BullCityWx Posted November 9, 2013 Share Posted November 9, 2013 Things look promising for such an early season event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted November 9, 2013 Share Posted November 9, 2013 I'm glad somebody did it! It looks more promising than anything last year , and it's only November ! The cold air is going to be impressive , so lets throw a little precip in the mix! I hope you bring the good mojo, and you can start every threat thread the rest of the winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted November 9, 2013 Share Posted November 9, 2013 I hope its not to early so we don't jinx it. Maybe we all see an early flake or two Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted November 9, 2013 Share Posted November 9, 2013 I hope its not to early so we don't jinx it. Maybe we all see an early flake or two I hope so too. But considering the model data hard to deny the fact of a legit snowstorm. Has happened before and will again even though there has been a curse on this area for the last few years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted November 9, 2013 Share Posted November 9, 2013 Man plowing is what I live for but I have learned not to get excited until last minute as this is not the normal set up for us and especially this early. Just seeing a flurry this early would be a bonus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted November 9, 2013 Share Posted November 9, 2013 Things look promising for such an early season event. Glad to see you kicked off the first of (hopefully) many threads/threats this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCCatawba Posted November 9, 2013 Share Posted November 9, 2013 Hazardous Weather Outlook for Boone, Jefferson, and Sparta. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW IN THE TUESDAY NIGHT TO WEDNESDAY NIGHT TIME FRAME. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE EVOLUTION OF THIS SYSTEM...SO STAY TUNED. Hazardous Weather Outlook for Mount Airy, and Wilkesboro. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW IN THE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT TIME FRAME...JUST EAST OF THE CREST OF THE BLUE RIDGE...AND NORTH OF THE ROANOKE RIVER. A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW OR ALL RAIN IS POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE EVOLUTION OF THIS SYSTEM...SO STAY TUNED. Hazardous Weather Outlook for Danbury, and Yadkinville. THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW IN THE LATE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT TIME FRAME...BETWEEN THE ROANOKE AND DAN RIVER BASINS. PRIMARILY A RAIN EVENT IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY WITH A LITTLE SNOW MIXED IN DURING THE EARLY MORNING. THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE EVOLUTION OF THIS SYSTEM...SO STAY TUNED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted November 9, 2013 Share Posted November 9, 2013 Man plowing is what I live for but I have learned not to get excited until last minute as this is not the normal set up for us and especially this early. Just seeing a flurry this early would be a bonus I agree. But atm still alot of support for it. But hey think about it this way if this comes to fruition thats the 3rd time in 20 years. 00-01 and 08-09 had Nov snowfalls and they turned out to be decent winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted November 9, 2013 Share Posted November 9, 2013 I think there's going to be some good sledding in front of Justice Hall at App State next week, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted November 9, 2013 Share Posted November 9, 2013 I agree. But atm still alot of support for it. But hey think about it this way if this comes to fruition thats the 3rd time in 20 years. 00-01 and 08-09 had Nov snowfalls and they turned out to be decent winters.. Don't forget 95-96! We had a November snow and lots of events all winter here in Greenville, SC! I feel good about the general idea of something wintry from most of the models! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted November 9, 2013 Share Posted November 9, 2013 Does it seem the GFS is now leaning a little more to the Euro as time goes by? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted November 9, 2013 Share Posted November 9, 2013 History of measurable Nov. ATL snows since 1890: - 11/27/1912: 2.2" from 0.22" liquid eq. (pure snow): appears to have been mainly upper level, not Miller A Hi 43; Lo 29; snow didn't completely melt for couple of days due to very cold (high of only 37 on 11/28!) - 11/11/1968: 1.0" from 0.77" liq. eq. (mix): from Miller A that tracked across far N Gulf coast into FL pan. to south of Savannah; Hi 40; low 31 -11/23/1975: 0.6" from 0.29" liq. eq. (mix): from closed upper low that moved ESE from OK; Hi 40 Lo 33 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted November 9, 2013 Share Posted November 9, 2013 A fine line between too much seperation and just enough, the euro is obviously hooking up at about the right time to cut something off at the base... 12z@ 135hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted November 9, 2013 Share Posted November 9, 2013 Huh? 0z run hasn't begun but euro and gfs really in to different camps Does it seem the GFS is now leaning a little more to the Euro as time goes by? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshM Posted November 9, 2013 Share Posted November 9, 2013 Very interesting setup, hope we don't get jinxed. Ready for the 0z runs!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted November 9, 2013 Share Posted November 9, 2013 Huh? 0z run hasn't begun but euro and gfs really in to different camps OK. I thought from reading maybe the GFS was looking a little better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted November 9, 2013 Share Posted November 9, 2013 A fine line between too much seperation and just enough, the euro is obviously hooking up at about the right time to cut something off at the base... 12z@ 135hrs 135ec1108.JPG Isn't that always the case? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted November 9, 2013 Share Posted November 9, 2013 Isn't that always the case? Yes Ma'am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted November 9, 2013 Share Posted November 9, 2013 Meh! Wth... might as well. But yeah its the nam... and still out of frame. Seems to weaken the trough out west and allows the ridge to amp some. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Imageanis.php But maybe some enouraging news towards a decent snowtorm. While I believe the euro is wrong and will not be that magintude of a snowstorm as far as the amounts. But a blend of the strength of the gfs/euro/ggem should be considered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted November 9, 2013 Share Posted November 9, 2013 gfs running now, lets see what it has in store tonight. out to 54. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCCatawba Posted November 9, 2013 Share Posted November 9, 2013 72 with strong high over North Dakota Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted November 9, 2013 Share Posted November 9, 2013 yep, a tad stronger than the last 2 runs. the cold certainly wont be a problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCCatawba Posted November 9, 2013 Share Posted November 9, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted November 9, 2013 Share Posted November 9, 2013 snow starting in western nc and upstate sc at 96 EDIT: at 102... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted November 9, 2013 Share Posted November 9, 2013 snow sort of fizzles out at 105 onward...upstate and western nc special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted November 9, 2013 Share Posted November 9, 2013 0z gfs Clown gives N ATL burbs NE to upstate SC into W NC mtns 1"-3" (1" N ATL burbs) fwiw. Would be heaviest N ATL Nov snow since at least 1975. Odds very low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted November 9, 2013 Share Posted November 9, 2013 Meh... not much of an event on this run. But I guess any flakes for anybody is good stuff at this point in the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted November 9, 2013 Share Posted November 9, 2013 more energy @ h5 but yet a different solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted November 9, 2013 Share Posted November 9, 2013 GFS is trending towards the European, period. HPC discounted the GFS/GEFS in every text/graphic product they put out today. 12z GFS 0z GFS both valid 0z 11/13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCCatawba Posted November 9, 2013 Share Posted November 9, 2013 So GFS starts this Tuesday night now...much quicker than the EURO. Best precip is very early Wednesday morning for some light accumulations. Cutoff line looks to be just east of Greensboro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.