Hoosier Posted April 27, 2013 Share Posted April 27, 2013 Although details are yet to be worked out, the idea of a cutoff low in that timeframe looks pretty good. The system should be blocked from moving eastward very quickly due to stout downstream ridging/blocking. Possible impacts include heavy rain (renewed flood concerns?) and perhaps some snow for some areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guru Of Reason Posted April 27, 2013 Share Posted April 27, 2013 Too bad I live in Topeka now. At least I got the experience the 13 inches of snow just before I moved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted April 27, 2013 Share Posted April 27, 2013 Looks like another soggy week ahead after this A+ beautiful weather weekend. The rainy period since the beginning of April just doesn't want to stop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted April 27, 2013 Share Posted April 27, 2013 New Euro seems to kick out the low faster into Canada instead of the EC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted April 27, 2013 Share Posted April 27, 2013 I'll be in the Louisville KY to Madison IN area from Mon-Friday of this coming week. Hoping to enjoy the warmth and possibly a good t storm come Thursday before returning northward to a cold and blustery rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted April 28, 2013 Share Posted April 28, 2013 New Euro seems to kick out the low faster into Canada instead of the EC. I would be fine with this, anything to keep it from being close to the Gulf, killing off all the positive temperature anomalies is a good thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 28, 2013 Author Share Posted April 28, 2013 La Crosse mentioning headlines for snow SAY IT ISNT SNOW. THERE SEEMS TO BE GROWING CONSENSUS ON THE MID- WEEK AMPLIFICATION OF THE TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. REMAINING TO THE WEST OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH A MAJOR 1040 MB HIGH PRESSURE AREA MOVING IN FROM CANADA AT THE SURFACE. THIS COLD AIR...SOURCED FROM THE NORTHWEST TERRITORIES...MOVES IN THURSDAY NIGHT. ON WEDNESDAY...THE COLD FRONT LOOKS TO REMAIN RIGHT OVER THE FORECAST AREA WITH GOOD CONSENSUS IN THE 28.00Z GFS/GEM/ECMWF...WITH SOME VERY STRONG FRONTOGENESIS. IF THIS CONTINUES TO BE THE LOCATION OF THE SIGNAL...PRECIPITATION IS SURE...BUT WE NEED TO BE CAREFUL ABOUT WHERE THIS WILL SET UP. THE COLD AIR THEN DRIFTS IN WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY WITH ACCUMULATING SNOW LIKELY WHERE THIS BAND SETS UP. INDICATIONS RIGHT NOW ARE THAT THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY OF THIS DEEPER COLD AIR AND HEAVIER SNOWS ARE OVER SERN MN AND NERN IA AND WESTWARD...WITH WINTER WATCHES/WARNINGS QUITE POSSIBLE IF THIS POSITION HOLDS AND FORECAST CONFIDENCE GROWS. WILL BEGIN DISCUSSION IN THE SERVICE PRODUCTS ON THIS THREAT TOO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted April 28, 2013 Share Posted April 28, 2013 Is it just me, or does the new GFS not really want to develop the low? It seems more strung out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted April 28, 2013 Share Posted April 28, 2013 Too bad I live in Topeka now. At least I got the experience the 13 inches of snow just before I moved. That's weird, so do I! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted April 28, 2013 Share Posted April 28, 2013 Man, winter just does not want to go down without a fight. Lets hope the snow stays north of Cedar Rapids. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 28, 2013 Author Share Posted April 28, 2013 Man, winter just does not want to go down without a fight. Lets hope the snow stays north of Cedar Rapids. I think the odds of getting snow (at least mixed in) pretty far south for this time of year are looking decent. Just looking at some anomaly maps gives an idea of how anomalous this setup is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted April 28, 2013 Share Posted April 28, 2013 I think the odds of getting snow (at least mixed in) pretty far south for this time of year are looking decent. Just looking at some anomaly maps gives an idea of how anomalous this setup is. Well, since the snow will be very wet and the trees are in the process of leafing out, I'm concerned about power outages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 28, 2013 Author Share Posted April 28, 2013 12z ECMWF notably stronger than the GFS with the eastern ridging, hence a slower eastward progression of our cutoff. Considering model biases in patterns like this (i.e. too quick to break down blocking) a slower solution might make sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
okie333 Posted April 28, 2013 Share Posted April 28, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted April 28, 2013 Share Posted April 28, 2013 :lmao: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted April 28, 2013 Share Posted April 28, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 28, 2013 Share Posted April 28, 2013 Ditto! Not a chance. But it probably means a long cold rain for some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted April 28, 2013 Share Posted April 28, 2013 Do people even use the DGEX anymore? Or is it just the "freak misfit" of the models? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 28, 2013 Share Posted April 28, 2013 The dgex is highly misfit. GFS is showing the snow now about where the dgex is, but not nearly close to 20"+. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted April 28, 2013 Author Share Posted April 28, 2013 That DGEX might be one of the most ridiculous things that has ever been posted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 28, 2013 Share Posted April 28, 2013 haha hope it verifies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted April 28, 2013 Share Posted April 28, 2013 lol, that DGEX map is awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 28, 2013 Share Posted April 28, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted April 28, 2013 Share Posted April 28, 2013 Road trip to the UP...to seek warmth? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted April 28, 2013 Share Posted April 28, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted April 28, 2013 Share Posted April 28, 2013 Someone posted a Euro snowfall map on fb a little while ago that showed 24" in central Iowa. DGEX shows 24" over us lolz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted April 28, 2013 Share Posted April 28, 2013 Someone posted a Euro snowfall map on fb a little while ago that showed 24" in central Iowa. DGEX shows 24" over us lolz. Those maps are fun in December. In April, total bull****. I am beginning to feel like an extended period of nice weather, on a day my golf league plays (Thursday) is never gonna happen. Upper sixties and sunny to much to ask for? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted April 28, 2013 Share Posted April 28, 2013 Heck of a baroclinic zone setting up by midweek. Here's the 18z NAM forecast for Wed afternoon. 80s in IL and 30s in IA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted April 28, 2013 Share Posted April 28, 2013 That will feel nice after 80 on tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Natester Posted April 29, 2013 Share Posted April 29, 2013 Heck of a baroclinic zone setting up by midweek. Here's the 18z NAM forecast for Wed afternoon. 80s in IL and 30s in IA. It is pretty obvious where the snow will set up. Poor daddylonglegs can't catch a break from the white stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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