weathafella Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 1. Looks like nada to maybe week +ENSO (progs with 6 month long lead) 2. Prevailing NAO is favorable. Flags 1. PDO could help or kill a winter. Has to be in the sweet spot and who knows but I'd take + and we probably won't have that. 2. We have of run of ratters due. My sense? Too early and I'm not getting a strong signal either way this yet. Your thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 The neutral area of ENSO certainly is hinted at by guidance at the moment, but we are early when it comes to ENSO forecasting for next year. We'll probably have a better idea heading into this summer. There is some warmer water to the west, but -PDO is killing everything heading east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 I'm going to go out on a limb and say that CT will get less snow than it did this year. 64.0/43, breezy--get me a shawl..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 I'm going to go out on a limb and say that CT will get less snow than it did this year. :[ 64.0/43, breezy--get me a shawl..... I am waiting for Pete's curmudgeon neighbor, he has been dead nuts four years in a row. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 I'm going to go out on a limb and say that CT will get less snow than it did this year. 64.0/43, breezy--get me a shawl..... Meh. I only had like 60ish inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Meh. I only had like 60ish inches. The CTBlizz method would have put you at 71.5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 The CTBlizz method would have put you at 71.5" Yes I'm sure I could have slantsticked to 70" but alas I go with the 90 degree angle route. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Meh. I only had like 60ish inches.115 % of normal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 115 % of normal Not for me. I average 43-ish. I think I got to 62". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Not for me. I average 43-ish. I think I got to 62". I have to go back and count my nickel and dime storms before Feb. I got so frustrated, I just didn't care to count them anymore until we got dumped on in early Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 I have to go back and count my nickel and dime storms before Feb. I got so frustrated, I just didn't care to count them anymore until we got dumped on in early Feb.LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 LOL I know...it's a 5yr old attitude, but I just gave up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted May 4, 2013 Author Share Posted May 4, 2013 Usually by now I have some kind of signal but not now. Gun to head would be normal across the board but in 3 months there will be a wee bit less fog clouding the prog. September GOAK is a good indicator. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted May 4, 2013 Author Share Posted May 4, 2013 I am waiting for Pete's curmudgeon neighbor, he has been dead nuts four years in a row. If Pete is quiet about it it's a bad sign...lol. He told is after the fact of 2011-12. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Bitter cold and fairly dry winter would be my guess, about the absolute worse case scenario. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Bitter cold and fairly dry winter would be my guess, about the absolute worse case scenario. Long ski season, sounds pretty good. I would take it in a heartbeat. I agree with Jerry, mixed signals. Lets see what this hurricane season brings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 although this would lead me to believe colder would be the way to go http://solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov/predict.shtml Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Usually by now I have some kind of signal but not now. Gun to head would be normal across the board but in 3 months there will be a wee bit less fog clouding the prog. September GOAK is a good indicator. I'm fine with normal. But the normal I got last year was just so damn frustrating because the hits were so close Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Meh. I only had like 60ish inches. How much did BDL get this year? I ended up with just over 90"... the crazy March storm that dumped over 20" in NE CT really helped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Have to LOL at this thread 2 season early and Joe was trolled for starting a spring thread in Feb.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 although this would lead me to believe colder would be the way to go http://solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov/predict.shtml http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2012GL052412/full#grl29445-fig-0005 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Have to LOL at this thread 2 season early and Joe was trolled for starting a spring thread in Feb.... I was going to say that lol, I started my spring thread two weeks before MET spring lol............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Long ski season, sounds pretty good. I would take it in a heartbeat. I agree with Jerry, mixed signals. Lets see what this hurricane season brings. Maybe, for me personally there is nothing worse than bitter cold and dry, I am afraid that is what we are headed for though:( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted May 4, 2013 Author Share Posted May 4, 2013 Have to LOL at this thread 2 season early and Joe was trolled for starting a spring thread in Feb.... Lol...he posted it as if winter was over before several more feet fell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted May 4, 2013 Share Posted May 4, 2013 Have to LOL at this thread 2 season early and Joe was trolled for starting a spring thread in Feb.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted May 4, 2013 Author Share Posted May 4, 2013 And lets face it, if it weren't for winter this forum would have 5 members. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted May 5, 2013 Share Posted May 5, 2013 What a terrible thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted May 5, 2013 Share Posted May 5, 2013 Lol...he posted it as if winter was over before several more feet fell. Yep, apples to oranges. We usually speculate on winter pretty early around here. Neutral ENSO would be my guess right now...but the signal usually becomes much more clear in another month or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted May 6, 2013 Share Posted May 6, 2013 Lol...he posted it as if winter was over before several more feet fell. You should ask Brian how many times he ended winter for bdr Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted May 6, 2013 Share Posted May 6, 2013 ...Winter thread in early May FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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