Both the 0z NAM and 18z GFS with a very deep DGZ Weds morning here. 300mb deep here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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