Snow_Miser Posted September 3, 2013 Share Posted September 3, 2013 Here's to a good upcoming cold season. Hopefully we can pull something like this off: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted September 3, 2013 Share Posted September 3, 2013 Storm missed to my east again. Bone dry in South Central Nassau Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted September 4, 2013 Share Posted September 4, 2013 Storm missed to my east again. Bone dry in South Central Nassau We got some rain. Still pretty bad here. Trees are taking a beating. One tree in my backyard lost half of it's leaves already. Among the other half that's left, half of those are yellow. Usually the tree doesn't look that way until late October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 4, 2013 Share Posted September 4, 2013 We got some rain. Still pretty bad here. Trees are taking a beating. One tree in my backyard lost half of it's leaves already. Among the other half that's left, half of those are yellow. Usually the tree doesn't look that way until late October. At least you got some rain. We had about 13 drops in Wantagh. That was a pretty solid storm I saw some insane ctg lightning and some rotation on the SW flank of the storm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted September 7, 2013 Author Share Posted September 7, 2013 This is why 384 hour GFS progs are awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted September 10, 2013 Share Posted September 10, 2013 i know it's arbitrary, but 89 is such a frustrating high temperature Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted September 10, 2013 Share Posted September 10, 2013 more frustrating than 33 and rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted September 10, 2013 Share Posted September 10, 2013 I'm already thinking about winter. Not impressed with the predictions of long term warmth - may be above average for a bit but doesn't look hot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted September 14, 2013 Share Posted September 14, 2013 met News 12's Bill Korbel at the Dowling Alumni dinner tonight.. really nice guy, very knowledgeable... he was kinda coy though when i asked him about Atlantic activity and the upcoming winter season but that's understandable... i wish i was in his weather class lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 14, 2013 Share Posted September 14, 2013 Summer sucks. Thank god it's almost over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 14, 2013 Share Posted September 14, 2013 Found this newspaper article down my basement. Blizzard of 96 =) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted September 15, 2013 Author Share Posted September 15, 2013 In all seriousness though, there is some agreement for a high latitude ridging signal in the GEFS and for a -NAO to take shape starting around day 8-9. Huge +EPO signal though in the Operational GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted September 16, 2013 Share Posted September 16, 2013 Ewall site so frustrating of late. Many broken images or links: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted September 23, 2013 Author Share Posted September 23, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted September 24, 2013 Share Posted September 24, 2013 let me know when the euro shows a system in the 940's making landfall from the SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ADKweather27 Posted September 25, 2013 Share Posted September 25, 2013 let me know when the euro shows a system in the 940's making landfall from the SEOne and done is plenty for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted September 26, 2013 Share Posted September 26, 2013 One and done is plenty for mei was talking about people who saw blocking on the models and brought up irene and sandy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted September 26, 2013 Author Share Posted September 26, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted October 4, 2013 Share Posted October 4, 2013 Looks like parts of the black hills could see 45-60+" of snow...Lead, SD has 33" as of 215pm Central...it only started snowing around midnight I believe last night. The Black Hills usually do awesome in these type of storms but this looks intense. Also a civil emergency has been declared in 3 counties in western SD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted October 5, 2013 Share Posted October 5, 2013 Looks like parts of the black hills could see 45-60+" of snow...Lead, SD has 33" as of 215pm Central...it only started snowing around midnight I believe last night. The Black Hills usually do awesome in these type of storms but this looks intense. Also a civil emergency has been declared in 3 counties in western SD. Looks like many places in western SD received 3-4' of snow! The pics coming out of there are impressive to say the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted October 7, 2013 Share Posted October 7, 2013 I guess I've been sleeping on the job...where is this station located that is now listed on the "regional Weather Roundup" (hourly observations compilation): BRONX BO. GARD How long have I been asleep? I assume it didn't get added during the gvt shutdown. This is what happens when there no chance of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted October 7, 2013 Share Posted October 7, 2013 I guess I've been sleeping on the job...where is this station located that is now listed on the "regional Weather Roundup" (hourly observations compilation): BRONX BO. GARD How long have I been asleep? I assume it didn't get added during the gvt shutdown. This is what happens when there no chance of snow I assume it's located at the Bronx Botanical Garden? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 That makes sense. Other than NYC, it's alone in not being an airport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 Thats weird, i could have sworn we had a discussion here a few years back (maybe when we were still at eastern?) about how the zoo/botanical gardens would be a good spot for obs...but i cant find it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 12z GFS had another coastal day 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted October 8, 2013 Author Share Posted October 8, 2013 The GFS long range looks pretty cold. It starts setting up a major cold shot around day 7. Probably the coldest air yet of the season if the GFS is to be believed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted October 8, 2013 Share Posted October 8, 2013 12z GFS had another coastal day 10 That's very plausible given the NAO pattern and overall blocking pattern that's being shown. What we might get thurs/friday is technically a weak coastal storm and we are now in the nor'easter season so I believe it. Things definitely look a lot colder and stormier for the second half of this month over the first and maybe it'll translate into November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 so far the fall is slightly above average but if it stays on the warm side thru November don't expect much snow this year...I'm hoping the pattern changes soon before this fall ends up as warm as these years... warmest falls....winter snowfall...big snow... 1931-32....................5.3"....................2.0" 1961-62..................18.1"....................6.2" 1946-47..................30.6"..................10.7" 1953-54..................15.8"....................7.9" 1900-01....................9.1"....................4.0" 1941-42..................11.3"....................3.2" 1979-80..................12.8"....................4.6" 1985-86..................13.0"....................4.5" 1990-91..................24.9"....................8.9" 2007-08..................11.9"....................6.0" 1971-72..................22.9"....................5.7" 2011-12....................7.4"....................4.3" average...................15.3"....................5.7" long term ave...........28.3"....................9.0" est... only one winter had above average snowfall...1946-47... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 Just monkeying around with numbers, but if you exclude from the averages those 12 winters that followed warm falls, the average snowfall for the remaining 130 winters is 29.5". So NYC averages very close to twice as much snowfall when the winter does not follow a warm fall vs when it does. Subjectively, just about every fall recently has seemed warm. Maybe that is just because it is a very nice time of year wx-wise (usually). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted October 9, 2013 Share Posted October 9, 2013 I would have thought 1982 would be among the warmest falls... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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