Geos Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 There's places called AAA and TAZ? Wow. I wonder if they sell lots of insurance at that first one. I have never heard of Mt. Geos. Is this a large mountain that is over 601 ft. above sea level????? Toledo doesn't sit close to the deep water area. The western lake is shallow and usually frozen. Also there's usually low-level wind shear when there is an easterly wind in Toledo. Lol, That's what they called my place. For the record my elevation is 750 ft. --- NAM will be smidgen north! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Band setting up just west of Madison, might finally see some accumulating snow in the next few hours. This storm is definitely later than projected, not surprising since the models kept pushing back the start time for the past 5 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 ILX is going bullish, versus IND. Compare the totals versus what they are over the border in IND's CWA. Brick wall. Yeah thought that looked pretty weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 stronger closed off system at 12hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 northern pieces looked good on the NAM but the storm is weak, less phased and south overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 stronger closed off system at 12hr. Relatively similar at 18hr though weaker with the sfc reflection... maybe a bit north with the H5 low though generally south as a storm. Edit: It also looks like precip will actually make it here despite the further south/slower solution... lol @ the NAM in general with this storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Weaker, drier, slower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 QPF is going to be severely cut for Chicago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Def less snow here through 21. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 QPF is going to be severely cut for Chicago Cut, yes. Severely, no sir. Still decent @ hour 24. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Honestly, at this point I'd rather get nothing than a nickel and dime storm, so it can shift the entire QPF shield south and west if it wants (hopefully not too far south so Chicago can still cash in). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Ouch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Justin Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Going to need to see if this is a trend this evening with all the models, but this is a big concern if its on to anything here. Wow.... I know its only the NAM but it seemed to catch the last minute trends with the last system so that is a HUGE concern right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Cut, yes. Severely, no sir. Still decent @ hour 24. It's cut in half from the last run in some areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Later phase. DT was right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PatrickSumner Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Not complaining about the latest run of the NAM here in South Central Indiana. Looks much better for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern_IN_Wx Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 More realistic...panic ensues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 yeah, but it's still the NAM. Let's not get too crazy with meltdowns unless the other models follow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Going to need to see if this is a trend this evening with all the models, but this is a big concern if its on to anything here. Wow.... I know its only the NAM but it seemed to catch the last minute trends with the last system so that is a HUGE concern right now. Hopefully it's just a brain fart. Now that we're down to less than 12hrs from the event, it's finally about time to start to take the NAM a little more seriously. Completely worthless beyond 18hrs anymore. Euro has remained rock solid consistent here, so I'm not worried at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
afterimage Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 More realistic...panic ensues.I am away from computer, who should the panic be worriesome for? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 I am away from computer, who should the panic be worriesome for? Thanks Happiness for you. And Indy. And central/southern OH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
afterimage Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Happiness for you. Lol, thank you sir. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Still 0.5"+ in Chicagoland. Not terrible considering the doom and gloom this board is conveying. Great run for the LAF gentlemen. 4-7 anyone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Band setting up just west of Madison, might finally see some accumulating snow in the next few hours. This storm is definitely later than projected, not surprising since the models kept pushing back the start time for the past 5 days. Starting to see some flakes here actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Mass weenie suicides; time to distribute the razor blades! Who shall lose the plot first? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 This is pretty drastic...for some locations...that aren't expecting to see much snow. Not saying it's right of course. Looks like what the UK has been advertising all along. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Hilarious. 2 days ago, people were mocking the NAM. Now, they're in tears over it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 Mass weenie suicides; time to distribute the razor blades! Who shall lose the plot first? lol. Time to run to the store for some kool-aid. In all seriousness even the dismal NAM still delivers about 5" here. I could live with that. EDIT: Not budging from my 6-8" call for here and the QC unless both the GFS and Euro knock it back some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 This is pretty drastic...for some locations...that aren't expecting to see much snow. Not saying it's right of course. Looks like what the UK has been advertising all along. thinking the same thing about the UK.... I might have to road trip 15 miles south now for the sweetspot. Circleville OH get's clocked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RJSnowLover Posted March 5, 2013 Share Posted March 5, 2013 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL 805 PM CST MON MAR 4 2013 .DISCUSSION... 753 PM CST MADE A FEW MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FORECAST OVERNIGHT REGARDING THE ONSET OF PRECIP. SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS ARE ACROSS MINNESOTA...WISCONSIN...AND IOWA AHEAD OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. WITH SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR OVER NORTHERN IL...NOT EXPECTING MUCH SNOWFALL FROM THESE SNOW SHOWERS AS THEY MOVE INTO OUR AREA. IN FACT NUMEROUS AREAS UNDER THE REFLECTIVITIES TO OUR WEST ARE NOT REPORTING ANY PRECIP AT THE SFC. REDUCED POPS TO SLIGHT CHANCE THROUGH MIDNIGHT WITH LITTLE TO NO SNOW EXPECTED. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING A LITTLE SLOWER THAN EARLIER THOUGHT SO ALSO LOWERED POPS BTWN MIDNIGHT AND 3AM TO CHANCE OR LESS. HRRR AND OUR IN HOUSE ARW BOTH INDICATE SNOW WILL NOT REACH CENTRAL IL UNTIL LATE TONIGHT AFTER 3AM. DID NOT GO AS SLOW AS THEY INDICATED AS THE ATMOSPHERE COULD BECOME MORE SATURATED BY LIGHT FLURRIES OVERNIGHT. OTHERWISE THE GOING FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL STILL EXPECTED FROM TOMORROW MORNING THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE WINTER STORM WARNING. TRAVEL WILL BE SEVERELY IMPACTED BY SNOWFALL RATES OF 1-2 INCHES PER HOUR AND LOW VISIBILITIES. WINDS INCREASE TOMORROW EVENING AND BLOWING SNOW TUESDAY EVENING AND OVERNIGHT WILL LIKELY REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO A QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. JEE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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