April 9-11 OV Severe Weather

[snowlover2]

New Day 3 outlook brings a slight risk into the western parts of the OV. I know this is being discussed in the medium range severe thread but figured since we are getting into short range and have an outlined area that it could have a thread of its own. If that's a problem, go ahead and close this.

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0229 AM CDT SUN APR 07 2013

VALID 091200Z - 101200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE LOWER MO VALLEY TO THE

SRN PLAINS...

...SYNOPSIS...

HIGHLY AMPLIFIED UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE WEST SHOULD EVOLVE INTO

TWO DISTINCT SHORTWAVE IMPULSES...ONE MOVING NEWD TOWARDS THE

NRN/CNTRL PLAINS AND THE OTHER REMAINING IN THE BASE OF THE TROUGH

OVER NWRN MEXICO. MID-LEVEL SWLYS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE

WARM/MOIST SECTOR IN RESPONSE TO THE LEAD IMPULSE. AT THE

SURFACE...CYCLONE IN THE LEE OF THE SRN ROCKIES SHOULD DEVELOP NEWD

AND REACH THE LOWER MO VALLEY BY TUE NIGHT. THE SRN PLAINS DRYLINE

WILL BE PROGRESSIVELY OVERTAKEN BY A COLD FRONT WHICH SHOULD REACH

CNTRL TX BY EARLY WED.

...LOWER MO VALLEY TO THE SRN PLAINS...

A BROAD CORRIDOR OF ORGANIZED SEVERE POTENTIAL WITH ALL HAZARD TYPES

IS ANTICIPATED TUE AFTERNOON INTO WED MORNING. AN UPGRADE TO

MODERATE RISK WILL CONTINUE TO BE CONSIDERED IN LATER OUTLOOKS.

LOW CONFIDENCE EXISTS IN THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN GIVEN RELATIVELY LARGE

SPREAD IN GUIDANCE WITH THE HANDLING OF THE LEAD SHORTWAVE IMPULSE

EJECTING FROM THE WRN CONUS TROUGH. NCEP GUIDANCE REMAINS FASTER

THAN THE ECMWF/UKMET WITH THE PROGRESSION OF THE IMPULSE WHICH

AFFECTS POSITIONING OF THE DRYLINE/COLD FRONT...AND MORE BULLISH

WITH THE AMPLITUDE OF KINEMATICS OVER THE WARM/MOIST SECTOR. THIS

BREEDS SUBSTANTIAL UNCERTAINTY OVER WHERE TO PLACE HIGHER SEVERE

PROBABILITIES OR EVEN WHETHER THEY ARE NEEDED BEYOND AN ENHANCED

SLIGHT RISK.

REGARDLESS OF THE PATTERN DIFFERENCES...GIVEN STRENGTHENING RETURN

FLOW IN THE WRN GULF...A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL BECOME

MORE WIDESPREAD IN THE S-CNTRL CONUS. WITH STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE

RATES AND FORCING FOR ASCENT INCREASING THROUGH THE

PERIOD...SUPERCELLS AND ORGANIZED CLUSTERS SHOULD COMMENCE TUE

AFTERNOON IN PARTS OF KS AND DEVELOP S/EWD INTO THE SRN PLAINS AND

TOWARDS THE MID-MS VALLEY DURING THE EVENING/OVERNIGHT. LARGE HAIL

/SOME SIGNIFICANT/ AND TORNADOES WILL LIKELY BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS.

WHILE THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD INCREASE DURING THE

LATTER HALF OF THE PERIOD AS LOWER-LEVEL FLOW STRENGTHENS AND

CONVECTIVE MODE BECOMES MORE CLUSTER/LINEAR.

..GRAMS.. 04/07/2013

[KokomoWX]

Day 3 now includes a large portion of IL and OH with all of Indiana included.

 

 

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK     NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK   0228 AM CDT MON APR 08 2013      VALID 101200Z - 111200Z      ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM PARTS OF THE MIDWEST TO   THE WRN GULF COAST STATES...      ...SYNOPSIS...   AN AMPLIFIED UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY PROGRESS   EWD FROM THE ROCKIES ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS THROUGH EARLY THU. A   DOWNSTREAM MID-LEVEL RIDGE WILL PERSIST FROM THE SOUTHEAST TO THE   GREAT LAKES. AT THE SURFACE...A CYCLONE SHOULD SLOWLY MOVE EWD IN   PARTS OF THE MIDWEST WITH AN ATTENDANT COLD FRONT FROM THE LOWER MO   VALLEY TO THE SRN PLAINS PROGRESSING AT LEAST ACROSS THE MID/LOWER   MS VALLEY BY 12Z/THU. A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT SHOULD BE DRAPED E OF   THE MIDWEST CYCLONE TO THE NRN APPALACHIANS.      ...MIDWEST TO THE WRN GULF COAST STATES...   A BROAD SWATH OF ORGANIZED SEVERE POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED DURING THE   PERIOD WITH ALL SEVERE HAZARDS PROBABLE.      MODEL PREDICTABILITY LESSENS SUBSTANTIALLY FROM D2 WITH THE   EVOLUTION OF KEY SYNOPTIC FEATURES...RENDERING LOW CONFIDENCE IN   BOTH THE AMPLITUDE OF THE SEVERE THREAT AND IN IDENTIFYING ANY   CORRIDOR OF COVERAGE AOA 45 PERCENT. MODELS DIFFER WITH THE EJECTION   OF A SRN HIGH PLAINS SHORTWAVE IMPULSE...WITH THE MORE CONSISTENT   ECMWF/CMC SUGGESTING A SLOWER AND MORE N/NELY TRACK TOWARDS THE   MID-MO VALLEY. THIS YIELDS A SLOWER EWD PROGRESSION OF THE SURFACE   COLD FRONT AND LOW/MID-LEVEL S/SWLYS NOT AS INTENSE OVER THE WARM   SECTOR COMPARED TO THE GFS/NAM.       REGARDLESS OF THE MODEL DISCREPANCIES...SCATTERED TO WIDESPREAD   CONVECTION IS EXPECTED ALONG THE FRONTAL ZONES. SURFACE DEW POINTS   WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR...LIKELY THROUGH   THE 60S FROM PARTS OF THE MIDWEST TO THE GULF COAST. WITH A REMNANT   EML PLUME OVER MOST OF THE ERN CONUS CONTRIBUTING TO STEEP MID-LEVEL   LAPSE RATES...STRENGTHENING LOW/DEEP-LAYER SHEAR SHOULD PROVE   FAVORABLE FOR SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS...A FEW TORNADOES...AND   ISOLATED LARGE HAIL. AS FLOW BECOMES INCREASINGLY PARALLEL TO THE   COLD FRONT...AN EXTENSIVE QLCS MAY ULTIMATELY FORM PRIOR TO THE   FRONT REACHING THE MS VALLEY.

[hm8]

Whaddya know, a "see Text" for a large portion of the subforum today

[Stebo]

Whaddya know, a "see Text" for a large portion of the subforum today

Yeah like I noted in the other thread if only this was later in the spring and we had good instability because that is a stout MCV near Chicago atm.

[A-L-E-K]

Yeah like I noted in the other thread if only this was later in the spring and we had good instability because that is a stout MCV near Chicago atm.

 

It wouldn't take too much

[Stebo]

It wouldn't take too much

 

Yeah and the nam/rap do show some instability building in within the next 4-8hrs.

[frostfern]

There's a nice dry slot heading across the southern part of Lake MI now.  Maybe there will be some sun this afternoon.

[BrettenBailey]

Sunny here in Southwest Michigan. Temps are picking up and a strong wind field coming across the lake. If only this had happened earlier.

[Central Illinois]

Hoping to see some decent severe weather here on Wednesday

Sent from my iPhone 5 using

Tapatalk!

[RCNYILWX]

Hoping to see some decent severe weather here on Wednesday

Sent from my iPhone 5 using

Tapatalk!

Tentatively targeting I72 area for chasing near the triple point on Weds.

[Hoosier]

New SPC outlooks are out. Day 1 has a slight risk in the western areas of the subforum and day 2/Wednesday has a high-end slight with 45% probs in parts of IL/MO.

[RCNYILWX]

New SPC outlooks are out. Day 1 has a slight risk in the western areas of the subforum and day 2/Wednesday has a high-end slight with 45% probs in parts of IL/MO.

 

 

...MIDWEST TO THE WRN GULF COAST...   A BROAD SWATH OF ORGANIZED SEVERE POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED DURING THE   PERIOD WITH SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS...ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND A FEW   TORNADOES APPEARING PROBABLE. OVERALL INTENSITY DOES NOT APPEAR TO   WARRANT A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE AREA WHICH MITIGATES A MODERATE RISK   ISSUANCE ATTM.      LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE FROM THE WRN/CNTRL GULF   COAST REGION WITH A PLUME OF 12-14 G/KG MEAN MIXING RATIOS SAMPLED   IN RAOBS MON EVENING. THIS SHOULD YIELD AN INCREASINGLY BROAD WARM   SECTOR WITH SURFACE DEW POINTS REACHING THE LOWER 60S ACROSS THE   MIDWEST TO THE UPPER 60S IN THE WRN GULF COAST STATES BY WED   AFTERNOON. PRESENCE OF A ROBUST EML PLUME THAT HAS BEEN   MAINTAINED/ADVECTED EWD OVER MUCH OF THE S-CNTRL/SERN CONUS IN   RECENT DAYS HAS FAVORABLY CONTRIBUTED TO STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE   RATES. AS SURFACE HEATING OCCURS...COMBINATION OF THE AFOREMENTIONED   FACTORS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN A BROAD MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS.      GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO DIFFER WITH THE EVOLUTION OF A SRN HIGH PLAINS   SHORTWAVE IMPULSE...WITH THE ECMWF CONSISTENTLY SLOWER AND ON A MORE   N/NELY TRACK TOWARDS THE MID-MO VALLEY THAN THE GFS.    THIS YIELDS A SLOWER EWD PROGRESSION OF THE SURFACE COLD FRONT AND   LOW/MID-LEVEL S/SWLYS NOT AS INTENSE OVER THE WARM   SECTOR. STILL...LOW/DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR ORGANIZED   CLUSTERS OF SUPERCELLS AND BOWING LINE SEGMENTS.       CONVECTION WILL BE ONGOING AT 12Z/WED FROM THE SRN PLAINS TO THE   LOWER MO VALLEY. CONVECTION-ALLOWING MODELS SUGGEST MUCH OF THIS   WILL BE BEHIND THE SHARP COLD FRONT...AS STRONG CAPPING MITIGATES   WARM SECTOR DEVELOPMENT. HOWEVER...WITH DIURNAL HEATING AND MODERATE   MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS...CONVECTION WILL INCREASE ALONG BOTH FRONTAL   ZONES...LIKELY BECOMING WIDESPREAD BY WED EVENING. MIXED CONVECTIVE   MODE WOULD BE MOST LIKELY ACROSS PARTS OF THE MIDWEST WHERE A MIX OF   SEVERE HAZARDS IS ANTICIPATED. WITH SRN EXTENT...MORE MERIDIONAL   FLOW FIELDS NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE COLD FRONT WITH SOME ASPECT OF   VEER-BACK-VEER PROFILES SHOULD BE CONDUCIVE TO A PREDOMINANT LINEAR   MODE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES AS THE PRIMARY HAZARDS.      ..GRAMS.. 04/09/2013   

[Thunder Road]

I could've sworn 45% forced a Moderate...

[snowlover2]

I could've sworn 45% forced a Moderate...

45% and hatched on day 2 is moderate.

[Hoosier]

Can't say I'm particularly excited about the Wednesday night severe threat in my backyard. Mid level lapse rates are pretty mediocre...there is some instability that lingers after dark especially on the NAM but some uncertainty with how well we will be able to keep the low levels mixed into the overnight hours. Anything that tries to come down may be dealing with a bit of an inversion. Not saying no threat but leaning more toward the lower end at this time.

[IWXwx]

Can't say I'm particularly excited about the Wednesday night severe threat in my backyard. Mid level lapse rates are pretty mediocre...there is some instability that lingers after dark especially on the NAM but some uncertainty with how well we will be able to keep the low levels mixed into the overnight hours. Anything that tries to come down may be dealing with a bit of an inversion. Not saying no threat but leaning more toward the lower end at this time.

 

I agree. Some areas receiving heavy rains look good though.

[A-L-E-K]

see text added for chicagoland.  nothing special but this wet period is working out nicely.

[snowlover2]

45% area is a little bigger on the new day 2.

 

 

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1214 PM CDT TUE APR 09 2013
  
   VALID 101200Z - 111200Z
  
   ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS WRN GULF COAST AND LOWER-MID MS
   VALLEY TO PORTIONS NRN MID-ATLC REGION...
  
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   UPPER-AIR SUPPORT FOR SVR POTENTIAL OVER CONUS WILL BE DOMINATED BY
   LARGE CYCLONE -- NOW EVIDENT IN MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY OVER
   INTERMOUNTAIN W AND CENTERED OVER 4-CORNERS REGION.  CYCLONE CENTER
   ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ENEWD ACROSS S-CENTRAL ROCKIES AND CENTRAL
   HIGH PLAINS...REACHING SWRN NEB BY 11/00Z.  REMARKABLE CONSISTENCY
   IS EVIDENT AMONG OPERATIONAL AND SREF GUIDANCE IN TIMING/TRACK
   THROUGH THAT TIME.  SLGT POSITIVE TILT SHOULD BE MAINTAINED WITH
   ACCOMPANYING SYNOPTIC TROUGH...AS STG SPEED MAX AND ACCOMPANYING
   BASAL SHORTWAVE PERTURBATION CROSS W-CENTRAL/NWRN MEX.  PROGGED
   PHASE SPEED OF THIS SYSTEM STARTS TO DIFFER DURING LATTER HALF OF
   PERIOD BASED ON IMPACT OF LOW-AMPLITUDE VORTICITY PERTURBATIONS
   EJECTING NEWD ACROSS SRN/CENTRAL PLAINS...BUT WITH GEN CONSENSUS OF
   500-MB LOW SOLUTIONS OVER ERN NEB BY 11/12Z.
  
   AT SFC...FRONTAL-WAVE CYCLONE NOW IN EARLY STAGES OVER SWRN-CENTRAL
   KS IS EXPECTED TO ORGANIZE UNSTEADILY THROUGH REMAINDER
   DAY-1...BEFORE BECOMING BETTER DEFINED AROUND START OF PERIOD OVER
   NRN MO.  AT THAT POINT...ARCTIC COLD FRONT NOW SURGING SWD ACROSS
   SRN HIGH PLAINS SHOULD EXTEND FROM MO LOW SWWD ACROSS SERN OK AND
   CENTRAL/S-CENTRAL TX.  LOW SHOULD DEEPEN AND MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS NERN
   MO THROUGH 11/00Z...AS COLD FRONT SWEEPS EWD/SEWD OVER WRN
   OZARKS...ARKLATEX REGION AND REMAINDER OF S TX.  QUASISTATIONARY
   FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM LOW EWD ACROSS OH AND PORTIONS NRN MID-ATLC
   REGION AND SRN NEW ENGLAND.  BY END OF PERIOD...SFC CYCLONE SHOULD
   OCCLUDE OVER NWRN IL WITH SECONDARY/TRIPLE-POINT LOW DEVELOPING
   FARTHER E ALONG QUASISTATIONARY FRONT...MOST LIKELY OVER NERN
   IL/NWRN INDIANA AREA.  COLD FRONT SHOULD EXTEND FROM THERE SWD
   ACROSS WRN KY THEN SSWWD OVER WRN MS...SRN LA AND W-CENTRAL GULF.
  
   ...MS VALLEY REGION AND WRN GULF COAST...
   BAND OF STG-SVR TSTMS SHOULD BE ONGOING ALONG AND/OR BEHIND SFC COLD
   FRONT AT START OF PERIOD...OFFERING THREAT OF OCNL SVR HAIL AND
   GUSTS.  MEAN-WIND AND DEEP-SHEAR VECTORS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR SVR
   THROUGHOUT PERIOD...INCLUDING EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS/BOWS.
   HOWEVER...GEOMETRY OF DEEP-LAYER WINDS WITH RESPECT TO FRONTAL ZONE
   INDICATE DOMINANT MODE FOR NEAR-FRONTAL CONVECTION WILL BE
   QUASI-LINEAR.
  
   ACTIVITY IS FCST TO SHIFT EWD ACROSS OUTLOOK AREA THROUGH DAYLIGHT
   HOURS...INTO PROGRESSIVELY DESTABILIZING AIR MASS...WITH INCREASING
   COVERAGE OF SVR.  MOST SVR EVENTS SHOULD BE IN FORM OF DAMAGING WIND
   AND MRGL HAIL...THOUGH A FEW TORNADOES ALSO ARE POSSIBLE.  FCST
   SOUNDINGS SUGGEST LARGEST DAYTIME LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS IN MID-SOUTH
   PORTION OF OUTLOOK...OVERLAID WITH 40-50 KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR
   MAGNITUDES.  60S F SFC DEW POINTS WILL BE COMMON IN PREFRONTAL AIR
   MASS...CONTRIBUTING TO 1000-2000 J/KG AFTERNOON MLCAPE.  SVR THREAT
   GENERALLY WILL WANE FROM N-S DURING EVENING...AS ACTIVITY MOVES INTO
   REGIME OF GRADUAL STABILIZATION.  EXCEPTION MAY BE OVER LA/MS AND
   LOWER DELTA REGION DURING EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...WHERE MAIN BAND OF
   CONVERGENCE IMPINGES ON OPTIMALLY MODIFIED MOIST SECTOR.  WEAKENING
   LAPSE RATES ALOFT SHOULD BE OFFSET BY RICH LOW-LEVEL THETAE -- WITH
   SFC DEW POINTS UPPER 60S TO NEAR 70 F OVER MS/LA -- IN HELPING TO
   MAINTAIN SFC-BASED EFFECTIVE INFLOW PARCELS THROUGH MUCH OF
   OVERNIGHT TIME FRAME.
  
   ATTM...THERE IS NO SPECIFIC MESOSCALE FEATURE APPARENT ALONG
   CONVECTIVE BAND THAT WOULD FOCUS MORE THAN ISOLATED POTENTIAL FOR
   SIGNIFICANT-SEVERE WIND...HAIL OR STRONG TORNADOES...WITHIN
   RELATIVELY DENSE CONCENTRATION OF TOTAL SVR.  AS SUCH...WILL
   MAINTAIN PRIOR PROBABILITIES WITH MINOR SPATIAL ADJUSTMENTS...WHERE
   GREATEST JUXTAPOSITION OF FRONTAL LIFT...SHEAR AND FAVORABLE DIURNAL
   THERMODYNAMIC PARAMETERS ARE FCST...AND JUST SHORT OF MDT-RISK
   PROBABILISTIC CRITERIA. 
  
   ...IL-NJ...
   WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED TSTMS ARE EXPECTED PRIMARILY ALONG AND
   N OF QUASISTATIONARY FRONT THROUGH PERIOD.  ACTIVITY N OF FRONT WILL
   POSE RISK OF OCNL HAIL...WITH DAMAGING GUSTS NEAR FRONT...AND A
   TORNADO OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.  LACK OF MORE ROBUST LOW-LEVEL
   WINDS IN ADJACENT WARM SECTOR KEEPS HODOGRAPH SIZE LIMITED...EXCEPT
   IN VERY NARROW FRONTAL CORRIDOR...THOUGH 40-50 KT EFFECTIVE SHEAR
   MAGNITUDES ARE POSSIBLE IN SUPPORT OF TSTM ORGANIZATION.  60S SFC
   DEW POINTS SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO 1000-1500 J/KG MLCAPE DURING
   AFTERNOON...LOCALLY HIGHER IN AREAS OF MOST PERSISTENT INSOLATION.
  
   ..EDWARDS.. 04/09/2013

 

 

[andyhb]

Some pretty decent soundings coming off the 00z NAM/GFS for Eastern MO into the southern half of IL tomorrow afternoon/evening.

[RCNYILWX]

Some pretty decent soundings coming off the 00z NAM/GFS for Eastern MO into the southern half of IL tomorrow afternoon/evening.

Still debating chasing tomorrow. Would like to see what the SPC has to say, but agreed, some pretty good soundings. 

 

Jacksonville, IL (KIJX) at 00z tomorrow evening:

 

[andyhb]

I am also noticing a build up of 0-3 km CAPE across S IL as well, some soundings that I have pulled have had near 200 J/kg.

[Chicago Storm]

Even if I could chase, I wouldn't today. Looks like a QLCS day.

GFS and NAM will obviously be too slow with the cold front across IL, just as the were yesterday down in the Plains.

[Hoosier]

New watch just came out.

SPC AWW 101750

WW 88 SEVERE TSTM IL IN OH 101755Z - 110100Z

AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..

25WSW MTO/MATTOON IL/ - 20E MFD/MANSFIELD OH/

..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM N/S /26SSE AXC - 38SSW CLE/

HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.

MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.

LAT...LON 39978870 41478213 40168213 38688870

[Geos]

Severe t-storm warning east of Kokomo.

 

 

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA158 PM EDT WED APR 10 2013INC009-053-075-179-101815-/O.CON.KIWX.SV.W.0004.000000T0000Z-130410T1815Z/WELLS IN-GRANT IN-JAY IN-BLACKFORD IN-158 PM EDT WED APR 10 2013...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BLACKFORD...WESTERN JAY...EASTERN GRANT AND SOUTHERN WELLS COUNTIES UNTIL 215 PMEDT...AT 155 PM EDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG ALINE EXTENDING FROM VAN BUREN TO 5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF VAN BUREN TOUPLAND...AND MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.SOURCE...LAW ENFORCEMENT. POWER LINES HAVE BEEN REPORTED DOWN ACROSS         PORTIONS OF GRANT COUNTY WITH THESE STORMS.IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES AND CROPS IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...  MONTPELIER AND HARTFORD CITY AROUND 205 PM EDT.  DUNKIRK AROUND 210 PM EDT.  PENNVILLE AROUND 215 PM EDT.OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE LIBERTY CENTER...MOUNT ZION...KEYSTONE...DILLMAN...MILL GROVE...TRAVISVILLE...TRENTON...FIAT...BALBEC AND NOTTINGHAM.

[afterimage]

Tornado Warning for line in Eastern IL

 

 

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED   TORNADO WARNING  NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL  111 PM CDT WED APR 10 2013    THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LINCOLN HAS ISSUED A    * TORNADO WARNING FOR...    WESTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL ILLINOIS...    NORTHERN MOULTRIE COUNTY IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS...    SOUTHEASTERN PIATT COUNTY IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS...    NORTH CENTRAL SHELBY COUNTY IN CENTRAL ILLINOIS...    * UNTIL 145 PM CDT    * AT 106 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A    TORNADO WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BETHANY...AND MOVING    NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.      HAZARD...DEVELOPING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.      SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.      IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.             SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL             OCCUR. FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS.             EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY.    * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...    SULLIVAN...BETHANY...LOVINGTON...HAMMOND...ARTHUR...ATWOOD...    CADWELL...CHESTERVILLE...BOURBON AND GARRETT.    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...    TAKE COVER NOW. MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A  STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF IN A MOBILE HOME...A VEHICLE OR  OUTDOORS...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT  YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.    

[Geos]

That's a nasty looking storm downstate.

 

[SchaumburgStormer]

Last scan was much better, but something to watch.

[Chicago Storm]

After being diverted to IND my flight was cancelled to ORD. Rented a car and am driving back...

Time for an unexpected chase. Closing in on the E. IL activity.

[Geos]

About to cross into Douglas county just north of Arthur. Last radar sweep looked pretty good.

 

Edit: Warning expired. 

 

[RCNYILWX]

After being diverted to IND my flight was cancelled to ORD. Rented a car and am driving back...

Time for an unexpected chase. Closing in on the E. IL activity.

Damn, I could've met up with you. I ended up not going, still would like to go lol.